Recent reporting shows Anthropic advancing preparations for a potential fourth-quarter 2026 listing, including hiring law firm Wilson Sonsini and pursuing a multibillion-dollar funding round that could push its valuation near $900 billion. These steps position the Claude developer ahead in the race with OpenAI, whose chief financial officer has flagged the same aggressive timeline as unrealistic due to revenue shortfalls and internal readiness concerns. Traders appear to weigh Anthropic’s clearer path to filing against OpenAI’s ongoing legal and structural hurdles. Key catalysts ahead include any S-1 submissions, additional capital raises, or executive updates that could shift the implied probability before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Anthropic
$54,770 Vol.
$54,770 Vol.
2027/12/31
Anthropic
$54,770 Vol.
$54,770 Vol.
2027/12/31
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Recent reporting shows Anthropic advancing preparations for a potential fourth-quarter 2026 listing, including hiring law firm Wilson Sonsini and pursuing a multibillion-dollar funding round that could push its valuation near $900 billion. These steps position the Claude developer ahead in the race with OpenAI, whose chief financial officer has flagged the same aggressive timeline as unrealistic due to revenue shortfalls and internal readiness concerns. Traders appear to weigh Anthropic’s clearer path to filing against OpenAI’s ongoing legal and structural hurdles. Key catalysts ahead include any S-1 submissions, additional capital raises, or executive updates that could shift the implied probability before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
音量
$54,770終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Recent reporting shows Anthropic advancing preparations for a potential fourth-quarter 2026 listing, including hiring law firm Wilson Sonsini and pursuing a multibillion-dollar funding round that could push its valuation near $900 billion. These steps position the Claude developer ahead in the race with OpenAI, whose chief financial officer has flagged the same aggressive timeline as unrealistic due to revenue shortfalls and internal readiness concerns. Traders appear to weigh Anthropic’s clearer path to filing against OpenAI’s ongoing legal and structural hurdles. Key catalysts ahead include any S-1 submissions, additional capital raises, or executive updates that could shift the implied probability before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$54,770終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent reporting shows Anthropic advancing preparations for a potential fourth-quarter 2026 listing, including hiring law firm Wilson Sonsini and pursuing a multibillion-dollar funding round that could push its valuation near $900 billion. These steps position the Claude developer ahead in the race with OpenAI, whose chief financial officer has flagged the same aggressive timeline as unrealistic due to revenue shortfalls and internal readiness concerns. Traders appear to weigh Anthropic’s clearer path to filing against OpenAI’s ongoing legal and structural hurdles. Key catalysts ahead include any S-1 submissions, additional capital raises, or executive updates that could shift the implied probability before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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