Strong trader consensus on a June 30 release for the next Google Gemini Pro model reflects typical end-of-quarter timing after the May 2026 Google I/O announcements of the Gemini 3.5 series and agentic upgrades, with no confirmed earlier public launch date or major preview emerging in recent weeks. The 20% probability assigned to no release by June 30 accounts for potential delays common in large language model iterations, where internal testing and competitive positioning against rivals like OpenAI often shift timelines. Lower odds clustered around June 23-26 capture scattered speculation on minor updates or API drops, but lack supporting official signals or credible reporting. Traders weigh Google's pattern of iterative Gemini releases—such as the February 3.1 Pro preview—against the uncertainty of exact feature thresholds or regulatory factors that could influence final rollout.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月30日までにリリースなし 99%
6月6日 1%
6月21日 1%
6月8日 <1%
$243,465 Vol.
$243,465 Vol.
2026/06/30
2026年6月2日まで
いいえ
6月3日
いいえ
6月4日
いいえ
6月5日
いいえ
6月6日
いいえ
6月7日
いいえ
6月8日
いいえ
6月9日
いいえ
6月10日
いいえ
6月11日
いいえ
6月12日
いいえ
6月13日
いいえ
6月14日
いいえ
6月15日
いいえ
6月16日
いいえ
6月17日
いいえ
6月18日
いいえ
6月19日
いいえ
6月20日
いいえ
6月21日
いいえ
6月22日
いいえ
6月23日
いいえ
6月24日
いいえ
6月25日
いいえ
6月26日
いいえ
6月27日
いいえ
6月28日
いいえ
6月29日
いいえ
6月30日
いいえ
6月30日までにリリースなし
はい
6月30日までにリリースなし 99%
6月6日 1%
6月21日 1%
6月8日 <1%
$243,465 Vol.
$243,465 Vol.
2026/06/30
2026年6月2日まで
$646 Vol.
いいえ
6月3日
$2,518 Vol.
いいえ
6月4日
$8,698 Vol.
いいえ
6月5日
$1,884 Vol.
いいえ
6月6日
$1,557 Vol.
いいえ
6月7日
$1,373 Vol.
いいえ
6月8日
$1,185 Vol.
いいえ
6月9日
$18,870 Vol.
いいえ
6月10日
$1,731 Vol.
いいえ
6月11日
$5,045 Vol.
いいえ
6月12日
$2,919 Vol.
いいえ
6月13日
$3,166 Vol.
いいえ
6月14日
$2,640 Vol.
いいえ
6月15日
$2,366 Vol.
いいえ
6月16日
$6,240 Vol.
いいえ
6月17日
$4,148 Vol.
いいえ
6月18日
$2,986 Vol.
いいえ
6月19日
$3,049 Vol.
いいえ
6月20日
$2,345 Vol.
いいえ
6月21日
$2,067 Vol.
いいえ
6月22日
$6,936 Vol.
いいえ
6月23日
$19,161 Vol.
いいえ
6月24日
$9,359 Vol.
いいえ
6月25日
$8,242 Vol.
いいえ
6月26日
$11,433 Vol.
いいえ
6月27日
$3,461 Vol.
いいえ
6月28日
$4,130 Vol.
いいえ
6月29日
$10,571 Vol.
いいえ
6月30日
$33,506 Vol.
いいえ
6月30日までにリリースなし
$61,233 Vol.
はい
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Strong trader consensus on a June 30 release for the next Google Gemini Pro model reflects typical end-of-quarter timing after the May 2026 Google I/O announcements of the Gemini 3.5 series and agentic upgrades, with no confirmed earlier public launch date or major preview emerging in recent weeks. The 20% probability assigned to no release by June 30 accounts for potential delays common in large language model iterations, where internal testing and competitive positioning against rivals like OpenAI often shift timelines. Lower odds clustered around June 23-26 capture scattered speculation on minor updates or API drops, but lack supporting official signals or credible reporting. Traders weigh Google's pattern of iterative Gemini releases—such as the February 3.1 Pro preview—against the uncertainty of exact feature thresholds or regulatory factors that could influence final rollout.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
音量
$243,465終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Strong trader consensus on a June 30 release for the next Google Gemini Pro model reflects typical end-of-quarter timing after the May 2026 Google I/O announcements of the Gemini 3.5 series and agentic upgrades, with no confirmed earlier public launch date or major preview emerging in recent weeks. The 20% probability assigned to no release by June 30 accounts for potential delays common in large language model iterations, where internal testing and competitive positioning against rivals like OpenAI often shift timelines. Lower odds clustered around June 23-26 capture scattered speculation on minor updates or API drops, but lack supporting official signals or credible reporting. Traders weigh Google's pattern of iterative Gemini releases—such as the February 3.1 Pro preview—against the uncertainty of exact feature thresholds or regulatory factors that could influence final rollout.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$243,465終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Strong trader consensus on a June 30 release for the next Google Gemini Pro model reflects typical end-of-quarter timing after the May 2026 Google I/O announcements of the Gemini 3.5 series and agentic upgrades, with no confirmed earlier public launch date or major preview emerging in recent weeks. The 20% probability assigned to no release by June 30 accounts for potential delays common in large language model iterations, where internal testing and competitive positioning against rivals like OpenAI often shift timelines. Lower odds clustered around June 23-26 capture scattered speculation on minor updates or API drops, but lack supporting official signals or credible reporting. Traders weigh Google's pattern of iterative Gemini releases—such as the February 3.1 Pro preview—against the uncertainty of exact feature thresholds or regulatory factors that could influence final rollout.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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