Google maintains overwhelming market consensus as the second-best Text Arena Math AI lab at end of August because Anthropic’s Claude family (including claude-opus-5-max and claude-fable-5) has locked in the top individual model positions on arena.ai and lmarena.ai math leaderboards through sustained high scores on competition-style problems and human preference votes. Google’s Gemini 3.x series, especially flash-high variants, consistently fills the next tier of top-10 placements, producing the strongest lab-level aggregate behind Anthropic with no other provider showing comparable breadth or stability in recent updates. This positioning reflects verified leaderboard data through late August rather than speculation. A late surge in votes for Meta, Alibaba, or OpenAI models, or an unexpected new release shifting math-specific rankings before final resolution, remains the main realistic scenario that could alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Google 100.0%
Anthropic <1%
SpaceXAI <1%
アリババ <1%
$88,493 Vol.
$88,493 Vol.

Anthropic
いいえ

はい

SpaceXAI
いいえ

アリババ
いいえ

OpenAI
いいえ

百度
いいえ

Z.ai
いいえ

シャオミ
いいえ

ムーンショット
いいえ

Meta
いいえ

Nvidia
いいえ

DeepSeek
いいえ

MiniMax
いいえ

美団(Meituan)
いいえ

Amazon
いいえ

ByteDance
いいえ

ミストラル
いいえ

テンセント
いいえ

StepFun
いいえ

Microsoft
いいえ
Google 100.0%
Anthropic <1%
SpaceXAI <1%
アリババ <1%
$88,493 Vol.
$88,493 Vol.

Anthropic
いいえ

はい

SpaceXAI
いいえ

アリババ
いいえ

OpenAI
いいえ

百度
いいえ

Z.ai
いいえ

シャオミ
いいえ

ムーンショット
いいえ

Meta
いいえ

Nvidia
いいえ

DeepSeek
いいえ

MiniMax
いいえ

美団(Meituan)
いいえ

Amazon
いいえ

ByteDance
いいえ

ミストラル
いいえ

テンセント
いいえ

StepFun
いいえ

Microsoft
いいえ
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
マーケット開始日: Jul 20, 2026, 8:43 PM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Google maintains overwhelming market consensus as the second-best Text Arena Math AI lab at end of August because Anthropic’s Claude family (including claude-opus-5-max and claude-fable-5) has locked in the top individual model positions on arena.ai and lmarena.ai math leaderboards through sustained high scores on competition-style problems and human preference votes. Google’s Gemini 3.x series, especially flash-high variants, consistently fills the next tier of top-10 placements, producing the strongest lab-level aggregate behind Anthropic with no other provider showing comparable breadth or stability in recent updates. This positioning reflects verified leaderboard data through late August rather than speculation. A late surge in votes for Meta, Alibaba, or OpenAI models, or an unexpected new release shifting math-specific rankings before final resolution, remains the main realistic scenario that could alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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