Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic providing its advanced Claude Mythos AI model—optimized for discovering zero-day vulnerabilities and cybersecurity analysis—to the US government by June 30, driven by recent reports of the National Security Agency already testing it on major software despite ongoing Pentagon disputes and prior blacklisting. The White House has moved to authorize federal agency access, prioritizing government use amid concerns over compute scarcity and strategic risks, even as Anthropic limits Mythos Preview to about 50 vetted organizations. This shift follows Anthropic's early April preview release highlighting its "step-change" capabilities, overriding ethical contract refusals from earlier 2026. Key catalysts ahead include potential formal agreements or expanded clearances before the deadline, though regulatory hurdles or bandwidth limits could delay full deployment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Anthropicは...によって米国政府に神話を提供しますか？
Anthropicは...によって米国政府に神話を提供しますか？
$247,494 Vol.
2026/04/30
4月30日
はい
May 31
Yes
June 30
Yes
$247,494 Vol.
4月30日
$120,301 Vol.
はい
May 31
$76,281 Vol.
Yes
June 30
$50,911 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthropic grants the United States federal government access to Claude Mythos (including Mythos Preview) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Granting access to Claude Mythos refers to Anthropic allowing any department, agency, or subset of the United States federal government to use Claude Mythos for any purpose.
An official announcement from either Anthropic or the United States federal government, that Anthropic has agreed to grant the United States federal government access to Claude Mythos, will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether access begins after the resolution date. Suggestions, negotiations, or other statements that do not constitute granting access will not qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Anthropic has agreed to grant access to Claude Mythos to the United States federal government will also suffice.
“Claude Mythos” refers to a model named “Claude Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos Preview, Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos X) or a model confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model referenced in the March 26, 2026 leak. Models such as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not qualify unless explicitly confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak.
General public availability of a Claude Mythos model without a qualifying announcement or confirmation of access being granted will not alone suffice.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from Anthropic and the United States federal government, and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic providing its advanced Claude Mythos AI model—optimized for discovering zero-day vulnerabilities and cybersecurity analysis—to the US government by June 30, driven by recent reports of the National Security Agency already testing it on major software despite ongoing Pentagon disputes and prior blacklisting. The White House has moved to authorize federal agency access, prioritizing government use amid concerns over compute scarcity and strategic risks, even as Anthropic limits Mythos Preview to about 50 vetted organizations. This shift follows Anthropic's early April preview release highlighting its "step-change" capabilities, overriding ethical contract refusals from earlier 2026. Key catalysts ahead include potential formal agreements or expanded clearances before the deadline, though regulatory hurdles or bandwidth limits could delay full deployment.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthropic grants the United States federal government access to Claude Mythos (including Mythos Preview) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Granting access to Claude Mythos refers to Anthropic allowing any department, agency, or subset of the United States federal government to use Claude Mythos for any purpose.
An official announcement from either Anthropic or the United States federal government, that Anthropic has agreed to grant the United States federal government access to Claude Mythos, will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether access begins after the resolution date. Suggestions, negotiations, or other statements that do not constitute granting access will not qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Anthropic has agreed to grant access to Claude Mythos to the United States federal government will also suffice.
“Claude Mythos” refers to a model named “Claude Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos Preview, Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos X) or a model confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model referenced in the March 26, 2026 leak. Models such as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not qualify unless explicitly confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak.
General public availability of a Claude Mythos model without a qualifying announcement or confirmation of access being granted will not alone suffice.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from Anthropic and the United States federal government, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Granting access to Claude Mythos refers to Anthropic allowing any department, agency, or subset of the United States federal government to use Claude Mythos for any purpose.
An official announcement from either Anthropic or the United States federal government, that Anthropic has agreed to grant the United States federal government access to Claude Mythos, will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether access begins after the resolution date. Suggestions, negotiations, or other statements that do not constitute granting access will not qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Anthropic has agreed to grant access to Claude Mythos to the United States federal government will also suffice.
“Claude Mythos” refers to a model named “Claude Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos Preview, Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos X) or a model confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model referenced in the March 26, 2026 leak. Models such as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not qualify unless explicitly confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak.
