Moonshot AI's rapid iteration on its Kimi large language models fuels trader anticipation for Kimi K3, following the April 20, 2026, launch of open-weight Kimi K2.6, which topped benchmarks in long-horizon coding, agent swarms scaling to 300 sub-agents, and frontend generation while undercutting rivals like Claude Opus 4.6 and GPT-5.4 in cost. A January Series C infusion of $500 million explicitly targeted K3 development amid compute expansion, bolstered by a fresh $2 billion round closing May 6 at $20 billion valuation. No official K3 announcement has surfaced, but the firm's two-year cadence—five major updates—points to Q2 2026 as a key window, with competitive pressure from Chinese labs intensifying open-source AI races. Traders eye imminent reveals or developer previews that could trigger resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$38,060 Vol.
2026/06/30
June 30
22%
5月31日
18%
$38,060 Vol.
June 30
$3,044 Vol.
22%
5月31日
$1,614 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI's rapid iteration on its Kimi large language models fuels trader anticipation for Kimi K3, following the April 20, 2026, launch of open-weight Kimi K2.6, which topped benchmarks in long-horizon coding, agent swarms scaling to 300 sub-agents, and frontend generation while undercutting rivals like Claude Opus 4.6 and GPT-5.4 in cost. A January Series C infusion of $500 million explicitly targeted K3 development amid compute expansion, bolstered by a fresh $2 billion round closing May 6 at $20 billion valuation. No official K3 announcement has surfaced, but the firm's two-year cadence—five major updates—points to Q2 2026 as a key window, with competitive pressure from Chinese labs intensifying open-source AI races. Traders eye imminent reveals or developer previews that could trigger resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Apr 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
音量
$38,060終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI's rapid iteration on its Kimi large language models fuels trader anticipation for Kimi K3, following the April 20, 2026, launch of open-weight Kimi K2.6, which topped benchmarks in long-horizon coding, agent swarms scaling to 300 sub-agents, and frontend generation while undercutting rivals like Claude Opus 4.6 and GPT-5.4 in cost. A January Series C infusion of $500 million explicitly targeted K3 development amid compute expansion, bolstered by a fresh $2 billion round closing May 6 at $20 billion valuation. No official K3 announcement has surfaced, but the firm's two-year cadence—five major updates—points to Q2 2026 as a key window, with competitive pressure from Chinese labs intensifying open-source AI races. Traders eye imminent reveals or developer previews that could trigger resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$38,060終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Moonshot AI's rapid iteration on its Kimi large language models fuels trader anticipation for Kimi K3, following the April 20, 2026, launch of open-weight Kimi K2.6, which topped benchmarks in long-horizon coding, agent swarms scaling to 300 sub-agents, and frontend generation while undercutting rivals like Claude Opus 4.6 and GPT-5.4 in cost. A January Series C infusion of $500 million explicitly targeted K3 development amid compute expansion, bolstered by a fresh $2 billion round closing May 6 at $20 billion valuation. No official K3 announcement has surfaced, but the firm's two-year cadence—five major updates—points to Q2 2026 as a key window, with competitive pressure from Chinese labs intensifying open-source AI races. Traders eye imminent reveals or developer previews that could trigger resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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