Trader sentiment on Claude's potential downtime days in May reflects Anthropic's recent infrastructure struggles amid explosive user growth in early 2026, with Q1 uptime dipping below 99% due to repeated capacity limitations and elevated errors. March alone saw at least five major outages—including a five-hour disruption on March 27 and issues on March 23, 25, and 29—straining the large language model's API, Claude.ai, and Code sessions as Anthropic chases OpenAI's revenue lead. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 6-11 days (topping at 39% for 9-11), signaling trader consensus on persistent scaling challenges versus optimistic fixes, with key swing factors including capacity expansions or new model releases before May; resolution hinges on any full-day service unavailability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日9〜11 39%
6～8 36%
12回以上 35%
3～5 32%
新規
新規
2026/05/31
0-2
17%
3～5
32%
6～8
36%
9〜11
39%
12回以上
35%
9〜11 39%
6～8 36%
12回以上 35%
3～5 32%
新規
新規
2026/05/31
0-2
$17 Vol.
17%
3～5
$0 Vol.
32%
6～8
$0 Vol.
36%
9〜11
$0 Vol.
39%
12回以上
$0 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Trader sentiment on Claude's potential downtime days in May reflects Anthropic's recent infrastructure struggles amid explosive user growth in early 2026, with Q1 uptime dipping below 99% due to repeated capacity limitations and elevated errors. March alone saw at least five major outages—including a five-hour disruption on March 27 and issues on March 23, 25, and 29—straining the large language model's API, Claude.ai, and Code sessions as Anthropic chases OpenAI's revenue lead. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 6-11 days (topping at 39% for 9-11), signaling trader consensus on persistent scaling challenges versus optimistic fixes, with key swing factors including capacity expansions or new model releases before May; resolution hinges on any full-day service unavailability.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
マーケット開始日： Mar 30, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
音量
$17終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Mar 30, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Trader sentiment on Claude's potential downtime days in May reflects Anthropic's recent infrastructure struggles amid explosive user growth in early 2026, with Q1 uptime dipping below 99% due to repeated capacity limitations and elevated errors. March alone saw at least five major outages—including a five-hour disruption on March 27 and issues on March 23, 25, and 29—straining the large language model's API, Claude.ai, and Code sessions as Anthropic chases OpenAI's revenue lead. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 6-11 days (topping at 39% for 9-11), signaling trader consensus on persistent scaling challenges versus optimistic fixes, with key swing factors including capacity expansions or new model releases before May; resolution hinges on any full-day service unavailability.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
音量
$17終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Mar 30, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Claude's potential downtime days in May reflects Anthropic's recent infrastructure struggles amid explosive user growth in early 2026, with Q1 uptime dipping below 99% due to repeated capacity limitations and elevated errors. March alone saw at least five major outages—including a five-hour disruption on March 27 and issues on March 23, 25, and 29—straining the large language model's API, Claude.ai, and Code sessions as Anthropic chases OpenAI's revenue lead. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 6-11 days (topping at 39% for 9-11), signaling trader consensus on persistent scaling challenges versus optimistic fixes, with key swing factors including capacity expansions or new model releases before May; resolution hinges on any full-day service unavailability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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