SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline underpins the market's overwhelming 95.5% implied probability for a June listing, following the company's May 20 S-1 filing with the SEC and reports of a targeted June 4 roadshow, June 11 pricing, and Nasdaq debut as early as June 12 under ticker SPCX. Faster-than-expected regulatory review and strong institutional demand for the record-sized offering, potentially valuing the firm above $1.5 trillion, have driven this positioning among traders. While the near-term catalyst path appears clear, realistic scenarios such as last-minute SEC comments, adverse market volatility, or shifts in underwriting schedules could still introduce modest delays into July.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月 95.5%
7月 3.9%
2027年以前にIPOなし 1.1%
9月 <1%
$383,059 Vol.
$383,059 Vol.
5月
<1%
6月
96%
7月
4%
8月
<1%
9月
<1%
10月
<1%
11月
<1%
12月
<1%
2027年以前にIPOなし
1%
6月 95.5%
7月 3.9%
2027年以前にIPOなし 1.1%
9月 <1%
$383,059 Vol.
$383,059 Vol.
5月
<1%
6月
96%
7月
4%
8月
<1%
9月
<1%
10月
<1%
11月
<1%
12月
<1%
2027年以前にIPOなし
1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
マーケット開始日: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline underpins the market's overwhelming 95.5% implied probability for a June listing, following the company's May 20 S-1 filing with the SEC and reports of a targeted June 4 roadshow, June 11 pricing, and Nasdaq debut as early as June 12 under ticker SPCX. Faster-than-expected regulatory review and strong institutional demand for the record-sized offering, potentially valuing the firm above $1.5 trillion, have driven this positioning among traders. While the near-term catalyst path appears clear, realistic scenarios such as last-minute SEC comments, adverse market volatility, or shifts in underwriting schedules could still introduce modest delays into July.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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