Traders on Polymarket overwhelmingly price a 93.5% implied probability against a Stripe IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the fintech giant's deliberate choice to remain private amid a subdued tech IPO market. Stripe's most recent private valuation hovered around $70 billion from early 2024 funding rounds, supported by robust revenue exceeding $1 trillion in payment volume, yet founders have repeatedly signaled no rush to go public, citing high interest rates—Fed funds at 4.75–5%—that compress valuations and deter listings. Absent an S-1 filing with the SEC, this skin-in-the-game consensus holds firm, though a sharp equity rally, regulatory tailwinds, or strategic pivot could prompt a surprise roadshow and challenge the odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日2026年6月30日までにIPOなし 93.5%
800〜1000億ドル 2.8%
1,200〜1,400億ドル 1.3%
800億ドル未満 1.0%
$31,170 Vol.
$31,170 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
800億ドル未満
1%
800〜1000億ドル
3%
1,000億～1,200億ドル
<1%
1,200〜1,400億ドル
1%
1,400億ドル以上
1%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし
93%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし 93.5%
800〜1000億ドル 2.8%
1,200〜1,400億ドル 1.3%
800億ドル未満 1.0%
$31,170 Vol.
$31,170 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
800億ドル未満
$0 Vol.
1%
800〜1000億ドル
$0 Vol.
3%
1,000億～1,200億ドル
$0 Vol.
<1%
1,200〜1,400億ドル
$11,613 Vol.
1%
1,400億ドル以上
$7,977 Vol.
1%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし
$11,580 Vol.
93%
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders on Polymarket overwhelmingly price a 93.5% implied probability against a Stripe IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the fintech giant's deliberate choice to remain private amid a subdued tech IPO market. Stripe's most recent private valuation hovered around $70 billion from early 2024 funding rounds, supported by robust revenue exceeding $1 trillion in payment volume, yet founders have repeatedly signaled no rush to go public, citing high interest rates—Fed funds at 4.75–5%—that compress valuations and deter listings. Absent an S-1 filing with the SEC, this skin-in-the-game consensus holds firm, though a sharp equity rally, regulatory tailwinds, or strategic pivot could prompt a surprise roadshow and challenge the odds.
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Sep 22, 2025, 8:17 PM ET
音量
$31,170終了日
Jun 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Sep 22, 2025, 8:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders on Polymarket overwhelmingly price a 93.5% implied probability against a Stripe IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the fintech giant's deliberate choice to remain private amid a subdued tech IPO market. Stripe's most recent private valuation hovered around $70 billion from early 2024 funding rounds, supported by robust revenue exceeding $1 trillion in payment volume, yet founders have repeatedly signaled no rush to go public, citing high interest rates—Fed funds at 4.75–5%—that compress valuations and deter listings. Absent an S-1 filing with the SEC, this skin-in-the-game consensus holds firm, though a sharp equity rally, regulatory tailwinds, or strategic pivot could prompt a surprise roadshow and challenge the odds.
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$31,170終了日
Jun 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Sep 22, 2025, 8:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders on Polymarket overwhelmingly price a 93.5% implied probability against a Stripe IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the fintech giant's deliberate choice to remain private amid a subdued tech IPO market. Stripe's most recent private valuation hovered around $70 billion from early 2024 funding rounds, supported by robust revenue exceeding $1 trillion in payment volume, yet founders have repeatedly signaled no rush to go public, citing high interest rates—Fed funds at 4.75–5%—that compress valuations and deter listings. Absent an S-1 filing with the SEC, this skin-in-the-game consensus holds firm, though a sharp equity rally, regulatory tailwinds, or strategic pivot could prompt a surprise roadshow and challenge the odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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