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icon for OpenAI IPOまでに... ？
テクノロジー·IPO

OpenAI IPOまでに... ？

icon for OpenAI IPOまでに... ？
テクノロジー·IPO

OpenAI IPOまでに... ？

$1,695,825 Vol.

2026/12/31
Polymarket

$1,695,825 Vol.

Polymarket

2026年6月30日

$531,468 Vol.

1%

2026年7月31日

$32,332 Vol.

2%

2026年8月31日

$20,104 Vol.

4%

2026年9月30日

$18,584 Vol.

24%

2026年12月31日

$597,862 Vol.

70%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s accelerated preparations to file a confidential IPO prospectus in the coming weeks represent the primary driver behind trader sentiment, with bankers at Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley already drafting documents that could enable a debut as early as September 2026. The company’s recent conversion to a public benefit corporation structure, combined with its victory in the Elon Musk lawsuit and a massive funding round exceeding $120 billion, has removed key structural barriers and unlocked additional capital needed to fund its trillion-dollar AI infrastructure buildout. This positions OpenAI competitively against rivals like Anthropic while addressing ongoing losses projected at $14 billion for 2026, though market conditions, regulatory reviews, and any last-minute shifts in filing timing could still influence the exact timeline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$1,695,825
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Oct 29, 2025, 8:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s accelerated preparations to file a confidential IPO prospectus in the coming weeks represent the primary driver behind trader sentiment, with bankers at Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley already drafting documents that could enable a debut as early as September 2026. The company’s recent conversion to a public benefit corporation structure, combined with its victory in the Elon Musk lawsuit and a massive funding round exceeding $120 billion, has removed key structural barriers and unlocked additional capital needed to fund its trillion-dollar AI infrastructure buildout. This positions OpenAI competitively against rivals like Anthropic while addressing ongoing losses projected at $14 billion for 2026, though market conditions, regulatory reviews, and any last-minute shifts in filing timing could still influence the exact timeline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$1,695,825
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Oct 29, 2025, 8:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

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よくある質問

「OpenAI IPOまでに... ？」はPolymarket上の6個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「2026年12月31日」で70%、次いで「2026年9月30日」が24%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、70¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に70%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「OpenAI IPOまでに... ？」は$1.7 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Oct 30, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「OpenAI IPOまでに... ？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている6個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「OpenAI IPOまでに... ？」の現在のフロントランナーは「2026年12月31日」で70%であり、市場がこの結果に70%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「2026年9月30日」で24%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「OpenAI IPOまでに... ？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。