Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, price Tim Cook's departure as Apple CEO before 2027 at a leading 24% implied probability, barely ahead of Sam Altman's OpenAI exit at 23%, driven by persistent succession speculation despite Cook's mid-March GMA interview quashing imminent retirement rumors originating from late-2025 reports. Cook's 15-year tenure and Apple's maturing leadership pipeline—spotlighting hardware chief John Ternus and COO Jeff Williams—fuel bets on transition amid AI hardware pressures, while Altman's odds reflect OpenAI's volatile board dynamics and fierce large language model competition from Google DeepMind and Anthropic. A broader 2026 wave of tech CEO exits citing AI transformation adds context, with Q2 earnings calls and developer conferences as key near-term catalysts for sentiment shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$584,277 Vol.

ティム・クック - Apple
23%

サム・アルトマン - OpenAI
21%

アンディ・ジャシー - アマゾン
15%

ブライアン・アームストロング - Coinbase
14%

サンダー・ピチャイ - Google
13%

ダン・クランシー - Twitch
4%
$584,277 Vol.

ティム・クック - Apple
23%

サム・アルトマン - OpenAI
21%

アンディ・ジャシー - アマゾン
15%

ブライアン・アームストロング - Coinbase
14%

サンダー・ピチャイ - Google
13%

ダン・クランシー - Twitch
4%
An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
マーケット開始日: Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, price Tim Cook's departure as Apple CEO before 2027 at a leading 24% implied probability, barely ahead of Sam Altman's OpenAI exit at 23%, driven by persistent succession speculation despite Cook's mid-March GMA interview quashing imminent retirement rumors originating from late-2025 reports. Cook's 15-year tenure and Apple's maturing leadership pipeline—spotlighting hardware chief John Ternus and COO Jeff Williams—fuel bets on transition amid AI hardware pressures, while Altman's odds reflect OpenAI's volatile board dynamics and fierce large language model competition from Google DeepMind and Anthropic. A broader 2026 wave of tech CEO exits citing AI transformation adds context, with Q2 earnings calls and developer conferences as key near-term catalysts for sentiment shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問