OpenAI has not officially announced GPT-5.6 as of mid-June 2026, but leaks from Codex backend logs in May and statements from chief scientist Jakub Pachocki have fueled trader expectations for a release later this month. Following the April 23 launch of GPT-5.5, the rapid iteration reflects OpenAI’s accelerated cadence amid competition from Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 and efficiency-focused rivals. Reports of planned price cuts position the model as a cost-effective upgrade, while internal testing and canary entries suggest developers are preparing for a mid-to-late June rollout. Key catalysts include potential developer conferences, API availability thresholds, and any confirmed benchmarks that could confirm capability gains over GPT-5.5. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game consensus on these timelines amid typical pre-release uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$946,702 Vol.
2026/06/15
June 15
1%
June 30
79%
6月23日
20%
July 31
94%
$946,702 Vol.
June 15
$248,359 Vol.
1%
June 30
$129,668 Vol.
79%
6月23日
$11,371 Vol.
20%
July 31
$209,471 Vol.
94%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI has not officially announced GPT-5.6 as of mid-June 2026, but leaks from Codex backend logs in May and statements from chief scientist Jakub Pachocki have fueled trader expectations for a release later this month. Following the April 23 launch of GPT-5.5, the rapid iteration reflects OpenAI’s accelerated cadence amid competition from Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 and efficiency-focused rivals. Reports of planned price cuts position the model as a cost-effective upgrade, while internal testing and canary entries suggest developers are preparing for a mid-to-late June rollout. Key catalysts include potential developer conferences, API availability thresholds, and any confirmed benchmarks that could confirm capability gains over GPT-5.5. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game consensus on these timelines amid typical pre-release uncertainty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： May 15, 2026, 10:22 AM ET
音量
$946,702終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
May 15, 2026, 10:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI has not officially announced GPT-5.6 as of mid-June 2026, but leaks from Codex backend logs in May and statements from chief scientist Jakub Pachocki have fueled trader expectations for a release later this month. Following the April 23 launch of GPT-5.5, the rapid iteration reflects OpenAI’s accelerated cadence amid competition from Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 and efficiency-focused rivals. Reports of planned price cuts position the model as a cost-effective upgrade, while internal testing and canary entries suggest developers are preparing for a mid-to-late June rollout. Key catalysts include potential developer conferences, API availability thresholds, and any confirmed benchmarks that could confirm capability gains over GPT-5.5. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game consensus on these timelines amid typical pre-release uncertainty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$946,702終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
May 15, 2026, 10:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI has not officially announced GPT-5.6 as of mid-June 2026, but leaks from Codex backend logs in May and statements from chief scientist Jakub Pachocki have fueled trader expectations for a release later this month. Following the April 23 launch of GPT-5.5, the rapid iteration reflects OpenAI’s accelerated cadence amid competition from Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 and efficiency-focused rivals. Reports of planned price cuts position the model as a cost-effective upgrade, while internal testing and canary entries suggest developers are preparing for a mid-to-late June rollout. Key catalysts include potential developer conferences, API availability thresholds, and any confirmed benchmarks that could confirm capability gains over GPT-5.5. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game consensus on these timelines amid typical pre-release uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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