SpaceX commands 89.5% implied probability as 2026's largest IPO by market cap following its April 1 confidential SEC filing for a blockbuster debut—potentially raising over $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation—bolstered by February's merger with xAI, which integrates the artificial intelligence firm's Colossus compute cluster with Starlink's satellite infrastructure for orbital data centers. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects SpaceX's unmatched scale in aerospace and AI hardware, eclipsing OpenAI (3.5%) and Anthropic (3.2%), whose IPO groundwork lags with H2 2026 targets amid valuation talks below $1 trillion. A June roadshow looms as the key catalyst, though SEC reviews or volatility could shift dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日スペースX 90%
OpenAI 3.5%
Anthropic 3.2%
Discord 1.8%
$1,717,591 Vol.
$1,717,591 Vol.
2026/12/31
スペースX
90%
OpenAI
3%
Anthropic
3%
Discord
2%
Databricks
1%
Stripe
1%
クラーケン
<1%
バイトダンス
<1%
Perplexity AI
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
Waymo
<1%
Revolut
<1%
スペースX 90%
OpenAI 3.5%
Anthropic 3.2%
Discord 1.8%
$1,717,591 Vol.
$1,717,591 Vol.
2026/12/31
スペースX
$209,880 Vol.
90%
OpenAI
$309,518 Vol.
3%
Anthropic
$348,535 Vol.
3%
Discord
$74,602 Vol.
2%
Databricks
$73,225 Vol.
1%
Stripe
$41,460 Vol.
1%
クラーケン
$376,914 Vol.
<1%
バイトダンス
$87,768 Vol.
<1%
Perplexity AI
$55,793 Vol.
<1%
SHEIN
$57,710 Vol.
<1%
Waymo
$49,652 Vol.
<1%
Revolut
$32,533 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX commands 89.5% implied probability as 2026's largest IPO by market cap following its April 1 confidential SEC filing for a blockbuster debut—potentially raising over $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation—bolstered by February's merger with xAI, which integrates the artificial intelligence firm's Colossus compute cluster with Starlink's satellite infrastructure for orbital data centers. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects SpaceX's unmatched scale in aerospace and AI hardware, eclipsing OpenAI (3.5%) and Anthropic (3.2%), whose IPO groundwork lags with H2 2026 targets amid valuation talks below $1 trillion. A June roadshow looms as the key catalyst, though SEC reviews or volatility could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
音量
$1,717,591終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX commands 89.5% implied probability as 2026's largest IPO by market cap following its April 1 confidential SEC filing for a blockbuster debut—potentially raising over $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation—bolstered by February's merger with xAI, which integrates the artificial intelligence firm's Colossus compute cluster with Starlink's satellite infrastructure for orbital data centers. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects SpaceX's unmatched scale in aerospace and AI hardware, eclipsing OpenAI (3.5%) and Anthropic (3.2%), whose IPO groundwork lags with H2 2026 targets amid valuation talks below $1 trillion. A June roadshow looms as the key catalyst, though SEC reviews or volatility could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$1,717,591終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX commands 89.5% implied probability as 2026's largest IPO by market cap following its April 1 confidential SEC filing for a blockbuster debut—potentially raising over $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation—bolstered by February's merger with xAI, which integrates the artificial intelligence firm's Colossus compute cluster with Starlink's satellite infrastructure for orbital data centers. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects SpaceX's unmatched scale in aerospace and AI hardware, eclipsing OpenAI (3.5%) and Anthropic (3.2%), whose IPO groundwork lags with H2 2026 targets amid valuation talks below $1 trillion. A June roadshow looms as the key catalyst, though SEC reviews or volatility could shift dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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