Trader consensus on the "Services Down Parlay" market reflects near-certainty at 98.3% for "No," as the March 31, 2026, deadline passed over a month ago without all required critical incidents occurring across AWS, Discord, and Cloudflare. AWS logged "disrupted" severity events on its Health Dashboard, including March us-east-1 impairments affecting EC2, S3, and DynamoDB, but Discord's March voice and messaging issues appear classified as Major (orange) rather than Critical (red) on discordstatus.com, while Cloudflare's February outage did not finalize as Critical upon resolution per cloudflarestatus.com. No qualifying incidents have emerged since, solidifying the wisdom-of-crowds assessment. Realistic risks include delayed oracle resolution from incident review or rare post-period classification revisions, though administrative hurdles are more likely than outcome reversal.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$14,290 Vol.
$14,290 Vol.
2026/03/31
はい
$14,290 Vol.
$14,290 Vol.
2026/03/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on the "Services Down Parlay" market reflects near-certainty at 98.3% for "No," as the March 31, 2026, deadline passed over a month ago without all required critical incidents occurring across AWS, Discord, and Cloudflare. AWS logged "disrupted" severity events on its Health Dashboard, including March us-east-1 impairments affecting EC2, S3, and DynamoDB, but Discord's March voice and messaging issues appear classified as Major (orange) rather than Critical (red) on discordstatus.com, while Cloudflare's February outage did not finalize as Critical upon resolution per cloudflarestatus.com. No qualifying incidents have emerged since, solidifying the wisdom-of-crowds assessment. Realistic risks include delayed oracle resolution from incident review or rare post-period classification revisions, though administrative hurdles are more likely than outcome reversal.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
マーケット開始日： Feb 11, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
音量
$14,290終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on the "Services Down Parlay" market reflects near-certainty at 98.3% for "No," as the March 31, 2026, deadline passed over a month ago without all required critical incidents occurring across AWS, Discord, and Cloudflare. AWS logged "disrupted" severity events on its Health Dashboard, including March us-east-1 impairments affecting EC2, S3, and DynamoDB, but Discord's March voice and messaging issues appear classified as Major (orange) rather than Critical (red) on discordstatus.com, while Cloudflare's February outage did not finalize as Critical upon resolution per cloudflarestatus.com. No qualifying incidents have emerged since, solidifying the wisdom-of-crowds assessment. Realistic risks include delayed oracle resolution from incident review or rare post-period classification revisions, though administrative hurdles are more likely than outcome reversal.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
音量
$14,290終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on the "Services Down Parlay" market reflects near-certainty at 98.3% for "No," as the March 31, 2026, deadline passed over a month ago without all required critical incidents occurring across AWS, Discord, and Cloudflare. AWS logged "disrupted" severity events on its Health Dashboard, including March us-east-1 impairments affecting EC2, S3, and DynamoDB, but Discord's March voice and messaging issues appear classified as Major (orange) rather than Critical (red) on discordstatus.com, while Cloudflare's February outage did not finalize as Critical upon resolution per cloudflarestatus.com. No qualifying incidents have emerged since, solidifying the wisdom-of-crowds assessment. Realistic risks include delayed oracle resolution from incident review or rare post-period classification revisions, though administrative hurdles are more likely than outcome reversal.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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