Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 91.3% implied probability to no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the data and AI platform's February 2026 raise of $5 billion in equity at a $134 billion valuation—plus $2 billion in new debt—eliminating near-term public market needs. Surging to a $5.4 billion annual recurring revenue run-rate with over 65% year-over-year growth, alongside March cybersecurity acquisitions like Antimatter and SiftD.ai to enhance its lakehouse architecture, underscores sustained private momentum. Executives have signaled 2026 IPO readiness since late 2025, yet no S-1 filing has emerged, compressing timelines for regulatory review and roadshows. A sudden confidential filing or buoyant tech IPO window could upend this strong positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日2026年6月30日までにIPOなし 91.2%
2,500億ドル以上 3.7%
1,750億～2,000億ドル 1.8%
1,250～1,500億ドル 1.7%
$365,542 Vol.
$365,542 Vol.
2026/06/30
1000億ドル未満
1%
1000億〜1250億ドル
1%
1,250～1,500億ドル
2%
1,500～1,750億ドル
2%
1,750億～2,000億ドル
2%
2,000億〜2,500億ドル
1%
2,500億ドル以上
4%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし
91%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし 91.2%
2,500億ドル以上 3.7%
1,750億～2,000億ドル 1.8%
1,250～1,500億ドル 1.7%
$365,542 Vol.
$365,542 Vol.
2026/06/30
1000億ドル未満
$32,044 Vol.
1%
1000億〜1250億ドル
$37,904 Vol.
1%
1,250～1,500億ドル
$24,250 Vol.
2%
1,500～1,750億ドル
$58,611 Vol.
2%
1,750億～2,000億ドル
$56,728 Vol.
2%
2,000億〜2,500億ドル
$19,022 Vol.
1%
2,500億ドル以上
$124,207 Vol.
4%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし
$12,776 Vol.
91%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 91.3% implied probability to no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the data and AI platform's February 2026 raise of $5 billion in equity at a $134 billion valuation—plus $2 billion in new debt—eliminating near-term public market needs. Surging to a $5.4 billion annual recurring revenue run-rate with over 65% year-over-year growth, alongside March cybersecurity acquisitions like Antimatter and SiftD.ai to enhance its lakehouse architecture, underscores sustained private momentum. Executives have signaled 2026 IPO readiness since late 2025, yet no S-1 filing has emerged, compressing timelines for regulatory review and roadshows. A sudden confidential filing or buoyant tech IPO window could upend this strong positioning.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
音量
$365,542終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 91.3% implied probability to no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the data and AI platform's February 2026 raise of $5 billion in equity at a $134 billion valuation—plus $2 billion in new debt—eliminating near-term public market needs. Surging to a $5.4 billion annual recurring revenue run-rate with over 65% year-over-year growth, alongside March cybersecurity acquisitions like Antimatter and SiftD.ai to enhance its lakehouse architecture, underscores sustained private momentum. Executives have signaled 2026 IPO readiness since late 2025, yet no S-1 filing has emerged, compressing timelines for regulatory review and roadshows. A sudden confidential filing or buoyant tech IPO window could upend this strong positioning.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$365,542終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 91.3% implied probability to no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the data and AI platform's February 2026 raise of $5 billion in equity at a $134 billion valuation—plus $2 billion in new debt—eliminating near-term public market needs. Surging to a $5.4 billion annual recurring revenue run-rate with over 65% year-over-year growth, alongside March cybersecurity acquisitions like Antimatter and SiftD.ai to enhance its lakehouse architecture, underscores sustained private momentum. Executives have signaled 2026 IPO readiness since late 2025, yet no S-1 filing has emerged, compressing timelines for regulatory review and roadshows. A sudden confidential filing or buoyant tech IPO window could upend this strong positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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