Databricks CEO Ali Ghodsi stated on June 4 that the data and AI platform company will not pursue an IPO in 2026 amid a crowded slate of technology listings, despite being “IPO-ready” and maintaining a $134 billion private valuation from its late-2025 funding round. With no S-1 registration filed and analysts pointing to a likely filing in the second half of 2026 or later, traders assign a 99.3% implied probability to no public debut by the June 30 deadline. This positioning reflects the company’s deliberate timeline flexibility, strong private capital access, and preference for optimal market conditions over near-term listing. An unexpected acceleration would require a rapid shift in executive strategy or a dramatic improvement in IPO market sentiment, both of which remain low-probability events given recent statements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2026年6月30日までにIPOなし 99.3%
1000億〜1250億ドル <1%
1,500~1,750億ドル <1%
1,750億~2,000億ドル <1%
$504,735 Vol.
$504,735 Vol.
1000億ドル未満
<1%
1000億〜1250億ドル
<1%
1,250~1,500億ドル
<1%
1,500~1,750億ドル
<1%
1,750億~2,000億ドル
<1%
2,000億〜2,500億ドル
<1%
2,500億ドル以上
<1%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし
99%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし 99.3%
1000億〜1250億ドル <1%
1,500~1,750億ドル <1%
1,750億~2,000億ドル <1%
$504,735 Vol.
$504,735 Vol.
1000億ドル未満
<1%
1000億〜1250億ドル
<1%
1,250~1,500億ドル
<1%
1,500~1,750億ドル
<1%
1,750億~2,000億ドル
<1%
2,000億〜2,500億ドル
<1%
2,500億ドル以上
<1%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし
99%
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Databricks CEO Ali Ghodsi stated on June 4 that the data and AI platform company will not pursue an IPO in 2026 amid a crowded slate of technology listings, despite being “IPO-ready” and maintaining a $134 billion private valuation from its late-2025 funding round. With no S-1 registration filed and analysts pointing to a likely filing in the second half of 2026 or later, traders assign a 99.3% implied probability to no public debut by the June 30 deadline. This positioning reflects the company’s deliberate timeline flexibility, strong private capital access, and preference for optimal market conditions over near-term listing. An unexpected acceleration would require a rapid shift in executive strategy or a dramatic improvement in IPO market sentiment, both of which remain low-probability events given recent statements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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