Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 86.7% implied probability to no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of an S-1 filing or official announcement amid a quiet period since the company's February 2026 $5 billion funding round at a $134 billion private valuation. This capital infusion, coupled with $1.8 billion in January debt financing, bolsters the data analytics and AI platform's runway for growth in lakehouse architecture and AI workloads—reportedly exceeding $4 billion ARR with 65% YoY expansion—reducing near-term public market pressure. Speculation points to a potential H2 2026 listing above $80 billion, but volatile tech valuations and regulatory scrutiny on AI firms temper expectations; watch for Q2 earnings or market stabilization as key catalysts that could shift odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2026年6月30日までにIPOなし 94.7%
2,000億〜2,500億ドル 2.1%
1,250～1,500億ドル 1.4%
2,500億ドル以上 <1%
$403,994 Vol.
$403,994 Vol.
2026/06/30
1000億ドル未満
<1%
1000億〜1250億ドル
<1%
1,250～1,500億ドル
1%
1,500～1,750億ドル
<1%
1,750億～2,000億ドル
<1%
2,000億〜2,500億ドル
2%
2,500億ドル以上
1%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし
87%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし 94.7%
2,000億〜2,500億ドル 2.1%
1,250～1,500億ドル 1.4%
2,500億ドル以上 <1%
$403,994 Vol.
$403,994 Vol.
2026/06/30
1000億ドル未満
$33,240 Vol.
<1%
1000億〜1250億ドル
$62,203 Vol.
<1%
1,250～1,500億ドル
$26,692 Vol.
1%
1,500～1,750億ドル
$59,896 Vol.
<1%
1,750億～2,000億ドル
$58,153 Vol.
<1%
2,000億〜2,500億ドル
$21,122 Vol.
2%
2,500億ドル以上
$126,215 Vol.
1%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし
$16,474 Vol.
87%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 86.7% implied probability to no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of an S-1 filing or official announcement amid a quiet period since the company's February 2026 $5 billion funding round at a $134 billion private valuation. This capital infusion, coupled with $1.8 billion in January debt financing, bolsters the data analytics and AI platform's runway for growth in lakehouse architecture and AI workloads—reportedly exceeding $4 billion ARR with 65% YoY expansion—reducing near-term public market pressure. Speculation points to a potential H2 2026 listing above $80 billion, but volatile tech valuations and regulatory scrutiny on AI firms temper expectations; watch for Q2 earnings or market stabilization as key catalysts that could shift odds.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
音量
$403,994終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 86.7% implied probability to no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of an S-1 filing or official announcement amid a quiet period since the company's February 2026 $5 billion funding round at a $134 billion private valuation. This capital infusion, coupled with $1.8 billion in January debt financing, bolsters the data analytics and AI platform's runway for growth in lakehouse architecture and AI workloads—reportedly exceeding $4 billion ARR with 65% YoY expansion—reducing near-term public market pressure. Speculation points to a potential H2 2026 listing above $80 billion, but volatile tech valuations and regulatory scrutiny on AI firms temper expectations; watch for Q2 earnings or market stabilization as key catalysts that could shift odds.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$403,994終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 86.7% implied probability to no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of an S-1 filing or official announcement amid a quiet period since the company's February 2026 $5 billion funding round at a $134 billion private valuation. This capital infusion, coupled with $1.8 billion in January debt financing, bolsters the data analytics and AI platform's runway for growth in lakehouse architecture and AI workloads—reportedly exceeding $4 billion ARR with 65% YoY expansion—reducing near-term public market pressure. Speculation points to a potential H2 2026 listing above $80 billion, but volatile tech valuations and regulatory scrutiny on AI firms temper expectations; watch for Q2 earnings or market stabilization as key catalysts that could shift odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問