Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Perplexity IPO before 2028 at 62% implied probability, driven by the AI search engine's absence of any S-1 filing or official public listing plans, consistent with CEO Aravind Srinivas's recent statements targeting a 2028 debut. This positioning stems from Perplexity's aggressive private funding trajectory—most notably a $200 million raise in September 2025 at a $20 billion valuation, up from $9 billion earlier that year—fueled by $200 million in annual recurring revenue and internal projections for $656 million by end-2026 via multi-model orchestration across large language models from OpenAI, Anthropic, and others. Lower odds on high market caps like 50B–75B (15%) or 40B–50B (12%) reflect growth potential in the competitive AI search landscape against Google, but abundant venture capital delays public market entry; watch for Q2 2026 revenue updates or strategic partnerships as key catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日2028年以前にIPOなし 62%
400億～500億 16.8%
500億〜750億 7.8%
1000億ドル超 4.5%
$124,377 Vol.
$124,377 Vol.
2027/12/31
＜200億ドル
4%
200億〜300億ドル
3%
300億〜400億ドル
4%
400億～500億
12%
500億〜750億
15%
750億～1,000億ドル
4%
1000億ドル超
5%
2028年以前にIPOなし
62%
2028年以前にIPOなし 62%
400億～500億 16.8%
500億〜750億 7.8%
1000億ドル超 4.5%
$124,377 Vol.
$124,377 Vol.
2027/12/31
＜200億ドル
$4,389 Vol.
4%
200億〜300億ドル
$5,711 Vol.
3%
300億〜400億ドル
$0 Vol.
4%
400億～500億
$0 Vol.
12%
500億〜750億
$6,171 Vol.
15%
750億～1,000億ドル
$3,177 Vol.
4%
1000億ドル超
$0 Vol.
5%
2028年以前にIPOなし
$104,928 Vol.
62%
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Perplexity IPO before 2028 at 62% implied probability, driven by the AI search engine's absence of any S-1 filing or official public listing plans, consistent with CEO Aravind Srinivas's recent statements targeting a 2028 debut. This positioning stems from Perplexity's aggressive private funding trajectory—most notably a $200 million raise in September 2025 at a $20 billion valuation, up from $9 billion earlier that year—fueled by $200 million in annual recurring revenue and internal projections for $656 million by end-2026 via multi-model orchestration across large language models from OpenAI, Anthropic, and others. Lower odds on high market caps like 50B–75B (15%) or 40B–50B (12%) reflect growth potential in the competitive AI search landscape against Google, but abundant venture capital delays public market entry; watch for Q2 2026 revenue updates or strategic partnerships as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
音量
$124,377終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Perplexity IPO before 2028 at 62% implied probability, driven by the AI search engine's absence of any S-1 filing or official public listing plans, consistent with CEO Aravind Srinivas's recent statements targeting a 2028 debut. This positioning stems from Perplexity's aggressive private funding trajectory—most notably a $200 million raise in September 2025 at a $20 billion valuation, up from $9 billion earlier that year—fueled by $200 million in annual recurring revenue and internal projections for $656 million by end-2026 via multi-model orchestration across large language models from OpenAI, Anthropic, and others. Lower odds on high market caps like 50B–75B (15%) or 40B–50B (12%) reflect growth potential in the competitive AI search landscape against Google, but abundant venture capital delays public market entry; watch for Q2 2026 revenue updates or strategic partnerships as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$124,377終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Perplexity IPO before 2028 at 62% implied probability, driven by the AI search engine's absence of any S-1 filing or official public listing plans, consistent with CEO Aravind Srinivas's recent statements targeting a 2028 debut. This positioning stems from Perplexity's aggressive private funding trajectory—most notably a $200 million raise in September 2025 at a $20 billion valuation, up from $9 billion earlier that year—fueled by $200 million in annual recurring revenue and internal projections for $656 million by end-2026 via multi-model orchestration across large language models from OpenAI, Anthropic, and others. Lower odds on high market caps like 50B–75B (15%) or 40B–50B (12%) reflect growth potential in the competitive AI search landscape against Google, but abundant venture capital delays public market entry; watch for Q2 2026 revenue updates or strategic partnerships as key catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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