Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Google for the third-best AI model on the LMArena Chatbot Arena leaderboard (style control off) as of end-March 2026, with Gemini variants securing the third-highest Arena score through stable user-voted pairwise evaluations. Recent developments, including the past week's minimal Elo shifts amid high-volume blind battles, have solidified this positioning behind frontrunners like Anthropic's Claude Opus series dominating top spots via superior reasoning and creative benchmarks. Factors include Google's iterative Gemini 3.x updates enhancing multimodal capabilities and competitive scaling against xAI's Grok and DeepSeek challengers. While last-minute voting surges before March 31 noon ET resolution could theoretically elevate alternatives like xAI, leaderboard momentum and historical stability in late cycles render such upsets improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Google 100.0%
アンソロピック <1%
アリババ <1%
Z.ai <1%
$543,246 Vol.
$543,246 Vol.
2026/03/31
アンソロピック
いいえ
アリババ
いいえ
Z.ai
いいえ
DeepSeek
いいえ
ミストラル
いいえ
はい
OpenAI
いいえ
Baidu
いいえ
xAI
いいえ
ムーンショット
いいえ
メイトゥアン
いいえ
Google 100.0%
アンソロピック <1%
アリババ <1%
Z.ai <1%
$543,246 Vol.
$543,246 Vol.
2026/03/31
アンソロピック
$98,856 Vol.
いいえ
アリババ
$42,989 Vol.
いいえ
Z.ai
$33,968 Vol.
いいえ
DeepSeek
$80,214 Vol.
いいえ
ミストラル
$51,744 Vol.
いいえ
$63,970 Vol.
はい
OpenAI
$52,059 Vol.
いいえ
Baidu
$50,997 Vol.
いいえ
xAI
$41,611 Vol.
いいえ
ムーンショット
$0 Vol.
いいえ
メイトゥアン
$26,838 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the third best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Google for the third-best AI model on the LMArena Chatbot Arena leaderboard (style control off) as of end-March 2026, with Gemini variants securing the third-highest Arena score through stable user-voted pairwise evaluations. Recent developments, including the past week's minimal Elo shifts amid high-volume blind battles, have solidified this positioning behind frontrunners like Anthropic's Claude Opus series dominating top spots via superior reasoning and creative benchmarks. Factors include Google's iterative Gemini 3.x updates enhancing multimodal capabilities and competitive scaling against xAI's Grok and DeepSeek challengers. While last-minute voting surges before March 31 noon ET resolution could theoretically elevate alternatives like xAI, leaderboard momentum and historical stability in late cycles render such upsets improbable.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the third best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the third best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Dec 2, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
音量
$543,246終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Dec 2, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the third best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Google for the third-best AI model on the LMArena Chatbot Arena leaderboard (style control off) as of end-March 2026, with Gemini variants securing the third-highest Arena score through stable user-voted pairwise evaluations. Recent developments, including the past week's minimal Elo shifts amid high-volume blind battles, have solidified this positioning behind frontrunners like Anthropic's Claude Opus series dominating top spots via superior reasoning and creative benchmarks. Factors include Google's iterative Gemini 3.x updates enhancing multimodal capabilities and competitive scaling against xAI's Grok and DeepSeek challengers. While last-minute voting surges before March 31 noon ET resolution could theoretically elevate alternatives like xAI, leaderboard momentum and historical stability in late cycles render such upsets improbable.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the third best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the third best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
音量
$543,246終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Dec 2, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Google for the third-best AI model on the LMArena Chatbot Arena leaderboard (style control off) as of end-March 2026, with Gemini variants securing the third-highest Arena score through stable user-voted pairwise evaluations. Recent developments, including the past week's minimal Elo shifts amid high-volume blind battles, have solidified this positioning behind frontrunners like Anthropic's Claude Opus series dominating top spots via superior reasoning and creative benchmarks. Factors include Google's iterative Gemini 3.x updates enhancing multimodal capabilities and competitive scaling against xAI's Grok and DeepSeek challengers. While last-minute voting surges before March 31 noon ET resolution could theoretically elevate alternatives like xAI, leaderboard momentum and historical stability in late cycles render such upsets improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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