Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to Apple as the third-largest company by market capitalization at April 30 close, reflecting its $3.98 trillion valuation—firmly behind Nvidia ($4.85 trillion, propelled by unrelenting AI chip demand) and Alphabet ($4.62 trillion, bolstered by search dominance and Google Cloud expansion) but ahead of Microsoft ($3.03 trillion) by a commanding $950 billion gap. Recent trading over the past week has stabilized these rankings, with no major earnings releases or macroeconomic shocks disrupting the hierarchy, as tech megacaps maintain leadership amid broader market cap growth. Saudi Aramco ($1.79 trillion) and others trail far behind. Realistic challenges would demand extraordinary intraday volatility, such as a 30%+ Microsoft surge or Apple plunge—scenarios defying historical base rates and minimal time remaining before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Apple 100.0%
マイクロソフト <1%
アルファベット <1%
サウジアラムコ <1%
$1,064,202 Vol.
$1,064,202 Vol.

マイクロソフト
いいえ

アルファベット
いいえ

サウジアラムコ
いいえ

オラクル
いいえ

NVIDIA
いいえ

Apple
はい

テスラ
いいえ

アマゾン
いいえ
Apple 100.0%
マイクロソフト <1%
アルファベット <1%
サウジアラムコ <1%
$1,064,202 Vol.
$1,064,202 Vol.

マイクロソフト
いいえ

アルファベット
いいえ

サウジアラムコ
いいえ

オラクル
いいえ

NVIDIA
いいえ

Apple
はい

テスラ
いいえ

アマゾン
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: Mar 20, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to Apple as the third-largest company by market capitalization at April 30 close, reflecting its $3.98 trillion valuation—firmly behind Nvidia ($4.85 trillion, propelled by unrelenting AI chip demand) and Alphabet ($4.62 trillion, bolstered by search dominance and Google Cloud expansion) but ahead of Microsoft ($3.03 trillion) by a commanding $950 billion gap. Recent trading over the past week has stabilized these rankings, with no major earnings releases or macroeconomic shocks disrupting the hierarchy, as tech megacaps maintain leadership amid broader market cap growth. Saudi Aramco ($1.79 trillion) and others trail far behind. Realistic challenges would demand extraordinary intraday volatility, such as a 30%+ Microsoft surge or Apple plunge—scenarios defying historical base rates and minimal time remaining before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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