Grok models currently trail on Humanity’s Last Exam, with Grok 4.6 and 4.7 scoring in the low 43% range on verified leaderboards while Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5.5 leads at 61%+ and select tool-augmented variants exceed 67%. This gap stems from xAI’s recent releases emphasizing multimodal and agentic capabilities rather than raw HLE accuracy gains, amid rapid scaling by competitors like OpenAI’s GPT-6 series and Google’s Gemini updates. With only weeks left before the December 31, 2026 resolution, traders price modest upside for 45%+ at elevated implied probability because further Grok iterations would require accelerated post-training or architecture shifts to close the expert-reasoning deficit on the 2,500-question benchmark.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日View resolved

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