Anthropic has not yet officially released Claude 4.7 as of early April 2026, fueling trader uncertainty in this prediction market amid the company's aggressive iteration on its Claude 4 large language model family. Driving sentiment are recent source code leaks revealing unreleased Claude Opus 4.7 and Sonnet 4.8 variants with enhanced coding and reasoning capabilities, echoing earlier accidental disclosures that preceded launches like Sonnet 4.6 in February. This follows a rapid 2026 cadence—Opus 4.6 on February 5, Sonnet 4.6 shortly after—intensifying competition with OpenAI's GPT iterations and Google's Gemini updates. Traders eye potential announcements at upcoming AI safety summits or developer events, where benchmark demonstrations could shift implied probabilities, though timelines often slip due to rigorous ASL-3 safety evaluations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$69,182 Vol.
2026/06/30
3月31日
<1%
5月31日
50%
6月30日
59%
$69,182 Vol.
3月31日
$39,156 Vol.
<1%
5月31日
$20,925 Vol.
50%
6月30日
$9,101 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic has not yet officially released Claude 4.7 as of early April 2026, fueling trader uncertainty in this prediction market amid the company's aggressive iteration on its Claude 4 large language model family. Driving sentiment are recent source code leaks revealing unreleased Claude Opus 4.7 and Sonnet 4.8 variants with enhanced coding and reasoning capabilities, echoing earlier accidental disclosures that preceded launches like Sonnet 4.6 in February. This follows a rapid 2026 cadence—Opus 4.6 on February 5, Sonnet 4.6 shortly after—intensifying competition with OpenAI's GPT iterations and Google's Gemini updates. Traders eye potential announcements at upcoming AI safety summits or developer events, where benchmark demonstrations could shift implied probabilities, though timelines often slip due to rigorous ASL-3 safety evaluations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Mar 11, 2026, 2:49 PM ET
音量
$69,182終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Mar 11, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic has not yet officially released Claude 4.7 as of early April 2026, fueling trader uncertainty in this prediction market amid the company's aggressive iteration on its Claude 4 large language model family. Driving sentiment are recent source code leaks revealing unreleased Claude Opus 4.7 and Sonnet 4.8 variants with enhanced coding and reasoning capabilities, echoing earlier accidental disclosures that preceded launches like Sonnet 4.6 in February. This follows a rapid 2026 cadence—Opus 4.6 on February 5, Sonnet 4.6 shortly after—intensifying competition with OpenAI's GPT iterations and Google's Gemini updates. Traders eye potential announcements at upcoming AI safety summits or developer events, where benchmark demonstrations could shift implied probabilities, though timelines often slip due to rigorous ASL-3 safety evaluations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$69,182終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Mar 11, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic has not yet officially released Claude 4.7 as of early April 2026, fueling trader uncertainty in this prediction market amid the company's aggressive iteration on its Claude 4 large language model family. Driving sentiment are recent source code leaks revealing unreleased Claude Opus 4.7 and Sonnet 4.8 variants with enhanced coding and reasoning capabilities, echoing earlier accidental disclosures that preceded launches like Sonnet 4.6 in February. This follows a rapid 2026 cadence—Opus 4.6 on February 5, Sonnet 4.6 shortly after—intensifying competition with OpenAI's GPT iterations and Google's Gemini updates. Traders eye potential announcements at upcoming AI safety summits or developer events, where benchmark demonstrations could shift implied probabilities, though timelines often slip due to rigorous ASL-3 safety evaluations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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