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icon for 3月31日までにIPOを行いますか?

3月31日までにIPOを行いますか?

icon for 3月31日までにIPOを行いますか?

3月31日までにIPOを行いますか?

はい

<1% 確率
Polymarket

$25,260 Vol.

はい

<1% 確率
Polymarket

$25,260 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Deel completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Deel merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for "No" on a Deel IPO by March 31, 2026, as the deadline passed without an S-1 registration filing with the SEC or any public listing on NYSE or Nasdaq. Deel, a leading HR tech platform for global payroll and workforce compliance, had signaled preparations through revenue growth to over $1 billion annual run rate, a $300 million funding round at $17.3 billion valuation in late 2025, and key hires like former Intuit CFO Joe Kauffman. However, a U.S. Department of Justice criminal investigation launched in January 2026 into allegations of corporate espionage against rival Rippling, coupled with ongoing civil RICO litigation, likely stalled progress amid regulatory scrutiny and market volatility. With no last-minute catalysts emerging, resolution appears certain barring rare SEC reinterpretation of filings.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Deel completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources.

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If Deel merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$25,260
終了日
2026/03/31
マーケット開始日
Jan 8, 2026, 1:24 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Deel completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Deel merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Deel completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Deel merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for "No" on a Deel IPO by March 31, 2026, as the deadline passed without an S-1 registration filing with the SEC or any public listing on NYSE or Nasdaq. Deel, a leading HR tech platform for global payroll and workforce compliance, had signaled preparations through revenue growth to over $1 billion annual run rate, a $300 million funding round at $17.3 billion valuation in late 2025, and key hires like former Intuit CFO Joe Kauffman. However, a U.S. Department of Justice criminal investigation launched in January 2026 into allegations of corporate espionage against rival Rippling, coupled with ongoing civil RICO litigation, likely stalled progress amid regulatory scrutiny and market volatility. With no last-minute catalysts emerging, resolution appears certain barring rare SEC reinterpretation of filings.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Deel completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources.

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If Deel merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$25,260
終了日
2026/03/31
マーケット開始日
Jan 8, 2026, 1:24 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Deel completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Deel merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「3月31日までにIPOを行いますか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「DeelのIPOは3月31日まで?」で0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、0¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に0%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「3月31日までにIPOを行いますか?」は$25.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jan 8, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「3月31日までにIPOを行いますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「3月31日までにIPOを行いますか?」の現在のリーダーは「DeelのIPOは3月31日まで?」でわずか0%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「3月31日までにIPOを行いますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。