OpenAI's trader consensus hinges on its trajectory from a record $122 billion funding round closed March 31, 2026, at an $852 billion post-money valuation—driven by enterprise AI revenue reportedly surpassing $2 billion monthly—toward a potential late-2026 IPO targeting up to $1 trillion. CEO Sam Altman's aggressive timeline faces pushback from CFO Sarah Friar, who cites risks from $121 billion projected 2028 compute costs, Microsoft profit-sharing (75% until recouped), and profitability delayed possibly to 2029. Key catalysts include an expected H2 S-1 filing, SEC review, and retail share allocation plans, with investor scrutiny on valuation sustainability amid strategy shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$1,476,758 Vol.
$1,476,758 Vol.
2027/12/31
8,000億ドル
77%
1兆ドル
60%
1.2兆ドル
54%
1.4兆ドル
39%
1.6兆ドル
16%
$1,476,758 Vol.
$1,476,758 Vol.
2027/12/31
8,000億ドル
$93,171 Vol.
77%
1兆ドル
$1,040,971 Vol.
60%
1.2兆ドル
$243,171 Vol.
54%
1.4兆ドル
$58,040 Vol.
39%
1.6兆ドル
$41,404 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI's trader consensus hinges on its trajectory from a record $122 billion funding round closed March 31, 2026, at an $852 billion post-money valuation—driven by enterprise AI revenue reportedly surpassing $2 billion monthly—toward a potential late-2026 IPO targeting up to $1 trillion. CEO Sam Altman's aggressive timeline faces pushback from CFO Sarah Friar, who cites risks from $121 billion projected 2028 compute costs, Microsoft profit-sharing (75% until recouped), and profitability delayed possibly to 2029. Key catalysts include an expected H2 S-1 filing, SEC review, and retail share allocation plans, with investor scrutiny on valuation sustainability amid strategy shifts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
マーケット開始日： Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
音量
$1,476,758終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI's trader consensus hinges on its trajectory from a record $122 billion funding round closed March 31, 2026, at an $852 billion post-money valuation—driven by enterprise AI revenue reportedly surpassing $2 billion monthly—toward a potential late-2026 IPO targeting up to $1 trillion. CEO Sam Altman's aggressive timeline faces pushback from CFO Sarah Friar, who cites risks from $121 billion projected 2028 compute costs, Microsoft profit-sharing (75% until recouped), and profitability delayed possibly to 2029. Key catalysts include an expected H2 S-1 filing, SEC review, and retail share allocation plans, with investor scrutiny on valuation sustainability amid strategy shifts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
音量
$1,476,758終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's trader consensus hinges on its trajectory from a record $122 billion funding round closed March 31, 2026, at an $852 billion post-money valuation—driven by enterprise AI revenue reportedly surpassing $2 billion monthly—toward a potential late-2026 IPO targeting up to $1 trillion. CEO Sam Altman's aggressive timeline faces pushback from CFO Sarah Friar, who cites risks from $121 billion projected 2028 compute costs, Microsoft profit-sharing (75% until recouped), and profitability delayed possibly to 2029. Key catalysts include an expected H2 S-1 filing, SEC review, and retail share allocation plans, with investor scrutiny on valuation sustainability amid strategy shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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