Recent DoD updates to the Section 1260H Chinese Military Companies list drive trader focus on removal criteria, primarily whether entities continue operating directly or indirectly in the United States. The June 2026 revision added 65 entities—including AI-linked firms like Alibaba and Baidu—while removing 10, such as certain CNOOC and COSCO subsidiaries, after determining they no longer meet the statutory threshold. Earlier 2025 and 2024 updates followed similar patterns, with removals often tied to administrative reviews or litigation challenging designations. Key upcoming catalysts include further DoD list revisions ahead of the June 30, 2027, procurement restrictions under NDAA provisions, alongside potential company compliance filings or court challenges that could alter eligibility for delisting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$75,056 Vol.

Baidu
53%

BYD
52%

Alibaba
42%

CATL
39%

YMTC
29%

Tencent
40%

Unitree
25%

Hesai
30%

CXMT
22%

DJI
22%
$75,056 Vol.

Baidu
53%

BYD
52%

Alibaba
42%

CATL
39%

YMTC
29%

Tencent
40%

Unitree
25%

Hesai
30%

CXMT
22%

DJI
22%
A qualifying removal occurs when the specified company named in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/) no longer appears on an updated official Section 1260H list.
A qualifying removal must be reflected in a subsequent list published by the U.S. Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website, in an official DoD announcement or Federal Register notice of delisting.
Removal of a subsidiary or affiliate entry while the specified company remains listed will not qualify. Removal of a company will qualify even if formerly affiliated subsidiaries remain listed as separate entries.
An entity that ceases to appear solely due to renaming, merger with another listed entity, or transfer of the designation to a successor, parent, or affiliate entity will not be considered removed.
A removal will qualify regardless of whether it is later retracted or withdrawn.
For the purposes of this market, a company’s status will be entirely determined by its presence on the aforementioned list. If the enforcement of its designation is suspended without being removed from the aforementioned list, that will not qualify as a removal.
If no qualifying announcement or list republishing occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the Department of Defense (https://www.defense.gov) (a.k.a. Department of War, https://www.war.gov).
マーケット開始日: Jul 13, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying removal occurs when the specified company named in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/) no longer appears on an updated official Section 1260H list.
A qualifying removal must be reflected in a subsequent list published by the U.S. Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website, in an official DoD announcement or Federal Register notice of delisting.
Removal of a subsidiary or affiliate entry while the specified company remains listed will not qualify. Removal of a company will qualify even if formerly affiliated subsidiaries remain listed as separate entries.
An entity that ceases to appear solely due to renaming, merger with another listed entity, or transfer of the designation to a successor, parent, or affiliate entity will not be considered removed.
A removal will qualify regardless of whether it is later retracted or withdrawn.
For the purposes of this market, a company’s status will be entirely determined by its presence on the aforementioned list. If the enforcement of its designation is suspended without being removed from the aforementioned list, that will not qualify as a removal.
If no qualifying announcement or list republishing occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the Department of Defense (https://www.defense.gov) (a.k.a. Department of War, https://www.war.gov).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent DoD updates to the Section 1260H Chinese Military Companies list drive trader focus on removal criteria, primarily whether entities continue operating directly or indirectly in the United States. The June 2026 revision added 65 entities—including AI-linked firms like Alibaba and Baidu—while removing 10, such as certain CNOOC and COSCO subsidiaries, after determining they no longer meet the statutory threshold. Earlier 2025 and 2024 updates followed similar patterns, with removals often tied to administrative reviews or litigation challenging designations. Key upcoming catalysts include further DoD list revisions ahead of the June 30, 2027, procurement restrictions under NDAA provisions, alongside potential company compliance filings or court challenges that could alter eligibility for delisting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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