Trader sentiment on OpenAI's potential IPO closing market cap by December 31, 2027, reflects fragmented consensus, with no IPO (16%) narrowly leading mid-cap ranges like 500–750 billion (13%), amid internal tensions and valuation scrutiny. OpenAI's March 31, 2026, funding round secured $122 billion at an $852 billion post-money valuation—trading at roughly 28–35 times projected 2026 revenue of $25 billion—but CFO Sarah Friar's April warnings flagged the 2026 timeline as overly aggressive, citing $14–19 billion annual cash burn and breakeven not until 2030. Investor doubts surfaced April 13–14 over strategy shifts, tempering trillion-dollar ambitions despite retail share allocations and Q4 filing prep. Key differentiators include OpenAI's enterprise pivot versus Anthropic's $380 billion IPO path, with regulatory hurdles and AI compute costs as swing factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7,500億～1兆 35%
2027年12月31日までに上場しない 18%
1兆～1.25兆 15%
1.25兆〜1.5兆 13%
$15,405 Vol.
$15,405 Vol.
2027/12/31
5,000億未満
7%
5,000億〜7,500億ドル
12%
7,500億～1兆
35%
1兆～1.25兆
13%
1.25兆〜1.5兆
10%
1.5兆ドル以上
10%
2027年12月31日までに上場しない
18%
7,500億～1兆 35%
2027年12月31日までに上場しない 18%
1兆～1.25兆 15%
1.25兆〜1.5兆 13%
$15,405 Vol.
$15,405 Vol.
2027/12/31
5,000億未満
$97 Vol.
7%
5,000億〜7,500億ドル
$245 Vol.
12%
7,500億～1兆
$352 Vol.
35%
1兆～1.25兆
$3,122 Vol.
13%
1.25兆〜1.5兆
$255 Vol.
10%
1.5兆ドル以上
$71 Vol.
10%
2027年12月31日までに上場しない
$11,264 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader sentiment on OpenAI's potential IPO closing market cap by December 31, 2027, reflects fragmented consensus, with no IPO (16%) narrowly leading mid-cap ranges like 500–750 billion (13%), amid internal tensions and valuation scrutiny. OpenAI's March 31, 2026, funding round secured $122 billion at an $852 billion post-money valuation—trading at roughly 28–35 times projected 2026 revenue of $25 billion—but CFO Sarah Friar's April warnings flagged the 2026 timeline as overly aggressive, citing $14–19 billion annual cash burn and breakeven not until 2030. Investor doubts surfaced April 13–14 over strategy shifts, tempering trillion-dollar ambitions despite retail share allocations and Q4 filing prep. Key differentiators include OpenAI's enterprise pivot versus Anthropic's $380 billion IPO path, with regulatory hurdles and AI compute costs as swing factors.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
音量
$15,405終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader sentiment on OpenAI's potential IPO closing market cap by December 31, 2027, reflects fragmented consensus, with no IPO (16%) narrowly leading mid-cap ranges like 500–750 billion (13%), amid internal tensions and valuation scrutiny. OpenAI's March 31, 2026, funding round secured $122 billion at an $852 billion post-money valuation—trading at roughly 28–35 times projected 2026 revenue of $25 billion—but CFO Sarah Friar's April warnings flagged the 2026 timeline as overly aggressive, citing $14–19 billion annual cash burn and breakeven not until 2030. Investor doubts surfaced April 13–14 over strategy shifts, tempering trillion-dollar ambitions despite retail share allocations and Q4 filing prep. Key differentiators include OpenAI's enterprise pivot versus Anthropic's $380 billion IPO path, with regulatory hurdles and AI compute costs as swing factors.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$15,405終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on OpenAI's potential IPO closing market cap by December 31, 2027, reflects fragmented consensus, with no IPO (16%) narrowly leading mid-cap ranges like 500–750 billion (13%), amid internal tensions and valuation scrutiny. OpenAI's March 31, 2026, funding round secured $122 billion at an $852 billion post-money valuation—trading at roughly 28–35 times projected 2026 revenue of $25 billion—but CFO Sarah Friar's April warnings flagged the 2026 timeline as overly aggressive, citing $14–19 billion annual cash burn and breakeven not until 2030. Investor doubts surfaced April 13–14 over strategy shifts, tempering trillion-dollar ambitions despite retail share allocations and Q4 filing prep. Key differentiators include OpenAI's enterprise pivot versus Anthropic's $380 billion IPO path, with regulatory hurdles and AI compute costs as swing factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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