Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Strava's IPO closing market cap in the 2B–3B range at 44.5% implied probability, anchored to the fitness tracking platform's $2.2 billion private valuation from its May 2025 funding round led by Sequoia Capital. Recent catalysts include Strava's February 2 confidential draft S-1 submission to the SEC and reports of hiring Goldman Sachs as lead underwriter last week, signaling a potential spring 2026 debut amid over 180 million global athletes and projected $500 million annual recurring revenue from premium subscriptions. Lower odds for higher bins reflect cautious multiples in the fitness app sector, with public prospectus details and IPO market conditions as key upcoming swing factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日20億～30億ドル 45%
20億ドル未満 19%
30億〜40億ドル 11%
40億～50億ドル 11%
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2027
20億ドル未満
15%
20億～30億ドル
45%
30億〜40億ドル
19%
40億～50億ドル
13%
50億～70億ドル
6%
70億～100億ドル
5%
100億〜150億
5%
150億ドル以上
2%
2028年以前にIPOなし
7%
20億～30億ドル 45%
20億ドル未満 19%
30億〜40億ドル 11%
40億～50億ドル 11%
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2027
20億ドル未満
$0 Vol.
15%
20億～30億ドル
$0 Vol.
45%
30億〜40億ドル
$0 Vol.
19%
40億～50億ドル
$0 Vol.
13%
50億～70億ドル
$785 Vol.
6%
70億～100億ドル
$0 Vol.
5%
100億〜150億
$1,485 Vol.
5%
150億ドル以上
$0 Vol.
2%
2028年以前にIPOなし
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Strava's IPO closing market cap in the 2B–3B range at 44.5% implied probability, anchored to the fitness tracking platform's $2.2 billion private valuation from its May 2025 funding round led by Sequoia Capital. Recent catalysts include Strava's February 2 confidential draft S-1 submission to the SEC and reports of hiring Goldman Sachs as lead underwriter last week, signaling a potential spring 2026 debut amid over 180 million global athletes and projected $500 million annual recurring revenue from premium subscriptions. Lower odds for higher bins reflect cautious multiples in the fitness app sector, with public prospectus details and IPO market conditions as key upcoming swing factors.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
音量
$2,269終了日
Dec 31, 2027マーケット開始日
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Strava's IPO closing market cap in the 2B–3B range at 44.5% implied probability, anchored to the fitness tracking platform's $2.2 billion private valuation from its May 2025 funding round led by Sequoia Capital. Recent catalysts include Strava's February 2 confidential draft S-1 submission to the SEC and reports of hiring Goldman Sachs as lead underwriter last week, signaling a potential spring 2026 debut amid over 180 million global athletes and projected $500 million annual recurring revenue from premium subscriptions. Lower odds for higher bins reflect cautious multiples in the fitness app sector, with public prospectus details and IPO market conditions as key upcoming swing factors.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$2,269終了日
Dec 31, 2027マーケット開始日
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Strava's IPO closing market cap in the 2B–3B range at 44.5% implied probability, anchored to the fitness tracking platform's $2.2 billion private valuation from its May 2025 funding round led by Sequoia Capital. Recent catalysts include Strava's February 2 confidential draft S-1 submission to the SEC and reports of hiring Goldman Sachs as lead underwriter last week, signaling a potential spring 2026 debut amid over 180 million global athletes and projected $500 million annual recurring revenue from premium subscriptions. Lower odds for higher bins reflect cautious multiples in the fitness app sector, with public prospectus details and IPO market conditions as key upcoming swing factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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