Traders overwhelmingly price in a 99.5% chance of no Clear Street Group IPO before April 2026, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcements from the cloud-native prime brokerage platform, which last raised $165 million in Series B funding in 2022 at a $1.75 billion valuation. Broader fintech IPO drought persists amid high interest rates, regulatory hurdles for capital markets tech, and volatile public listings—exemplified by delayed debuts from peers like Stripe. Recent developments, including platform expansions into derivatives clearing, show growth but no IPO catalysts. A surprise filing, aggressive Fed rate cuts sparking market thaw, or blockbuster revenue disclosures could challenge this consensus, though such shifts remain improbable in the near term.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日2026年4月以前にIPOなし 99.5%
90億~95億 <1%
105億〜110億ドル <1%
110億~115億 <1%
$32,828 Vol.
$32,828 Vol.
90億ドル未満
<1%
90億~95億
<1%
95億~100億ドル
<1%
100億〜105億ドル
<1%
105億〜110億ドル
<1%
110億~115億
<1%
115億〜120億ドル
<1%
120億ドル超
<1%
2026年4月以前にIPOなし
100%
2026年4月以前にIPOなし 99.5%
90億~95億 <1%
105億〜110億ドル <1%
110億~115億 <1%
$32,828 Vol.
$32,828 Vol.
90億ドル未満
<1%
90億~95億
<1%
95億~100億ドル
<1%
100億〜105億ドル
<1%
105億〜110億ドル
<1%
110億~115億
<1%
115億〜120億ドル
<1%
120億ドル超
<1%
2026年4月以前にIPOなし
100%
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on February 13, 2026 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before April 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日: Feb 5, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders overwhelmingly price in a 99.5% chance of no Clear Street Group IPO before April 2026, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcements from the cloud-native prime brokerage platform, which last raised $165 million in Series B funding in 2022 at a $1.75 billion valuation. Broader fintech IPO drought persists amid high interest rates, regulatory hurdles for capital markets tech, and volatile public listings—exemplified by delayed debuts from peers like Stripe. Recent developments, including platform expansions into derivatives clearing, show growth but no IPO catalysts. A surprise filing, aggressive Fed rate cuts sparking market thaw, or blockbuster revenue disclosures could challenge this consensus, though such shifts remain improbable in the near term.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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