Discord’s January 2026 confidential SEC filing and advisor engagements with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan have yet to produce a public S-1, leaving the IPO timeline uncertain amid softer market conditions. Private-market valuations have compressed to roughly $8.5 billion per Forge Global data, reflecting revenue growth to around $600–890 million but tempered multiples versus the 2021 peak above $14 billion. Traders price an 8–11 billion closing range highest at 24.5 percent because current fundamentals and comparable tech multiples align there, while the 19.8 percent probability of no IPO by end-2027 captures regulatory, macroeconomic, and strategic risks that could delay or derail a listing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日80〜110億 25%
2027年12月31日までにIPOなし 19.8%
50億ドル未満 17%
200億ドル以上 16.0%
$26,128 Vol.
$26,128 Vol.
2027/12/31
50億ドル未満
17%
50～80億ドル
13%
80〜110億
25%
110〜140億ドル
5%
140〜170億
2%
170〜200億ドル
10%
200億ドル以上
16%
2027年12月31日までにIPOなし
20%
80〜110億 25%
2027年12月31日までにIPOなし 19.8%
50億ドル未満 17%
200億ドル以上 16.0%
$26,128 Vol.
$26,128 Vol.
2027/12/31
50億ドル未満
$1,780 Vol.
17%
50～80億ドル
$2,716 Vol.
13%
80〜110億
$10,871 Vol.
25%
110〜140億ドル
$2,154 Vol.
5%
140〜170億
$1,292 Vol.
2%
170〜200億ドル
$3,762 Vol.
10%
200億ドル以上
$870 Vol.
16%
2027年12月31日までにIPOなし
$2,684 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Discord’s January 2026 confidential SEC filing and advisor engagements with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan have yet to produce a public S-1, leaving the IPO timeline uncertain amid softer market conditions. Private-market valuations have compressed to roughly $8.5 billion per Forge Global data, reflecting revenue growth to around $600–890 million but tempered multiples versus the 2021 peak above $14 billion. Traders price an 8–11 billion closing range highest at 24.5 percent because current fundamentals and comparable tech multiples align there, while the 19.8 percent probability of no IPO by end-2027 captures regulatory, macroeconomic, and strategic risks that could delay or derail a listing.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
音量
$26,128終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Discord’s January 2026 confidential SEC filing and advisor engagements with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan have yet to produce a public S-1, leaving the IPO timeline uncertain amid softer market conditions. Private-market valuations have compressed to roughly $8.5 billion per Forge Global data, reflecting revenue growth to around $600–890 million but tempered multiples versus the 2021 peak above $14 billion. Traders price an 8–11 billion closing range highest at 24.5 percent because current fundamentals and comparable tech multiples align there, while the 19.8 percent probability of no IPO by end-2027 captures regulatory, macroeconomic, and strategic risks that could delay or derail a listing.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
音量
$26,128終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Discord’s January 2026 confidential SEC filing and advisor engagements with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan have yet to produce a public S-1, leaving the IPO timeline uncertain amid softer market conditions. Private-market valuations have compressed to roughly $8.5 billion per Forge Global data, reflecting revenue growth to around $600–890 million but tempered multiples versus the 2021 peak above $14 billion. Traders price an 8–11 billion closing range highest at 24.5 percent because current fundamentals and comparable tech multiples align there, while the 19.8 percent probability of no IPO by end-2027 captures regulatory, macroeconomic, and strategic risks that could delay or derail a listing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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