Anthropic's Claude AI service has faced persistent infrastructure strain since the March 4 launch of its Claude 3 family of large language models, driving overwhelming user demand and resulting in at least 11 days of partial outages, elevated error rates, or rate limiting as logged on the official status page—including incidents on March 5, 13, 20, 27, and 29. This rapid scaling challenge amid competitive AI positioning has solidified trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 11+ downtime days in March, backed by real capital reflecting skin-in-the-game assessments. With the month nearly resolved, only an audit reclassifying incidents as non-downtime could challenge this, though recent high-traffic patterns make reversal improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日9〜10 <1%
$22,662 Vol.
$22,662 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
9〜10
<1%
9〜10 <1%
$22,662 Vol.
$22,662 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
9〜10
$6,886 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of March during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in March 2026 is finalized. If the final day in March 2026 has not been finalized by April 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in March which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Anthropic's Claude AI service has faced persistent infrastructure strain since the March 4 launch of its Claude 3 family of large language models, driving overwhelming user demand and resulting in at least 11 days of partial outages, elevated error rates, or rate limiting as logged on the official status page—including incidents on March 5, 13, 20, 27, and 29. This rapid scaling challenge amid competitive AI positioning has solidified trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 11+ downtime days in March, backed by real capital reflecting skin-in-the-game assessments. With the month nearly resolved, only an audit reclassifying incidents as non-downtime could challenge this, though recent high-traffic patterns make reversal improbable.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of March during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in March 2026 is finalized. If the final day in March 2026 has not been finalized by April 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in March which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in March 2026 is finalized. If the final day in March 2026 has not been finalized by April 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in March which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
マーケット開始日： Feb 25, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
音量
$22,662終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 25, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立て
提案された結果: いいえ
最終異議申し立て
最終
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of March during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in March 2026 is finalized. If the final day in March 2026 has not been finalized by April 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in March which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Anthropic's Claude AI service has faced persistent infrastructure strain since the March 4 launch of its Claude 3 family of large language models, driving overwhelming user demand and resulting in at least 11 days of partial outages, elevated error rates, or rate limiting as logged on the official status page—including incidents on March 5, 13, 20, 27, and 29. This rapid scaling challenge amid competitive AI positioning has solidified trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 11+ downtime days in March, backed by real capital reflecting skin-in-the-game assessments. With the month nearly resolved, only an audit reclassifying incidents as non-downtime could challenge this, though recent high-traffic patterns make reversal improbable.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of March during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in March 2026 is finalized. If the final day in March 2026 has not been finalized by April 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in March which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in March 2026 is finalized. If the final day in March 2026 has not been finalized by April 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in March which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
音量
$22,662終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 25, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立て
提案された結果: いいえ
最終異議申し立て
最終
Anthropic's Claude AI service has faced persistent infrastructure strain since the March 4 launch of its Claude 3 family of large language models, driving overwhelming user demand and resulting in at least 11 days of partial outages, elevated error rates, or rate limiting as logged on the official status page—including incidents on March 5, 13, 20, 27, and 29. This rapid scaling challenge amid competitive AI positioning has solidified trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 11+ downtime days in March, backed by real capital reflecting skin-in-the-game assessments. With the month nearly resolved, only an audit reclassifying incidents as non-downtime could challenge this, though recent high-traffic patterns make reversal improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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