Perplexity’s CEO has repeatedly signaled no IPO before 2028, citing ample private capital and rapid revenue growth to roughly $500 million annualized by early 2026, which underpins the 49% market-implied odds for that outcome. The AI-powered search platform’s latest private round closed at a $20 billion valuation in September 2025, with follow-on funding pushing estimates toward $22 billion, allowing the company to extend its runway without public-market scrutiny. Traders see limited near-term catalysts for an earlier listing, as continued venture interest from major AI backers keeps dilution low and development focused on large-language-model enhancements and enterprise features. While strong execution could eventually support a 2028 or later debut in the $40–75 billion range, current private-market dynamics and explicit timeline guidance sustain the dominant “no IPO before 2028” positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2028年以前にIPOなし 49%
500億〜750億 14.3%
750億~1,000億ドル 10.1%
<200億ドル 6.6%
$140,027 Vol.
$140,027 Vol.
<200億ドル
7%
200億〜300億ドル
4%
300億〜400億ドル
6%
400億~500億
10%
500億〜750億
14%
750億~1,000億ドル
10%
1000億ドル超
6%
2028年以前にIPOなし
49%
2028年以前にIPOなし 49%
500億〜750億 14.3%
750億~1,000億ドル 10.1%
<200億ドル 6.6%
$140,027 Vol.
$140,027 Vol.
<200億ドル
7%
200億〜300億ドル
4%
300億〜400億ドル
6%
400億~500億
10%
500億〜750億
14%
750億~1,000億ドル
10%
1000億ドル超
6%
2028年以前にIPOなし
49%
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日: Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Perplexity’s CEO has repeatedly signaled no IPO before 2028, citing ample private capital and rapid revenue growth to roughly $500 million annualized by early 2026, which underpins the 49% market-implied odds for that outcome. The AI-powered search platform’s latest private round closed at a $20 billion valuation in September 2025, with follow-on funding pushing estimates toward $22 billion, allowing the company to extend its runway without public-market scrutiny. Traders see limited near-term catalysts for an earlier listing, as continued venture interest from major AI backers keeps dilution low and development focused on large-language-model enhancements and enterprise features. While strong execution could eventually support a 2028 or later debut in the $40–75 billion range, current private-market dynamics and explicit timeline guidance sustain the dominant “no IPO before 2028” positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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