Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Cerebras Systems at a near-certain 99% implied probability for a pre-2027 IPO following its April 17 S-1 filing and May 4 pricing update targeting a $26.6 billion valuation with $3.5 billion raised, propelled by a $10 billion OpenAI compute deal and wafer-scale AI chip demand challenging Nvidia dominance. SpaceX follows at 94%, buoyed by its early-April confidential SEC draft and planned June roadshow amid Starlink profits funding AI data center expansion. Discord holds 62% on its January confidential filing, while Anthropic's 66% reflects AI lab momentum; laggards like Stripe (8%) and Databricks (22%) lack filings despite tender valuations. Cerebras' mid-May pricing and regulatory reviews remain key catalysts in this $6 million volume market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$6,115,694 Vol.
2026/12/31
Cerebras
100%
スペースX
94%
Anthropic
66%
Discord
61%
リモート
33%
OpenAI
29%
WHOOP
25%
Applied Intuition
23%
Deel
19%
SHEIN
18%
Mistral AI
16%
Databricks
14%
フレディマック
14%
Anduril
14%
バイトダンス
14%
Ledger
24%
リプリング
13%
Glean
12%
Celonis
12%
ファニーメイ
12%
Anduril Industries
12%
Ramp
11%
リップル・ラボ
10%
Anysphere（カーソル）
10%
Epic Games
9%
Vanta
9%
Revolut
8%
Stripe
8%
Canva
6%
Waymo
5%
Brex
1%
$6,115,694 Vol.
Cerebras
$387,438 Vol.
100%
スペースX
$556,970 Vol.
94%
Anthropic
$216,010 Vol.
66%
Discord
$443,310 Vol.
61%
リモート
$54,380 Vol.
33%
OpenAI
$229,355 Vol.
29%
WHOOP
$153 Vol.
25%
Applied Intuition
$191,300 Vol.
23%
Deel
$121,608 Vol.
19%
SHEIN
$78,403 Vol.
18%
Mistral AI
$148,253 Vol.
16%
Databricks
$467,137 Vol.
14%
フレディマック
$243,879 Vol.
14%
Anduril
$350,049 Vol.
14%
バイトダンス
$9,195 Vol.
14%
Ledger
$508,051 Vol.
24%
リプリング
$117,108 Vol.
13%
Glean
$44,599 Vol.
12%
Celonis
$207,715 Vol.
12%
ファニーメイ
$161,134 Vol.
12%
Anduril Industries
$30,014 Vol.
12%
Ramp
$143,870 Vol.
11%
リップル・ラボ
$145,535 Vol.
10%
Anysphere（カーソル）
$96,975 Vol.
10%
Epic Games
$70,991 Vol.
9%
Vanta
$130,365 Vol.
9%
Revolut
$56,567 Vol.
8%
Stripe
$249,632 Vol.
8%
Canva
$35,342 Vol.
6%
Waymo
$51,238 Vol.
5%
Brex
$208,457 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Cerebras Systems at a near-certain 99% implied probability for a pre-2027 IPO following its April 17 S-1 filing and May 4 pricing update targeting a $26.6 billion valuation with $3.5 billion raised, propelled by a $10 billion OpenAI compute deal and wafer-scale AI chip demand challenging Nvidia dominance. SpaceX follows at 94%, buoyed by its early-April confidential SEC draft and planned June roadshow amid Starlink profits funding AI data center expansion. Discord holds 62% on its January confidential filing, while Anthropic's 66% reflects AI lab momentum; laggards like Stripe (8%) and Databricks (22%) lack filings despite tender valuations. Cerebras' mid-May pricing and regulatory reviews remain key catalysts in this $6 million volume market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ET
音量
$6,115,694終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Cerebras Systems at a near-certain 99% implied probability for a pre-2027 IPO following its April 17 S-1 filing and May 4 pricing update targeting a $26.6 billion valuation with $3.5 billion raised, propelled by a $10 billion OpenAI compute deal and wafer-scale AI chip demand challenging Nvidia dominance. SpaceX follows at 94%, buoyed by its early-April confidential SEC draft and planned June roadshow amid Starlink profits funding AI data center expansion. Discord holds 62% on its January confidential filing, while Anthropic's 66% reflects AI lab momentum; laggards like Stripe (8%) and Databricks (22%) lack filings despite tender valuations. Cerebras' mid-May pricing and regulatory reviews remain key catalysts in this $6 million volume market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$6,115,694終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Cerebras Systems at a near-certain 99% implied probability for a pre-2027 IPO following its April 17 S-1 filing and May 4 pricing update targeting a $26.6 billion valuation with $3.5 billion raised, propelled by a $10 billion OpenAI compute deal and wafer-scale AI chip demand challenging Nvidia dominance. SpaceX follows at 94%, buoyed by its early-April confidential SEC draft and planned June roadshow amid Starlink profits funding AI data center expansion. Discord holds 62% on its January confidential filing, while Anthropic's 66% reflects AI lab momentum; laggards like Stripe (8%) and Databricks (22%) lack filings despite tender valuations. Cerebras' mid-May pricing and regulatory reviews remain key catalysts in this $6 million volume market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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