Trader consensus assigns a 95.5% implied probability to a Nasdaq listing for SpaceX, reflecting recent Reuters and CNBC reports that the company is prioritizing the exchange to secure early Nasdaq-100 index inclusion via newly proposed rules for megacap IPOs. This would enable immediate passive fund inflows, aligning with SpaceX's tech-heavy profile akin to Tesla and bolstering its post-IPO liquidity amid a projected $70-75 billion raise at $1.75-2 trillion valuation. Key developments include a confidential April filing, with public prospectus disclosure as soon as next week and roadshow starting June 8. While plans remain fluid, a shift to NYSE would require superior incentives outweighing Nasdaq's structural advantages, an unlikely scenario given current momentum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日NASDAQ 96%
その他 4.2%
NYSE 1.0%
$100,562 Vol.
$100,562 Vol.
NASDAQ
96%
その他
4%
NYSE
1%
NASDAQ 96%
その他 4.2%
NYSE 1.0%
$100,562 Vol.
$100,562 Vol.
NASDAQ
$23,522 Vol.
96%
その他
$58,130 Vol.
4%
NYSE
$18,910 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus assigns a 95.5% implied probability to a Nasdaq listing for SpaceX, reflecting recent Reuters and CNBC reports that the company is prioritizing the exchange to secure early Nasdaq-100 index inclusion via newly proposed rules for megacap IPOs. This would enable immediate passive fund inflows, aligning with SpaceX's tech-heavy profile akin to Tesla and bolstering its post-IPO liquidity amid a projected $70-75 billion raise at $1.75-2 trillion valuation. Key developments include a confidential April filing, with public prospectus disclosure as soon as next week and roadshow starting June 8. While plans remain fluid, a shift to NYSE would require superior incentives outweighing Nasdaq's structural advantages, an unlikely scenario given current momentum.
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
音量
$100,562マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus assigns a 95.5% implied probability to a Nasdaq listing for SpaceX, reflecting recent Reuters and CNBC reports that the company is prioritizing the exchange to secure early Nasdaq-100 index inclusion via newly proposed rules for megacap IPOs. This would enable immediate passive fund inflows, aligning with SpaceX's tech-heavy profile akin to Tesla and bolstering its post-IPO liquidity amid a projected $70-75 billion raise at $1.75-2 trillion valuation. Key developments include a confidential April filing, with public prospectus disclosure as soon as next week and roadshow starting June 8. While plans remain fluid, a shift to NYSE would require superior incentives outweighing Nasdaq's structural advantages, an unlikely scenario given current momentum.
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$100,562マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns a 95.5% implied probability to a Nasdaq listing for SpaceX, reflecting recent Reuters and CNBC reports that the company is prioritizing the exchange to secure early Nasdaq-100 index inclusion via newly proposed rules for megacap IPOs. This would enable immediate passive fund inflows, aligning with SpaceX's tech-heavy profile akin to Tesla and bolstering its post-IPO liquidity amid a projected $70-75 billion raise at $1.75-2 trillion valuation. Key developments include a confidential April filing, with public prospectus disclosure as soon as next week and roadshow starting June 8. While plans remain fluid, a shift to NYSE would require superior incentives outweighing Nasdaq's structural advantages, an unlikely scenario given current momentum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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