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テクノロジー·IPO

2027年以前のIPO ？

icon for 2027年以前のIPO ？
テクノロジー·IPO

2027年以前のIPO ？

12月 31

12月 31

$6,636,809 Vol.

2026/12/31
Polymarket

$6,636,809 Vol.

Polymarket
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80%

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution. This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.**Recent S-1 filings and successful debuts are lifting trader expectations for multiple tech IPOs by December 31, 2026.** OpenAI filed its S-1 on June 8 targeting a potential $1 trillion-plus valuation, while Anthropic confidentially submitted its filing on June 1 amid an ~$965 billion valuation, both signaling readiness for late-2026 listings if market conditions hold. SpaceX completed the largest IPO in history in mid-June at a ~$1.8–2 trillion valuation, demonstrating strong investor appetite for high-growth tech names. AI infrastructure and model companies face capital needs that favor public markets, though Databricks has signaled a likely 2027 push amid volatility. Prediction markets price several contracts (e.g., Discord near 96%) above 70% implied probability, reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus on filings converting to launches before year-end, tempered by typical regulatory and timing risks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".

This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$6,636,809
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution. This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.**Recent S-1 filings and successful debuts are lifting trader expectations for multiple tech IPOs by December 31, 2026.** OpenAI filed its S-1 on June 8 targeting a potential $1 trillion-plus valuation, while Anthropic confidentially submitted its filing on June 1 amid an ~$965 billion valuation, both signaling readiness for late-2026 listings if market conditions hold. SpaceX completed the largest IPO in history in mid-June at a ~$1.8–2 trillion valuation, demonstrating strong investor appetite for high-growth tech names. AI infrastructure and model companies face capital needs that favor public markets, though Databricks has signaled a likely 2027 push amid volatility. Prediction markets price several contracts (e.g., Discord near 96%) above 70% implied probability, reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus on filings converting to launches before year-end, tempered by typical regulatory and timing risks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".

This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$6,636,809
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

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よくある質問

「2027年以前のIPO ？」はPolymarket上の34個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「スペースX」で100%、次いで「ワンス・アポン・ア・ファーム」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「2027年以前のIPO ？」は$6.6 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Nov 12, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「2027年以前のIPO ？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている34個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「2027年以前のIPO ？」の現在のフロントランナーは「スペースX」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ワンス・アポン・ア・ファーム」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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