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財務·OpenAI

AnthropicまたはOpenAIが最初にIPOしますか？

Market icon
財務·OpenAI

AnthropicまたはOpenAIが最初にIPOしますか？

Anthropic

63% chance
Polymarket

$47,371 Vol.

Anthropic

63% chance
Polymarket

$47,371 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; - Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or - By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus favors Anthropic at 63% implied probability to IPO first, driven by fresh reports of executives discussing a Q4 2026 listing as soon as October—potentially raising over $60 billion—coupled with a federal judge's preliminary injunction on March 26 blocking Pentagon restrictions that threatened billions in revenue. Anthropic's annualized revenue has doubled to $19 billion amid Claude model advancements and a $30 billion Series G round at $380 billion valuation, positioning it for a smoother public debut versus OpenAI's path. OpenAI, targeting a late-2026 IPO after hiring an investor relations lead, faces profitability hurdles with projected losses through 2030, Microsoft entanglements, and recent Sora shutdown for cost controls. Watch for S-1 filings and Q2 earnings previews as key catalysts.

Trader consensus favors Anthropic at 63% implied probability to IPO first, driven by fresh reports of executives discussing a Q4 2026 listing as soon as October—potentially raising over $60 billion—coupled with a federal judge's preliminary injunction on March 26 blocking Pentagon restrictions that threatened billions in revenue. Anthropic's annualized revenue has doubled to $19 billion amid Claude model advancements and a $30 billion Series G round at $380 billion valuation, positioning it for a smoother public debut versus OpenAI's path. OpenAI, targeting a late-2026 IPO after hiring an investor relations lead, faces profitability hurdles with projected losses through 2030, Microsoft entanglements, and recent Sora shutdown for cost controls. Watch for S-1 filings and Q2 earnings previews as key catalysts.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; - Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or - By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus favors Anthropic at 63% implied probability to IPO first, driven by fresh reports of executives discussing a Q4 2026 listing as soon as October—potentially raising over $60 billion—coupled with a federal judge's preliminary injunction on March 26 blocking Pentagon restrictions that threatened billions in revenue. Anthropic's annualized revenue has doubled to $19 billion amid Claude model advancements and a $30 billion Series G round at $380 billion valuation, positioning it for a smoother public debut versus OpenAI's path. OpenAI, targeting a late-2026 IPO after hiring an investor relations lead, faces profitability hurdles with projected losses through 2030, Microsoft entanglements, and recent Sora shutdown for cost controls. Watch for S-1 filings and Q2 earnings previews as key catalysts.

Trader consensus favors Anthropic at 63% implied probability to IPO first, driven by fresh reports of executives discussing a Q4 2026 listing as soon as October—potentially raising over $60 billion—coupled with a federal judge's preliminary injunction on March 26 blocking Pentagon restrictions that threatened billions in revenue. Anthropic's annualized revenue has doubled to $19 billion amid Claude model advancements and a $30 billion Series G round at $380 billion valuation, positioning it for a smoother public debut versus OpenAI's path. OpenAI, targeting a late-2026 IPO after hiring an investor relations lead, faces profitability hurdles with projected losses through 2030, Microsoft entanglements, and recent Sora shutdown for cost controls. Watch for S-1 filings and Q2 earnings previews as key catalysts.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「AnthropicまたはOpenAIが最初にIPOしますか？」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Anthropic社とOpenAI社では、どちらが先に株式公開（IPO）するか？」で63%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、63¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に63%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「AnthropicまたはOpenAIが最初にIPOしますか？」は$47.4Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Jan 30, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「AnthropicまたはOpenAIが最初にIPOしますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「AnthropicまたはOpenAIが最初にIPOしますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「Anthropic社とOpenAI社では、どちらが先に株式公開（IPO）するか？」で63%であり、市場がこの結果に63%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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