General public availability of a Claude Mythos model without a qualifying announcement or confirmation of access being granted will not alone suffice.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from Anthropic and the United States federal government, and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Apr 17, 2026, 6:56 PM ET
音量
$247,494終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 6:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: はい
異議申し立て
提案された結果: はい
異議申し立て
最終結果: はい
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthropic grants the United States federal government access to Claude Mythos (including Mythos Preview) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Granting access to Claude Mythos refers to Anthropic allowing any department, agency, or subset of the United States federal government to use Claude Mythos for any purpose.
An official announcement from either Anthropic or the United States federal government, that Anthropic has agreed to grant the United States federal government access to Claude Mythos, will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether access begins after the resolution date. Suggestions, negotiations, or other statements that do not constitute granting access will not qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Anthropic has agreed to grant access to Claude Mythos to the United States federal government will also suffice.
“Claude Mythos” refers to a model named “Claude Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos Preview, Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos X) or a model confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model referenced in the March 26, 2026 leak. Models such as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not qualify unless explicitly confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak.
General public availability of a Claude Mythos model without a qualifying announcement or confirmation of access being granted will not alone suffice.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from Anthropic and the United States federal government, and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic providing its advanced Claude Mythos AI model—optimized for discovering zero-day vulnerabilities and cybersecurity analysis—to the US government by June 30, driven by recent reports of the National Security Agency already testing it on major software despite ongoing Pentagon disputes and prior blacklisting. The White House has moved to authorize federal agency access, prioritizing government use amid concerns over compute scarcity and strategic risks, even as Anthropic limits Mythos Preview to about 50 vetted organizations. This shift follows Anthropic's early April preview release highlighting its "step-change" capabilities, overriding ethical contract refusals from earlier 2026. Key catalysts ahead include potential formal agreements or expanded clearances before the deadline, though regulatory hurdles or bandwidth limits could delay full deployment.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthropic grants the United States federal government access to Claude Mythos (including Mythos Preview) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Granting access to Claude Mythos refers to Anthropic allowing any department, agency, or subset of the United States federal government to use Claude Mythos for any purpose.
An official announcement from either Anthropic or the United States federal government, that Anthropic has agreed to grant the United States federal government access to Claude Mythos, will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether access begins after the resolution date. Suggestions, negotiations, or other statements that do not constitute granting access will not qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Anthropic has agreed to grant access to Claude Mythos to the United States federal government will also suffice.
“Claude Mythos” refers to a model named “Claude Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos Preview, Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos X) or a model confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model referenced in the March 26, 2026 leak. Models such as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not qualify unless explicitly confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak.
General public availability of a Claude Mythos model without a qualifying announcement or confirmation of access being granted will not alone suffice.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from Anthropic and the United States federal government, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Granting access to Claude Mythos refers to Anthropic allowing any department, agency, or subset of the United States federal government to use Claude Mythos for any purpose.
An official announcement from either Anthropic or the United States federal government, that Anthropic has agreed to grant the United States federal government access to Claude Mythos, will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether access begins after the resolution date. Suggestions, negotiations, or other statements that do not constitute granting access will not qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Anthropic has agreed to grant access to Claude Mythos to the United States federal government will also suffice.
“Claude Mythos” refers to a model named “Claude Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos Preview, Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos X) or a model confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model referenced in the March 26, 2026 leak. Models such as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not qualify unless explicitly confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak.
General public availability of a Claude Mythos model without a qualifying announcement or confirmation of access being granted will not alone suffice.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from Anthropic and the United States federal government, and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$247,494終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 6:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: はい
異議申し立て
提案された結果: はい
異議申し立て
最終結果: はい
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic providing its advanced Claude Mythos AI model—optimized for discovering zero-day vulnerabilities and cybersecurity analysis—to the US government by June 30, driven by recent reports of the National Security Agency already testing it on major software despite ongoing Pentagon disputes and prior blacklisting. The White House has moved to authorize federal agency access, prioritizing government use amid concerns over compute scarcity and strategic risks, even as Anthropic limits Mythos Preview to about 50 vetted organizations. This shift follows Anthropic's early April preview release highlighting its "step-change" capabilities, overriding ethical contract refusals from earlier 2026. Key catalysts ahead include potential formal agreements or expanded clearances before the deadline, though regulatory hurdles or bandwidth limits could delay full deployment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問