Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing above $600 billion at 80.5% implied probability, propelled by the company's blockbuster $30 billion Series G funding round in February 2026, which pegged its private valuation at $380 billion post-money—more than doubling from $183 billion six months prior. This surge reflects explosive growth in Claude large language model adoption, with reports citing $19 billion annualized revenue run rate and tripling signups amid enterprise demand. Backed by Amazon and Google, recent credible reporting from The Information indicates IPO preparations as early as Q4 2026, potentially raising over $60 billion, though a 15.5% chance of no IPO by end-2027 accounts for regulatory hurdles or market volatility in frontier AI. Watch for S-1 filing or banker hires as key catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日6000億ドル以上 81%
2027年12月31日までにIPOしない 16%
4000億～6000億ドル 2.4%
3,000億〜4,000億ドル 1.7%
$92,249 Vol.
$92,249 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
1000億ドル未満
<1%
1000〜2000億ドル
1%
2,000〜3,000億ドル
1%
3,000億〜4,000億ドル
2%
4000億～6000億ドル
2%
6000億ドル以上
81%
2027年12月31日までにIPOしない
16%
6000億ドル以上 81%
2027年12月31日までにIPOしない 16%
4000億～6000億ドル 2.4%
3,000億〜4,000億ドル 1.7%
$92,249 Vol.
$92,249 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
1000億ドル未満
$47,486 Vol.
<1%
1000〜2000億ドル
$3,275 Vol.
1%
2,000〜3,000億ドル
$3,332 Vol.
1%
3,000億〜4,000億ドル
$25,402 Vol.
2%
4000億～6000億ドル
$3,263 Vol.
2%
6000億ドル以上
$6,052 Vol.
81%
2027年12月31日までにIPOしない
$3,437 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing above $600 billion at 80.5% implied probability, propelled by the company's blockbuster $30 billion Series G funding round in February 2026, which pegged its private valuation at $380 billion post-money—more than doubling from $183 billion six months prior. This surge reflects explosive growth in Claude large language model adoption, with reports citing $19 billion annualized revenue run rate and tripling signups amid enterprise demand. Backed by Amazon and Google, recent credible reporting from The Information indicates IPO preparations as early as Q4 2026, potentially raising over $60 billion, though a 15.5% chance of no IPO by end-2027 accounts for regulatory hurdles or market volatility in frontier AI. Watch for S-1 filing or banker hires as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
音量
$92,249終了日
Dec 31, 2027マーケット開始日
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing above $600 billion at 80.5% implied probability, propelled by the company's blockbuster $30 billion Series G funding round in February 2026, which pegged its private valuation at $380 billion post-money—more than doubling from $183 billion six months prior. This surge reflects explosive growth in Claude large language model adoption, with reports citing $19 billion annualized revenue run rate and tripling signups amid enterprise demand. Backed by Amazon and Google, recent credible reporting from The Information indicates IPO preparations as early as Q4 2026, potentially raising over $60 billion, though a 15.5% chance of no IPO by end-2027 accounts for regulatory hurdles or market volatility in frontier AI. Watch for S-1 filing or banker hires as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$92,249終了日
Dec 31, 2027マーケット開始日
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing above $600 billion at 80.5% implied probability, propelled by the company's blockbuster $30 billion Series G funding round in February 2026, which pegged its private valuation at $380 billion post-money—more than doubling from $183 billion six months prior. This surge reflects explosive growth in Claude large language model adoption, with reports citing $19 billion annualized revenue run rate and tripling signups amid enterprise demand. Backed by Amazon and Google, recent credible reporting from The Information indicates IPO preparations as early as Q4 2026, potentially raising over $60 billion, though a 15.5% chance of no IPO by end-2027 accounts for regulatory hurdles or market volatility in frontier AI. Watch for S-1 filing or banker hires as key catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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