Databricks CEO Ali Ghodsi stated on June 4 that the data and AI platform company will eventually go public but plans to avoid the public markets this year amid a crowded slate of tech offerings, directly underpinning the 99.2% market-implied probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026. No S-1 registration has been filed as of April, and the firm recently closed a multi-billion-dollar private round at a $134 billion valuation that supplies ample growth capital without quarterly pressures. Traders appear to view the explicit timeline signal and lack of regulatory preparation as decisive, though an unexpected acceleration in filing or shift in market conditions could still alter the outcome before month-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2026年6月30日までにIPOなし 99.2%
1000億〜1250億ドル <1%
1,500~1,750億ドル <1%
1,750億~2,000億ドル <1%
$504,654 Vol.
$504,654 Vol.
1000億ドル未満
<1%
1000億〜1250億ドル
<1%
1,250~1,500億ドル
<1%
1,500~1,750億ドル
<1%
1,750億~2,000億ドル
<1%
2,000億〜2,500億ドル
<1%
2,500億ドル以上
<1%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし
99%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし 99.2%
1000億〜1250億ドル <1%
1,500~1,750億ドル <1%
1,750億~2,000億ドル <1%
$504,654 Vol.
$504,654 Vol.
1000億ドル未満
<1%
1000億〜1250億ドル
<1%
1,250~1,500億ドル
<1%
1,500~1,750億ドル
<1%
1,750億~2,000億ドル
<1%
2,000億〜2,500億ドル
<1%
2,500億ドル以上
<1%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし
99%
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Databricks CEO Ali Ghodsi stated on June 4 that the data and AI platform company will eventually go public but plans to avoid the public markets this year amid a crowded slate of tech offerings, directly underpinning the 99.2% market-implied probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026. No S-1 registration has been filed as of April, and the firm recently closed a multi-billion-dollar private round at a $134 billion valuation that supplies ample growth capital without quarterly pressures. Traders appear to view the explicit timeline signal and lack of regulatory preparation as decisive, though an unexpected acceleration in filing or shift in market conditions could still alter the outcome before month-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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