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icon for OpenAI IPOまでに... ？
財務·OpenAI IPO

OpenAI IPOまでに... ？

icon for OpenAI IPOまでに... ？
財務·OpenAI IPO

OpenAI IPOまでに... ？

$2,985,239 Vol.

2026/12/30
Polymarket

$2,985,239 Vol.

Polymarket

2026年9月30日

$141,170 Vol.

<1%

2026年12月31日

$999,367 Vol.

5%

March 31, 2027

$172 Vol.

33%

2027年6月30日

$36 Vol.

57%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's confidential SEC filing in June 2026 initially fueled expectations for a late-year listing targeting up to $1 trillion, but CEO Sam Altman's September 12 Fortune interview shifted trader sentiment sharply by ruling out any 2026 IPO. Altman cited the need to prioritize AI safety, alignment work, and industry-government coordination as a private company, calling a public debut now "ill-advised." This followed earlier delays tied to SpaceX valuation volatility, internal readiness gaps flagged by CFO Sarah Friar, and competitive pressure from Anthropic's parallel IPO preparations. Key upcoming catalysts include further AI capability benchmarks, regulatory proposals on model safety, and any updates to OpenAI's governance or funding structure that could clarify the 2027 path.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$2,985,239
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
May 20, 2026, 2:24 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's confidential SEC filing in June 2026 initially fueled expectations for a late-year listing targeting up to $1 trillion, but CEO Sam Altman's September 12 Fortune interview shifted trader sentiment sharply by ruling out any 2026 IPO. Altman cited the need to prioritize AI safety, alignment work, and industry-government coordination as a private company, calling a public debut now "ill-advised." This followed earlier delays tied to SpaceX valuation volatility, internal readiness gaps flagged by CFO Sarah Friar, and competitive pressure from Anthropic's parallel IPO preparations. Key upcoming catalysts include further AI capability benchmarks, regulatory proposals on model safety, and any updates to OpenAI's governance or funding structure that could clarify the 2027 path.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$2,985,239
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
May 20, 2026, 2:24 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

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よくある質問

「OpenAI IPOまでに... ？」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「2027年6月30日」で57%、次いで「March 31, 2027」が33%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、57¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に57%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「OpenAI IPOまでに... ？」は$3 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Oct 29, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「OpenAI IPOまでに... ？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「OpenAI IPOまでに... ？」の現在のフロントランナーは「2027年6月30日」で57%であり、市場がこの結果に57%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「March 31, 2027」で33%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「OpenAI IPOまでに... ？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。