Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 has solidified trader consensus at near-certainty for the top coding AI model as of April 30, driven by its mid-April launch that propelled it to #1 on key benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (leading with 76.8%+ scores) and Arena's Code Arena (37-point jump over prior versions, 130-point edge over rivals like GPT-5.4). This large language model excels in agentic coding, resolving complex GitHub issues and building real-world apps with superior reasoning, outpacing competitors from OpenAI, Google, and others despite recent GPT-5.5 challenges in agentic tasks. Polymarket odds reflect skin-in-the-game validation of these verified results. Realistic shifts could arise from last-minute benchmark updates or surprise releases before resolution, though none have materialized in the final days.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Anthropic 100.0%
xAI <1%
バイトダンス <1%
百度 <1%
$266,154 Vol.
$266,154 Vol.
2026/04/30
xAI
いいえ
バイトダンス
いいえ
百度
いいえ
OpenAI
いいえ
アリババ
いいえ
ムーンショット
いいえ
DeepSeek
いいえ
Mistral
いいえ
Meituan
いいえ
Anthropic
はい
いいえ
Amazon
いいえ
Z.ai
いいえ
Anthropic 100.0%
xAI <1%
バイトダンス <1%
百度 <1%
$266,154 Vol.
$266,154 Vol.
2026/04/30
xAI
$10,586 Vol.
いいえ
バイトダンス
$10,834 Vol.
いいえ
百度
$10,999 Vol.
いいえ
OpenAI
$51,753 Vol.
いいえ
アリババ
$15,388 Vol.
いいえ
ムーンショット
$24,635 Vol.
いいえ
DeepSeek
$28,614 Vol.
いいえ
Mistral
$9,907 Vol.
いいえ
Meituan
$9,170 Vol.
いいえ
Anthropic
$48,331 Vol.
はい
$12,506 Vol.
いいえ
Amazon
$10,425 Vol.
いいえ
Z.ai
$23,007 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 has solidified trader consensus at near-certainty for the top coding AI model as of April 30, driven by its mid-April launch that propelled it to #1 on key benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (leading with 76.8%+ scores) and Arena's Code Arena (37-point jump over prior versions, 130-point edge over rivals like GPT-5.4). This large language model excels in agentic coding, resolving complex GitHub issues and building real-world apps with superior reasoning, outpacing competitors from OpenAI, Google, and others despite recent GPT-5.5 challenges in agentic tasks. Polymarket odds reflect skin-in-the-game validation of these verified results. Realistic shifts could arise from last-minute benchmark updates or surprise releases before resolution, though none have materialized in the final days.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Apr 2, 2026, 5:39 PM ET
音量
$266,154終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 5:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 has solidified trader consensus at near-certainty for the top coding AI model as of April 30, driven by its mid-April launch that propelled it to #1 on key benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (leading with 76.8%+ scores) and Arena's Code Arena (37-point jump over prior versions, 130-point edge over rivals like GPT-5.4). This large language model excels in agentic coding, resolving complex GitHub issues and building real-world apps with superior reasoning, outpacing competitors from OpenAI, Google, and others despite recent GPT-5.5 challenges in agentic tasks. Polymarket odds reflect skin-in-the-game validation of these verified results. Realistic shifts could arise from last-minute benchmark updates or surprise releases before resolution, though none have materialized in the final days.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
音量
$266,154終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 5:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 has solidified trader consensus at near-certainty for the top coding AI model as of April 30, driven by its mid-April launch that propelled it to #1 on key benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (leading with 76.8%+ scores) and Arena's Code Arena (37-point jump over prior versions, 130-point edge over rivals like GPT-5.4). This large language model excels in agentic coding, resolving complex GitHub issues and building real-world apps with superior reasoning, outpacing competitors from OpenAI, Google, and others despite recent GPT-5.5 challenges in agentic tasks. Polymarket odds reflect skin-in-the-game validation of these verified results. Realistic shifts could arise from last-minute benchmark updates or surprise releases before resolution, though none have materialized in the final days.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問