Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an implied 77.5% probability that Apple remains the third-largest company by market capitalization at April 30 close, trailing Nvidia ($4.901 trillion) and Alphabet ($4.105 trillion), whose $134 billion lead reflects sustained AI-driven momentum and year-to-date gains of 9.2% versus Apple's -0.6%. Recent April 17 price action narrowed the Alphabet-Apple gap, with Apple advancing 2.59% to $3.971 trillion against Alphabet's 1.99% rise, yet skin-in-the-game bets favor Alphabet holding second amid low near-term catalysts. Microsoft ($3.142 trillion) lags by over $800 billion, limiting its 0.6% odds, while others like Nvidia or Saudi Aramco face insurmountable deficits. Broad market volatility persists ahead of quarter-end positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Apple 78%
アルファベット 21%
マイクロソフト <1%
NVIDIA <1%
$913,075 Vol.
$913,075 Vol.

Apple
78%

アルファベット
21%

マイクロソフト
1%

NVIDIA
<1%

サウジアラムコ
<1%

オラクル
<1%

テスラ
<1%

アマゾン
<1%
Apple 78%
アルファベット 21%
マイクロソフト <1%
NVIDIA <1%
$913,075 Vol.
$913,075 Vol.

Apple
78%

アルファベット
21%

マイクロソフト
1%

NVIDIA
<1%

サウジアラムコ
<1%

オラクル
<1%

テスラ
<1%

アマゾン
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: Mar 20, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an implied 77.5% probability that Apple remains the third-largest company by market capitalization at April 30 close, trailing Nvidia ($4.901 trillion) and Alphabet ($4.105 trillion), whose $134 billion lead reflects sustained AI-driven momentum and year-to-date gains of 9.2% versus Apple's -0.6%. Recent April 17 price action narrowed the Alphabet-Apple gap, with Apple advancing 2.59% to $3.971 trillion against Alphabet's 1.99% rise, yet skin-in-the-game bets favor Alphabet holding second amid low near-term catalysts. Microsoft ($3.142 trillion) lags by over $800 billion, limiting its 0.6% odds, while others like Nvidia or Saudi Aramco face insurmountable deficits. Broad market volatility persists ahead of quarter-end positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問