The primary driver behind the 49.5% implied probability for no IPO before 2028 is CEO Aravind Srinivas’s March 2025 statement that Perplexity has sufficient private capital and no plans to go public earlier, reinforced by its September 2025 Series E round that secured a $20 billion valuation with backing from investors including SoftBank and Accel. Recent revenue growth to $500 million annualized by April 2026 has strengthened the company’s ability to remain private while competing in the AI search space against larger players using large language models for real-time answers. Traders appear to weigh this against typical late-stage AI startup timelines, where strong private-market access often delays listings. Potential catalysts include any shift in capital availability or competitive pressure that could accelerate an earlier filing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2028年以前にIPOなし 50%
500億〜750億 12.3%
750億～1,000億ドル 10.2%
＜200億ドル 6.9%
$140,032 Vol.
$140,032 Vol.
2027/12/31
＜200億ドル
7%
200億〜300億ドル
5%
300億〜400億ドル
6%
400億～500億
8%
500億〜750億
12%
750億～1,000億ドル
10%
1000億ドル超
6%
2028年以前にIPOなし
50%
2028年以前にIPOなし 50%
500億〜750億 12.3%
750億～1,000億ドル 10.2%
＜200億ドル 6.9%
$140,032 Vol.
$140,032 Vol.
2027/12/31
＜200億ドル
$4,474 Vol.
7%
200億〜300億ドル
$5,889 Vol.
5%
300億〜400億ドル
$4,389 Vol.
6%
400億～500億
$4,218 Vol.
8%
500億〜750億
$6,240 Vol.
12%
750億～1,000億ドル
$3,386 Vol.
10%
1000億ドル超
$4,937 Vol.
6%
2028年以前にIPOなし
$106,499 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.The primary driver behind the 49.5% implied probability for no IPO before 2028 is CEO Aravind Srinivas’s March 2025 statement that Perplexity has sufficient private capital and no plans to go public earlier, reinforced by its September 2025 Series E round that secured a $20 billion valuation with backing from investors including SoftBank and Accel. Recent revenue growth to $500 million annualized by April 2026 has strengthened the company’s ability to remain private while competing in the AI search space against larger players using large language models for real-time answers. Traders appear to weigh this against typical late-stage AI startup timelines, where strong private-market access often delays listings. Potential catalysts include any shift in capital availability or competitive pressure that could accelerate an earlier filing.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
音量
$140,032終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.The primary driver behind the 49.5% implied probability for no IPO before 2028 is CEO Aravind Srinivas’s March 2025 statement that Perplexity has sufficient private capital and no plans to go public earlier, reinforced by its September 2025 Series E round that secured a $20 billion valuation with backing from investors including SoftBank and Accel. Recent revenue growth to $500 million annualized by April 2026 has strengthened the company’s ability to remain private while competing in the AI search space against larger players using large language models for real-time answers. Traders appear to weigh this against typical late-stage AI startup timelines, where strong private-market access often delays listings. Potential catalysts include any shift in capital availability or competitive pressure that could accelerate an earlier filing.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$140,032終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The primary driver behind the 49.5% implied probability for no IPO before 2028 is CEO Aravind Srinivas’s March 2025 statement that Perplexity has sufficient private capital and no plans to go public earlier, reinforced by its September 2025 Series E round that secured a $20 billion valuation with backing from investors including SoftBank and Accel. Recent revenue growth to $500 million annualized by April 2026 has strengthened the company’s ability to remain private while competing in the AI search space against larger players using large language models for real-time answers. Traders appear to weigh this against typical late-stage AI startup timelines, where strong private-market access often delays listings. Potential catalysts include any shift in capital availability or competitive pressure that could accelerate an earlier filing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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