Google's lack of any official announcement, developer preview, or model update for the next Gemini Pro large language model by the July 31 deadline has driven near-certain trader consensus on no release. The company typically aligns major Gemini iterations with scheduled events like Google I/O or fall hardware launches rather than unteased summer drops, and recent credible reporting has shown no indications of accelerated timelines or internal readiness. This market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of historical release patterns and absence of verifiable signals. A surprise late-July launch that evaded all public channels could theoretically shift outcomes, though such an event appears highly improbable given standard Google disclosure practices.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月31日までにリリースなし 100.0%
7月29日 2.0%
7月24日 <1%
7月1日まで <1%
$378,664 Vol.
$378,664 Vol.
2026/07/31
7月1日まで
いいえ
7月2日
いいえ
7月3日
いいえ
7月4日
いいえ
7月5日
いいえ
7月6日
いいえ
7月7日
いいえ
7月8日
いいえ
7月9日
いいえ
7月10日
いいえ
7月11日
いいえ
7月12日
いいえ
7月13日
いいえ
7月14日
いいえ
July 15
No
7月16日
いいえ
7月17日
いいえ
7月18日
いいえ
7月19日
いいえ
7月20日
いいえ
7月21日
いいえ
7月22日
いいえ
7月23日
いいえ
7月24日
いいえ
July 25
No
7月26日
いいえ
7月27日
いいえ
7月28日
いいえ
7月29日
いいえ
7月30日
いいえ
7月31日
いいえ
7月31日までにリリースなし
はい
7月31日までにリリースなし 100.0%
7月29日 2.0%
7月24日 <1%
7月1日まで <1%
$378,664 Vol.
$378,664 Vol.
2026/07/31
7月1日まで
$787 Vol.
いいえ
7月2日
$487 Vol.
いいえ
7月3日
$682 Vol.
いいえ
7月4日
$303 Vol.
いいえ
7月5日
$328 Vol.
いいえ
7月6日
$2,697 Vol.
いいえ
7月7日
$807 Vol.
いいえ
7月8日
$1,024 Vol.
いいえ
7月9日
$3,656 Vol.
いいえ
7月10日
$303 Vol.
いいえ
7月11日
$1,207 Vol.
いいえ
7月12日
$1,327 Vol.
いいえ
7月13日
$1,392 Vol.
いいえ
7月14日
$7,616 Vol.
いいえ
July 15
$11,602 Vol.
No
7月16日
$9,277 Vol.
いいえ
7月17日
$75,726 Vol.
いいえ
7月18日
$6,225 Vol.
いいえ
7月19日
$4,304 Vol.
いいえ
7月20日
$5,578 Vol.
いいえ
7月21日
$10,778 Vol.
いいえ
7月22日
$6,122 Vol.
いいえ
7月23日
$8,313 Vol.
いいえ
7月24日
$21,852 Vol.
いいえ
July 25
$4,154 Vol.
No
7月26日
$4,228 Vol.
いいえ
7月27日
$3,640 Vol.
いいえ
7月28日
$7,123 Vol.
いいえ
7月29日
$10,441 Vol.
いいえ
7月30日
$24,885 Vol.
いいえ
7月31日
$7,950 Vol.
いいえ
7月31日までにリリースなし
$133,852 Vol.
はい
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's lack of any official announcement, developer preview, or model update for the next Gemini Pro large language model by the July 31 deadline has driven near-certain trader consensus on no release. The company typically aligns major Gemini iterations with scheduled events like Google I/O or fall hardware launches rather than unteased summer drops, and recent credible reporting has shown no indications of accelerated timelines or internal readiness. This market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of historical release patterns and absence of verifiable signals. A surprise late-July launch that evaded all public channels could theoretically shift outcomes, though such an event appears highly improbable given standard Google disclosure practices.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jun 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
音量
$378,664終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
Jun 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's lack of any official announcement, developer preview, or model update for the next Gemini Pro large language model by the July 31 deadline has driven near-certain trader consensus on no release. The company typically aligns major Gemini iterations with scheduled events like Google I/O or fall hardware launches rather than unteased summer drops, and recent credible reporting has shown no indications of accelerated timelines or internal readiness. This market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of historical release patterns and absence of verifiable signals. A surprise late-July launch that evaded all public channels could theoretically shift outcomes, though such an event appears highly improbable given standard Google disclosure practices.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$378,664終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
Jun 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Google's lack of any official announcement, developer preview, or model update for the next Gemini Pro large language model by the July 31 deadline has driven near-certain trader consensus on no release. The company typically aligns major Gemini iterations with scheduled events like Google I/O or fall hardware launches rather than unteased summer drops, and recent credible reporting has shown no indications of accelerated timelines or internal readiness. This market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of historical release patterns and absence of verifiable signals. A surprise late-July launch that evaded all public channels could theoretically shift outcomes, though such an event appears highly improbable given standard Google disclosure practices.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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