OpenAI’s accelerated confidential IPO filing preparations with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, targeting readiness as early as September 2026, are driving the 75% market-implied odds it will list before Anthropic. Recent reporting shows OpenAI actively drafting its S-1 while monitoring market conditions, giving it a regulatory head start over its rival in the large language model space. Anthropic continues advancing its own timeline toward an October or later Q4 window, supported by fresh capital raises at roughly $900 billion valuation, yet it lags in formal SEC steps and faces heavier near-term compute costs that could shift profitability milestones. Traders view these verified governance and capital moves as the decisive factors in the race between the two leading AI developers, though product timelines and market volatility could still alter outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Anthropic
$62,229 Vol.
$62,229 Vol.
2027/12/31
Anthropic
$62,229 Vol.
$62,229 Vol.
2027/12/31
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s accelerated confidential IPO filing preparations with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, targeting readiness as early as September 2026, are driving the 75% market-implied odds it will list before Anthropic. Recent reporting shows OpenAI actively drafting its S-1 while monitoring market conditions, giving it a regulatory head start over its rival in the large language model space. Anthropic continues advancing its own timeline toward an October or later Q4 window, supported by fresh capital raises at roughly $900 billion valuation, yet it lags in formal SEC steps and faces heavier near-term compute costs that could shift profitability milestones. Traders view these verified governance and capital moves as the decisive factors in the race between the two leading AI developers, though product timelines and market volatility could still alter outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
音量
$62,229終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s accelerated confidential IPO filing preparations with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, targeting readiness as early as September 2026, are driving the 75% market-implied odds it will list before Anthropic. Recent reporting shows OpenAI actively drafting its S-1 while monitoring market conditions, giving it a regulatory head start over its rival in the large language model space. Anthropic continues advancing its own timeline toward an October or later Q4 window, supported by fresh capital raises at roughly $900 billion valuation, yet it lags in formal SEC steps and faces heavier near-term compute costs that could shift profitability milestones. Traders view these verified governance and capital moves as the decisive factors in the race between the two leading AI developers, though product timelines and market volatility could still alter outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$62,229終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s accelerated confidential IPO filing preparations with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, targeting readiness as early as September 2026, are driving the 75% market-implied odds it will list before Anthropic. Recent reporting shows OpenAI actively drafting its S-1 while monitoring market conditions, giving it a regulatory head start over its rival in the large language model space. Anthropic continues advancing its own timeline toward an October or later Q4 window, supported by fresh capital raises at roughly $900 billion valuation, yet it lags in formal SEC steps and faces heavier near-term compute costs that could shift profitability milestones. Traders view these verified governance and capital moves as the decisive factors in the race between the two leading AI developers, though product timelines and market volatility could still alter outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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