Stripe's February 2026 tender offer at a $159 billion valuation, supported by $1.9 trillion in 2025 payment volume (up 34% year-over-year) and a revenue suite approaching $1 billion ARR, anchors current trader consensus around the closely matched implied probabilities for sub-$150 billion or $500 billion-plus closing market caps if an IPO occurs by end-2027. Co-founders' repeated emphasis on operating privately without near-term plans sustains the 42.5% probability on no IPO, creating balanced dynamics between strong fundamentals that could drive higher valuations and liquidity preferences that delay a public listing. Key upcoming catalysts include any shift in FOMC-driven risk appetite or further acquisitions affecting competitive positioning in payments and blockchain infrastructure.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2,500億ドル〜3,000億ドル 70%
2027年12月31日までにIPOなし 44%
1,500億ドル未満 43%
5,000億ドル以上 43%
新規
新規
2027/12/31
1,500億ドル未満
43%
1,500億ドル～2,000億ドル
37%
2,000億ドル〜2,500億ドル
9%
2,500億ドル〜3,000億ドル
70%
3,000億ドル～3,500億ドル
-
3,500億ドル～4,000億ドル
40%
4,000億ドル〜4,500億ドル
37%
$4500億～$5000億
22%
5,000億ドル以上
43%
2027年12月31日までにIPOなし
44%
2,500億ドル〜3,000億ドル 70%
2027年12月31日までにIPOなし 44%
1,500億ドル未満 43%
5,000億ドル以上 43%
新規
新規
2027/12/31
1,500億ドル未満
$50 Vol.
43%
1,500億ドル～2,000億ドル
$69 Vol.
37%
2,000億ドル〜2,500億ドル
$70 Vol.
9%
2,500億ドル〜3,000億ドル
$94 Vol.
70%
3,000億ドル～3,500億ドル
$94 Vol.
-
3,500億ドル～4,000億ドル
$81 Vol.
40%
4,000億ドル〜4,500億ドル
$94 Vol.
37%
$4500億～$5000億
$73 Vol.
22%
5,000億ドル以上
$47 Vol.
43%
2027年12月31日までにIPOなし
$63 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Stripe's February 2026 tender offer at a $159 billion valuation, supported by $1.9 trillion in 2025 payment volume (up 34% year-over-year) and a revenue suite approaching $1 billion ARR, anchors current trader consensus around the closely matched implied probabilities for sub-$150 billion or $500 billion-plus closing market caps if an IPO occurs by end-2027. Co-founders' repeated emphasis on operating privately without near-term plans sustains the 42.5% probability on no IPO, creating balanced dynamics between strong fundamentals that could drive higher valuations and liquidity preferences that delay a public listing. Key upcoming catalysts include any shift in FOMC-driven risk appetite or further acquisitions affecting competitive positioning in payments and blockchain infrastructure.
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Jul 1, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
音量
$735終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Stripe's February 2026 tender offer at a $159 billion valuation, supported by $1.9 trillion in 2025 payment volume (up 34% year-over-year) and a revenue suite approaching $1 billion ARR, anchors current trader consensus around the closely matched implied probabilities for sub-$150 billion or $500 billion-plus closing market caps if an IPO occurs by end-2027. Co-founders' repeated emphasis on operating privately without near-term plans sustains the 42.5% probability on no IPO, creating balanced dynamics between strong fundamentals that could drive higher valuations and liquidity preferences that delay a public listing. Key upcoming catalysts include any shift in FOMC-driven risk appetite or further acquisitions affecting competitive positioning in payments and blockchain infrastructure.
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
音量
$735終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Stripe's February 2026 tender offer at a $159 billion valuation, supported by $1.9 trillion in 2025 payment volume (up 34% year-over-year) and a revenue suite approaching $1 billion ARR, anchors current trader consensus around the closely matched implied probabilities for sub-$150 billion or $500 billion-plus closing market caps if an IPO occurs by end-2027. Co-founders' repeated emphasis on operating privately without near-term plans sustains the 42.5% probability on no IPO, creating balanced dynamics between strong fundamentals that could drive higher valuations and liquidity preferences that delay a public listing. Key upcoming catalysts include any shift in FOMC-driven risk appetite or further acquisitions affecting competitive positioning in payments and blockchain infrastructure.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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