Recent preparations for SpaceX's 2026 IPO, including a confidential SEC filing and a June roadshow targeting up to $1.75 trillion, have solidified trader consensus around a closing market cap above $1 trillion. Strong Starlink revenue growth, Starship progress, and secondary share sales that already imply substantial scale underpin this positioning, as bankers project one of the largest listings ever amid robust investor interest in aerospace and satellite technology. While timelines could slip due to regulatory reviews or broader market volatility, and final pricing remains subject to demand at the roadshow, the current trajectory and historical precedents for high-growth tech debuts make outcomes below $1 trillion appear unlikely without major setbacks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1兆ドル超 97.8%
2028年より前のIPOなし <1%
9,000億〜1兆 <1%
8000億~9000億 <1%
$3,478,448 Vol.
$3,478,448 Vol.
5,000億ドル未満
<1%
5,000億〜6,000億
<1%
6000億~7000億
<1%
7000億~8000億
<1%
8000億~9000億
1%
9,000億〜1兆
1%
1兆ドル超
98%
2028年より前のIPOなし
1%
1兆ドル超 97.8%
2028年より前のIPOなし <1%
9,000億〜1兆 <1%
8000億~9000億 <1%
$3,478,448 Vol.
$3,478,448 Vol.
5,000億ドル未満
<1%
5,000億〜6,000億
<1%
6000億~7000億
<1%
7000億~8000億
<1%
8000億~9000億
1%
9,000億〜1兆
1%
1兆ドル超
98%
2028年より前のIPOなし
1%
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日: Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent preparations for SpaceX's 2026 IPO, including a confidential SEC filing and a June roadshow targeting up to $1.75 trillion, have solidified trader consensus around a closing market cap above $1 trillion. Strong Starlink revenue growth, Starship progress, and secondary share sales that already imply substantial scale underpin this positioning, as bankers project one of the largest listings ever amid robust investor interest in aerospace and satellite technology. While timelines could slip due to regulatory reviews or broader market volatility, and final pricing remains subject to demand at the roadshow, the current trajectory and historical precedents for high-growth tech debuts make outcomes below $1 trillion appear unlikely without major setbacks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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