Trader consensus on Polymarket's Services Down Parlay market reflects near-certainty at 96.9% for "No," driven by the absence of simultaneous critical incidents across AWS, Discord, and Cloudflare by the March 31, 2026, deadline. While AWS endured a major global outage on March 1 affecting over 80 services, including impacts to AI workloads like Claude, neither Discord nor Cloudflare reported qualifying critical disruptions per their official status pages during the period—Cloudflare's last notable issue was in February. This conjunctive parlay structure demands all three independent infrastructures fail severely, a rare alignment given redundancies, diverse architectures, and no correlated threats like cyberattacks or geomagnetic storms materializing. With the deadline passed, resolution hinges on final status page verification; unlikely shifts could arise from disputes over incident severity classifications or overlooked events, though trader capital overwhelmingly backs stability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$13,979 Vol.
$13,979 Vol.
2026/03/31
はい
$13,979 Vol.
$13,979 Vol.
2026/03/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket's Services Down Parlay market reflects near-certainty at 96.9% for "No," driven by the absence of simultaneous critical incidents across AWS, Discord, and Cloudflare by the March 31, 2026, deadline. While AWS endured a major global outage on March 1 affecting over 80 services, including impacts to AI workloads like Claude, neither Discord nor Cloudflare reported qualifying critical disruptions per their official status pages during the period—Cloudflare's last notable issue was in February. This conjunctive parlay structure demands all three independent infrastructures fail severely, a rare alignment given redundancies, diverse architectures, and no correlated threats like cyberattacks or geomagnetic storms materializing. With the deadline passed, resolution hinges on final status page verification; unlikely shifts could arise from disputes over incident severity classifications or overlooked events, though trader capital overwhelmingly backs stability.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
マーケット開始日： Feb 11, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
音量
$13,979終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket's Services Down Parlay market reflects near-certainty at 96.9% for "No," driven by the absence of simultaneous critical incidents across AWS, Discord, and Cloudflare by the March 31, 2026, deadline. While AWS endured a major global outage on March 1 affecting over 80 services, including impacts to AI workloads like Claude, neither Discord nor Cloudflare reported qualifying critical disruptions per their official status pages during the period—Cloudflare's last notable issue was in February. This conjunctive parlay structure demands all three independent infrastructures fail severely, a rare alignment given redundancies, diverse architectures, and no correlated threats like cyberattacks or geomagnetic storms materializing. With the deadline passed, resolution hinges on final status page verification; unlikely shifts could arise from disputes over incident severity classifications or overlooked events, though trader capital overwhelmingly backs stability.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
音量
$13,979終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Services Down Parlay market reflects near-certainty at 96.9% for "No," driven by the absence of simultaneous critical incidents across AWS, Discord, and Cloudflare by the March 31, 2026, deadline. While AWS endured a major global outage on March 1 affecting over 80 services, including impacts to AI workloads like Claude, neither Discord nor Cloudflare reported qualifying critical disruptions per their official status pages during the period—Cloudflare's last notable issue was in February. This conjunctive parlay structure demands all three independent infrastructures fail severely, a rare alignment given redundancies, diverse architectures, and no correlated threats like cyberattacks or geomagnetic storms materializing. With the deadline passed, resolution hinges on final status page verification; unlikely shifts could arise from disputes over incident severity classifications or overlooked events, though trader capital overwhelmingly backs stability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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