CXMT’s IPO market cap odds reflect a balance between its recent regulatory clearance and explosive earnings growth against valuation uncertainty and execution risks. Cleared for Shanghai STAR listing in May 2026 after submitting an updated prospectus, the company targets raising 29.5 billion yuan while reporting Q1 revenue of 50.8 billion yuan and net profit of 24.76 billion yuan—up sharply year-over-year amid a DRAM super-cycle tied to AI demand. First-half 2026 profit guidance of 50–57 billion yuan supports analyst models projecting post-IPO market caps from roughly 300 billion yuan (older benchmarks) to 3–4 trillion yuan at 10–20x earnings, creating tight 50% splits across the listed ranges. Key swing factors include final pricing multiples relative to global peers like SK Hynix, potential HBM3 ramp delays, and whether the offering closes by year-end 2026 amid ongoing U.S. export curbs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4,000億元以上 100.0%
3400億〜3700億元 <1%
2500億元未満 <1%
2,500〜2,800億元 <1%
$2,215,592 Vol.
$2,215,592 Vol.
2026/12/31
2500億元未満
いいえ
2,500〜2,800億元
いいえ
2,800〜3,100億元
いいえ
3,100～3,400億元
いいえ
3400億〜3700億元
いいえ
3,700〜4,000億元
いいえ
4,000億元以上
はい
2026年12月31日までにIPOなし
いいえ
4,000億元以上 100.0%
3400億〜3700億元 <1%
2500億元未満 <1%
2,500〜2,800億元 <1%
$2,215,592 Vol.
$2,215,592 Vol.
2026/12/31
2500億元未満
$7,722 Vol.
いいえ
2,500〜2,800億元
$1,624 Vol.
いいえ
2,800〜3,100億元
$2,495 Vol.
いいえ
3,100～3,400億元
$3,962 Vol.
いいえ
3400億〜3700億元
$3,823 Vol.
いいえ
3,700〜4,000億元
$3,381 Vol.
いいえ
4,000億元以上
$2,190,744 Vol.
はい
2026年12月31日までにIPOなし
$1,841 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve based on CXMT's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.CXMT’s IPO market cap odds reflect a balance between its recent regulatory clearance and explosive earnings growth against valuation uncertainty and execution risks. Cleared for Shanghai STAR listing in May 2026 after submitting an updated prospectus, the company targets raising 29.5 billion yuan while reporting Q1 revenue of 50.8 billion yuan and net profit of 24.76 billion yuan—up sharply year-over-year amid a DRAM super-cycle tied to AI demand. First-half 2026 profit guidance of 50–57 billion yuan supports analyst models projecting post-IPO market caps from roughly 300 billion yuan (older benchmarks) to 3–4 trillion yuan at 10–20x earnings, creating tight 50% splits across the listed ranges. Key swing factors include final pricing multiples relative to global peers like SK Hynix, potential HBM3 ramp delays, and whether the offering closes by year-end 2026 amid ongoing U.S. export curbs.
This market will resolve based on CXMT's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Jun 30, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
音量
$2,215,592終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve based on CXMT's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.CXMT’s IPO market cap odds reflect a balance between its recent regulatory clearance and explosive earnings growth against valuation uncertainty and execution risks. Cleared for Shanghai STAR listing in May 2026 after submitting an updated prospectus, the company targets raising 29.5 billion yuan while reporting Q1 revenue of 50.8 billion yuan and net profit of 24.76 billion yuan—up sharply year-over-year amid a DRAM super-cycle tied to AI demand. First-half 2026 profit guidance of 50–57 billion yuan supports analyst models projecting post-IPO market caps from roughly 300 billion yuan (older benchmarks) to 3–4 trillion yuan at 10–20x earnings, creating tight 50% splits across the listed ranges. Key swing factors include final pricing multiples relative to global peers like SK Hynix, potential HBM3 ramp delays, and whether the offering closes by year-end 2026 amid ongoing U.S. export curbs.
This market will resolve based on CXMT's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
音量
$2,215,592終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
CXMT’s IPO market cap odds reflect a balance between its recent regulatory clearance and explosive earnings growth against valuation uncertainty and execution risks. Cleared for Shanghai STAR listing in May 2026 after submitting an updated prospectus, the company targets raising 29.5 billion yuan while reporting Q1 revenue of 50.8 billion yuan and net profit of 24.76 billion yuan—up sharply year-over-year amid a DRAM super-cycle tied to AI demand. First-half 2026 profit guidance of 50–57 billion yuan supports analyst models projecting post-IPO market caps from roughly 300 billion yuan (older benchmarks) to 3–4 trillion yuan at 10–20x earnings, creating tight 50% splits across the listed ranges. Key swing factors include final pricing multiples relative to global peers like SK Hynix, potential HBM3 ramp delays, and whether the offering closes by year-end 2026 amid ongoing U.S. export curbs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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