Market icon
テクノロジー·Jony Ive

2026年にOpenAIはどのような製品を発表しますか？

Market icon
テクノロジー·Jony Ive

2026年にOpenAIはどのような製品を発表しますか？

$145,774 Vol.

2026/12/31
Polymarket

$145,774 Vol.

Polymarket

イヤホン／ヘッドフォン

$47,456 Vol.

36%

ネックレス

$13,393 Vol.

27%

メガネ

$31,445 Vol.

21%

衣服用クリップ型デバイス

$11,788 Vol.

18%

電話

$7,287 Vol.

17%

腕時計

$25,418 Vol.

17%

リング

$385 Vol.

17%

ヘッドマウントディスプレイ

$454 Vol.

13%

タブレット

$241 Vol.

12%

コンピューター（ノートパソコン／デスクトップ）

$7,907 Vol.

12%

This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors OpenAI announcing earbuds or headphones in 2026 at around 46% implied probability, driven by January confirmations from policy chief Chris Lehane that the company's first hardware device— a screenless, audio-first gadget developed with former Apple designer Jony Ive—remains on track for a second-half reveal, potentially manufactured by Foxconn. This edges out other outcomes like tablets amid persistent rumors of pocket-sized, pen-like wearables optimized for natural voice interactions with upgraded audio models. While OpenAI has rolled out numerous software updates this year, including GPT-5.3 Instant, GPT-5.4 with 1M context and agentic workflows, and enterprise tools like pay-as-you-go Codex, traders view hardware as the pivotal new category. Watch for progress amid competitive AI device races from Meta and Google, with resolution hinging on official unveilings before year-end.

This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released.

If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes".

The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
音量
$145,774
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 11:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors OpenAI announcing earbuds or headphones in 2026 at around 46% implied probability, driven by January confirmations from policy chief Chris Lehane that the company's first hardware device— a screenless, audio-first gadget developed with former Apple designer Jony Ive—remains on track for a second-half reveal, potentially manufactured by Foxconn. This edges out other outcomes like tablets amid persistent rumors of pocket-sized, pen-like wearables optimized for natural voice interactions with upgraded audio models. While OpenAI has rolled out numerous software updates this year, including GPT-5.3 Instant, GPT-5.4 with 1M context and agentic workflows, and enterprise tools like pay-as-you-go Codex, traders view hardware as the pivotal new category. Watch for progress amid competitive AI device races from Meta and Google, with resolution hinging on official unveilings before year-end.

This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released.

If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes".

The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
音量
$145,774
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 11:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「2026年にOpenAIはどのような製品を発表しますか？」はPolymarket上の10個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「イヤホン／ヘッドフォン」で36%、次いで「ネックレス」が27%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、36¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に36%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「2026年にOpenAIはどのような製品を発表しますか？」は$145.8Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Jan 30, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

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「2026年にOpenAIはどのような製品を発表しますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「イヤホン／ヘッドフォン」で36%であり、市場がこの結果に36%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ネックレス」で27%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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