Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 12+ downtime days for Claude.ai in April 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by Anthropic's official status page logging repeated elevated error incidents across claude.ai—culminating in a cluster on April 23–25 involving Opus 4.7 model disruptions, slower responses, and sign-up issues, on top of earlier outages like April 13 and 15. Surging user demand amid competitive pressure from OpenAI has strained infrastructure, turning brief disruptions into non-green daily status boxes on the uptime history, already securing over a dozen affected days as boxes finalize sequentially. Realistic challenges are slim barring resolution disputes over incident classifications, with April 26–30 unlikely to retroactively alter confirmed tallies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日12回以上 100.0%
0-2 <1%
3〜5 <1%
6〜8 <1%
$85,583 Vol.
$85,583 Vol.
2026/04/30
0-2
いいえ
3〜5
いいえ
6〜8
いいえ
9～11
いいえ
12回以上
はい
12回以上 100.0%
0-2 <1%
3〜5 <1%
6〜8 <1%
$85,583 Vol.
$85,583 Vol.
2026/04/30
0-2
$16,970 Vol.
いいえ
3〜5
$15,327 Vol.
いいえ
6〜8
$17,025 Vol.
いいえ
9～11
$15,185 Vol.
いいえ
12回以上
$21,076 Vol.
はい
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 12+ downtime days for Claude.ai in April 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by Anthropic's official status page logging repeated elevated error incidents across claude.ai—culminating in a cluster on April 23–25 involving Opus 4.7 model disruptions, slower responses, and sign-up issues, on top of earlier outages like April 13 and 15. Surging user demand amid competitive pressure from OpenAI has strained infrastructure, turning brief disruptions into non-green daily status boxes on the uptime history, already securing over a dozen affected days as boxes finalize sequentially. Realistic challenges are slim barring resolution disputes over incident classifications, with April 26–30 unlikely to retroactively alter confirmed tallies.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
マーケット開始日： Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
音量
$85,583終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 12+ downtime days for Claude.ai in April 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by Anthropic's official status page logging repeated elevated error incidents across claude.ai—culminating in a cluster on April 23–25 involving Opus 4.7 model disruptions, slower responses, and sign-up issues, on top of earlier outages like April 13 and 15. Surging user demand amid competitive pressure from OpenAI has strained infrastructure, turning brief disruptions into non-green daily status boxes on the uptime history, already securing over a dozen affected days as boxes finalize sequentially. Realistic challenges are slim barring resolution disputes over incident classifications, with April 26–30 unlikely to retroactively alter confirmed tallies.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
音量
$85,583終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 12+ downtime days for Claude.ai in April 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by Anthropic's official status page logging repeated elevated error incidents across claude.ai—culminating in a cluster on April 23–25 involving Opus 4.7 model disruptions, slower responses, and sign-up issues, on top of earlier outages like April 13 and 15. Surging user demand amid competitive pressure from OpenAI has strained infrastructure, turning brief disruptions into non-green daily status boxes on the uptime history, already securing over a dozen affected days as boxes finalize sequentially. Realistic challenges are slim barring resolution disputes over incident classifications, with April 26–30 unlikely to retroactively alter confirmed tallies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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