OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 flagship launched in late April 2026 and remains the latest officially documented model, yet trader sentiment for a GPT-5.6 release has shifted sharply on internal signals. A brief GPT-5.6 routing entry appeared in Codex backend logs in mid-May, while chief scientist Jakub Pachocki described the model in Slack as a “meaningful improvement” focused on efficiency and safety. These leaks coincide with competitive pressure from Anthropic’s Fable 5 and reported OpenAI plans for price cuts to position the new model as a lower-cost alternative. Prediction markets currently assign roughly 89% probability to a public release by June 30, with speculation centering on a possible mid-to-late June launch ahead of a broader ChatGPT overhaul. No system card or official benchmarks have surfaced, leaving room for timeline slippage common in frontier model cycles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$942,798 Vol.
2026/06/15
June 15
1%
June 30
77%
6月23日
20%
July 31
95%
$942,798 Vol.
June 15
$247,659 Vol.
1%
June 30
$127,024 Vol.
77%
6月23日
$10,948 Vol.
20%
July 31
$209,327 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 flagship launched in late April 2026 and remains the latest officially documented model, yet trader sentiment for a GPT-5.6 release has shifted sharply on internal signals. A brief GPT-5.6 routing entry appeared in Codex backend logs in mid-May, while chief scientist Jakub Pachocki described the model in Slack as a “meaningful improvement” focused on efficiency and safety. These leaks coincide with competitive pressure from Anthropic’s Fable 5 and reported OpenAI plans for price cuts to position the new model as a lower-cost alternative. Prediction markets currently assign roughly 89% probability to a public release by June 30, with speculation centering on a possible mid-to-late June launch ahead of a broader ChatGPT overhaul. No system card or official benchmarks have surfaced, leaving room for timeline slippage common in frontier model cycles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： May 15, 2026, 10:22 AM ET
音量
$942,798終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
May 15, 2026, 10:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 flagship launched in late April 2026 and remains the latest officially documented model, yet trader sentiment for a GPT-5.6 release has shifted sharply on internal signals. A brief GPT-5.6 routing entry appeared in Codex backend logs in mid-May, while chief scientist Jakub Pachocki described the model in Slack as a “meaningful improvement” focused on efficiency and safety. These leaks coincide with competitive pressure from Anthropic’s Fable 5 and reported OpenAI plans for price cuts to position the new model as a lower-cost alternative. Prediction markets currently assign roughly 89% probability to a public release by June 30, with speculation centering on a possible mid-to-late June launch ahead of a broader ChatGPT overhaul. No system card or official benchmarks have surfaced, leaving room for timeline slippage common in frontier model cycles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$942,798終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
May 15, 2026, 10:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 flagship launched in late April 2026 and remains the latest officially documented model, yet trader sentiment for a GPT-5.6 release has shifted sharply on internal signals. A brief GPT-5.6 routing entry appeared in Codex backend logs in mid-May, while chief scientist Jakub Pachocki described the model in Slack as a “meaningful improvement” focused on efficiency and safety. These leaks coincide with competitive pressure from Anthropic’s Fable 5 and reported OpenAI plans for price cuts to position the new model as a lower-cost alternative. Prediction markets currently assign roughly 89% probability to a public release by June 30, with speculation centering on a possible mid-to-late June launch ahead of a broader ChatGPT overhaul. No system card or official benchmarks have surfaced, leaving room for timeline slippage common in frontier model cycles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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