SpaceX’s recent public S-1 filing on May 20, following an April confidential submission, has anchored trader consensus around a June listing at 95.8% implied probability. The accelerated timeline—driven by faster-than-expected SEC review—targets a roadshow launch around June 4 and Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX as early as June 12, with Goldman Sachs leading a syndicate and reports citing potential $40-80 billion proceeds at a $1.5 trillion-plus valuation. Strong Starlink revenue growth and institutional demand reinforce the positioning. Realistic challenges include roadshow delays, adverse market volatility, or last-minute regulatory holds that could push resolution into July.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月 95.8%
7月 3.6%
2027年以前にIPOなし 1.4%
10月 <1%
$383,059 Vol.
$383,059 Vol.
5月
<1%
6月
96%
7月
4%
8月
<1%
9月
<1%
10月
1%
11月
<1%
12月
<1%
2027年以前にIPOなし
1%
6月 95.8%
7月 3.6%
2027年以前にIPOなし 1.4%
10月 <1%
$383,059 Vol.
$383,059 Vol.
5月
<1%
6月
96%
7月
4%
8月
<1%
9月
<1%
10月
1%
11月
<1%
12月
<1%
2027年以前にIPOなし
1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
マーケット開始日: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX’s recent public S-1 filing on May 20, following an April confidential submission, has anchored trader consensus around a June listing at 95.8% implied probability. The accelerated timeline—driven by faster-than-expected SEC review—targets a roadshow launch around June 4 and Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX as early as June 12, with Goldman Sachs leading a syndicate and reports citing potential $40-80 billion proceeds at a $1.5 trillion-plus valuation. Strong Starlink revenue growth and institutional demand reinforce the positioning. Realistic challenges include roadshow delays, adverse market volatility, or last-minute regulatory holds that could push resolution into July.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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