Trader sentiment on Polymarket clusters tightly around Microsoft's (MSFT) share price ending the week of March 30 in the $340-$370 range, with the $350-$360 bin leading at 30.5% implied probability, reflecting the stock's recent close near $357 on March 27 amid a broader tech sector rout. Heightened concerns over escalating AI capital expenditures—projected at $106.9 billion annually—and geopolitical tensions have erased 24% year-to-date gains, pressuring Azure growth margins against rivals like AWS and Google Cloud, where competitive pricing and customer migration risks loom large. Absent major catalysts before quarter-end, upcoming PCE inflation data and nonfarm payrolls could sway risk appetite, keeping odds closely contested as traders weigh short-term volatility against long-term analyst targets averaging $589.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$350〜$360 31%
$360~$370 28%
$340-$350 26%
$370〜$380 14%
<$320
11%
$320~$330
9%
$330〜$340
8%
$340-$350
26%
$350〜$360
31%
$360~$370
28%
$370〜$380
14%
$380-$390
5%
$390~$400
11%
$400〜$410
11%
>$410
10%
$350〜$360 31%
$360~$370 28%
$340-$350 26%
$370〜$380 14%
<$320
11%
$320~$330
9%
$330〜$340
8%
$340-$350
26%
$350〜$360
31%
$360~$370
28%
$370〜$380
14%
$380-$390
5%
$390~$400
11%
$400〜$410
11%
>$410
10%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
マーケット開始日: Mar 27, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Polymarket clusters tightly around Microsoft's (MSFT) share price ending the week of March 30 in the $340-$370 range, with the $350-$360 bin leading at 30.5% implied probability, reflecting the stock's recent close near $357 on March 27 amid a broader tech sector rout. Heightened concerns over escalating AI capital expenditures—projected at $106.9 billion annually—and geopolitical tensions have erased 24% year-to-date gains, pressuring Azure growth margins against rivals like AWS and Google Cloud, where competitive pricing and customer migration risks loom large. Absent major catalysts before quarter-end, upcoming PCE inflation data and nonfarm payrolls could sway risk appetite, keeping odds closely contested as traders weigh short-term volatility against long-term analyst targets averaging $589.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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