OpenAI’s accelerated iteration cycle after launching GPT-5.5 in late April has become the main driver of trader sentiment around a GPT-5.6 release. Internal routing logs in the Codex backend already reference the newer model just weeks after GPT-5.5 shipped, indicating early red-teaming and capability testing focused on fixing specific issues such as hallucination reduction and agentic tool use. This pace aligns with OpenAI’s pattern of monthly-scale updates to maintain its lead over Google’s Gemini variants and Anthropic’s Claude models in reasoning benchmarks and developer adoption. Community discussion and prediction-market activity now center on a June window, with analysts watching for an official system card or API rollout announcement that would confirm general availability. Any further delay could reflect additional safety evaluations or competitive positioning ahead of major developer conferences.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$70,702 Vol.
2026/05/22
5月22日
2%
5月31日
10%
6月5日
50%
6月8日
66%
June 15
87%
June 30
95%
July 31
96%
$70,702 Vol.
5月22日
$14,031 Vol.
2%
5月31日
$23,362 Vol.
10%
6月5日
$5 Vol.
50%
6月8日
$1,463 Vol.
66%
June 15
$4,461 Vol.
87%
June 30
$10,895 Vol.
95%
July 31
$3,329 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s accelerated iteration cycle after launching GPT-5.5 in late April has become the main driver of trader sentiment around a GPT-5.6 release. Internal routing logs in the Codex backend already reference the newer model just weeks after GPT-5.5 shipped, indicating early red-teaming and capability testing focused on fixing specific issues such as hallucination reduction and agentic tool use. This pace aligns with OpenAI’s pattern of monthly-scale updates to maintain its lead over Google’s Gemini variants and Anthropic’s Claude models in reasoning benchmarks and developer adoption. Community discussion and prediction-market activity now center on a June window, with analysts watching for an official system card or API rollout announcement that would confirm general availability. Any further delay could reflect additional safety evaluations or competitive positioning ahead of major developer conferences.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： May 1, 2026, 8:52 AM ET
音量
$70,702終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
May 1, 2026, 8:52 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s accelerated iteration cycle after launching GPT-5.5 in late April has become the main driver of trader sentiment around a GPT-5.6 release. Internal routing logs in the Codex backend already reference the newer model just weeks after GPT-5.5 shipped, indicating early red-teaming and capability testing focused on fixing specific issues such as hallucination reduction and agentic tool use. This pace aligns with OpenAI’s pattern of monthly-scale updates to maintain its lead over Google’s Gemini variants and Anthropic’s Claude models in reasoning benchmarks and developer adoption. Community discussion and prediction-market activity now center on a June window, with analysts watching for an official system card or API rollout announcement that would confirm general availability. Any further delay could reflect additional safety evaluations or competitive positioning ahead of major developer conferences.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$70,702終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
May 1, 2026, 8:52 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s accelerated iteration cycle after launching GPT-5.5 in late April has become the main driver of trader sentiment around a GPT-5.6 release. Internal routing logs in the Codex backend already reference the newer model just weeks after GPT-5.5 shipped, indicating early red-teaming and capability testing focused on fixing specific issues such as hallucination reduction and agentic tool use. This pace aligns with OpenAI’s pattern of monthly-scale updates to maintain its lead over Google’s Gemini variants and Anthropic’s Claude models in reasoning benchmarks and developer adoption. Community discussion and prediction-market activity now center on a June window, with analysts watching for an official system card or API rollout announcement that would confirm general availability. Any further delay could reflect additional safety evaluations or competitive positioning ahead of major developer conferences.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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