Recent leaks of GPT-5.6 codenames and identifiers in OpenAI’s Codex traces and internal logs have positioned trader consensus around a mid-June release, with the June 15–21 window holding the highest implied probability. These signals follow OpenAI’s established pattern of rapid incremental updates to the GPT-5 series, including GPT-5.5 refinements in late May, amid competition from models like Anthropic’s Claude. No official announcement or benchmarks have surfaced yet, leaving room for typical development slippage or last-minute delays common in frontier large language model releases. Market positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of credible internal sightings over unverified speculation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日June 15–June 21 57%
Not released by June 28 20%
June 8–June 14 15%
June 22–June 28 14.3%
$61,239 Vol.
$61,239 Vol.
June 1–June 7
2%
June 8–June 14
15%
June 15–June 21
57%
June 22–June 28
15%
Not released by June 28
22%
June 15–June 21 57%
Not released by June 28 20%
June 8–June 14 15%
June 22–June 28 14.3%
$61,239 Vol.
$61,239 Vol.
June 1–June 7
2%
June 8–June 14
15%
June 15–June 21
57%
June 22–June 28
15%
Not released by June 28
22%
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent leaks of GPT-5.6 codenames and identifiers in OpenAI’s Codex traces and internal logs have positioned trader consensus around a mid-June release, with the June 15–21 window holding the highest implied probability. These signals follow OpenAI’s established pattern of rapid incremental updates to the GPT-5 series, including GPT-5.5 refinements in late May, amid competition from models like Anthropic’s Claude. No official announcement or benchmarks have surfaced yet, leaving room for typical development slippage or last-minute delays common in frontier large language model releases. Market positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of credible internal sightings over unverified speculation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問