Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 600B+ closing market cap for Anthropic's anticipated IPO at 86.5% implied probability, driven by explosive private market momentum where secondary trading recently implied a $613 billion valuation—a 61% premium over the firm's $380 billion post-money from its February $30 billion Series G round—and venture offers exceeding $800 billion that the company has deferred. Surging annualized revenue to $30 billion by late March, fueled by Claude large language model demand and coding agents, alongside Amazon's fresh $5 billion investment on April 20 committing $100 billion to AWS compute, has propelled sentiment. Bankers project a Q4 2026 debut raising over $60 billion, though a 10.5% no-IPO-by-2027 odds reflect execution risks amid regulatory scrutiny on AI labs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6000億ドル以上 87%
2027年12月31日までにIPOしない 11%
4000億～6000億ドル 1.9%
1000億ドル未満 1.1%
$284,481 Vol.
$284,481 Vol.
2027/12/31
1000億ドル未満
1%
1000〜2000億ドル
1%
2,000〜3,000億ドル
<1%
3,000億〜4,000億ドル
1%
4000億～6000億ドル
2%
6000億ドル以上
87%
2027年12月31日までにIPOしない
11%
6000億ドル以上 87%
2027年12月31日までにIPOしない 11%
4000億～6000億ドル 1.9%
1000億ドル未満 1.1%
$284,481 Vol.
$284,481 Vol.
2027/12/31
1000億ドル未満
$137,050 Vol.
1%
1000〜2000億ドル
$51,251 Vol.
1%
2,000〜3,000億ドル
$7,187 Vol.
<1%
3,000億〜4,000億ドル
$58,881 Vol.
1%
4000億～6000億ドル
$7,852 Vol.
2%
6000億ドル以上
$11,658 Vol.
87%
2027年12月31日までにIPOしない
$10,601 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 600B+ closing market cap for Anthropic's anticipated IPO at 86.5% implied probability, driven by explosive private market momentum where secondary trading recently implied a $613 billion valuation—a 61% premium over the firm's $380 billion post-money from its February $30 billion Series G round—and venture offers exceeding $800 billion that the company has deferred. Surging annualized revenue to $30 billion by late March, fueled by Claude large language model demand and coding agents, alongside Amazon's fresh $5 billion investment on April 20 committing $100 billion to AWS compute, has propelled sentiment. Bankers project a Q4 2026 debut raising over $60 billion, though a 10.5% no-IPO-by-2027 odds reflect execution risks amid regulatory scrutiny on AI labs.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
音量
$284,481終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 600B+ closing market cap for Anthropic's anticipated IPO at 86.5% implied probability, driven by explosive private market momentum where secondary trading recently implied a $613 billion valuation—a 61% premium over the firm's $380 billion post-money from its February $30 billion Series G round—and venture offers exceeding $800 billion that the company has deferred. Surging annualized revenue to $30 billion by late March, fueled by Claude large language model demand and coding agents, alongside Amazon's fresh $5 billion investment on April 20 committing $100 billion to AWS compute, has propelled sentiment. Bankers project a Q4 2026 debut raising over $60 billion, though a 10.5% no-IPO-by-2027 odds reflect execution risks amid regulatory scrutiny on AI labs.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$284,481終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 600B+ closing market cap for Anthropic's anticipated IPO at 86.5% implied probability, driven by explosive private market momentum where secondary trading recently implied a $613 billion valuation—a 61% premium over the firm's $380 billion post-money from its February $30 billion Series G round—and venture offers exceeding $800 billion that the company has deferred. Surging annualized revenue to $30 billion by late March, fueled by Claude large language model demand and coding agents, alongside Amazon's fresh $5 billion investment on April 20 committing $100 billion to AWS compute, has propelled sentiment. Bankers project a Q4 2026 debut raising over $60 billion, though a 10.5% no-IPO-by-2027 odds reflect execution risks amid regulatory scrutiny on AI labs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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