SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, highlighted by its public S-1 filing on May 20 and reports of a Nasdaq debut targeted for June 12 under ticker SPCX, underpins the 91.5% market-implied probability on June. Faster-than-expected SEC review progress, a June 4 roadshow launch, and pricing as early as June 11 have aligned institutional expectations around this window, with the offering positioned as potentially the largest ever at a $1.8–2 trillion valuation. Trader consensus reflects these concrete milestones and recent Starship test success boosting sentiment. Delays from final regulatory hurdles, adverse equity market conditions, or last-minute shifts in company strategy represent the primary scenarios that could still shift resolution to later months.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月 92.0%
7月 4.8%
9月 1.7%
8月 1.7%
$418,379 Vol.
$418,379 Vol.
5月
<1%
6月
92%
7月
5%
8月
2%
9月
2%
10月
<1%
11月
<1%
12月
<1%
2027年以前にIPOなし
1%
6月 92.0%
7月 4.8%
9月 1.7%
8月 1.7%
$418,379 Vol.
$418,379 Vol.
5月
<1%
6月
92%
7月
5%
8月
2%
9月
2%
10月
<1%
11月
<1%
12月
<1%
2027年以前にIPOなし
1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
マーケット開始日: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, highlighted by its public S-1 filing on May 20 and reports of a Nasdaq debut targeted for June 12 under ticker SPCX, underpins the 91.5% market-implied probability on June. Faster-than-expected SEC review progress, a June 4 roadshow launch, and pricing as early as June 11 have aligned institutional expectations around this window, with the offering positioned as potentially the largest ever at a $1.8–2 trillion valuation. Trader consensus reflects these concrete milestones and recent Starship test success boosting sentiment. Delays from final regulatory hurdles, adverse equity market conditions, or last-minute shifts in company strategy represent the primary scenarios that could still shift resolution to later months.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問