Microsoft (MSFT) shares closed at $358.96 on March 30, 2026, down 21% year-to-date in the tech sector's worst start since 2008, as traders reassess the returns on surging AI infrastructure capex amid forward P/E compression to around 23x. The slide accelerated in March from mid-$400 levels, driven by doubts over whether $140 billion in projected spending will deliver commensurate Azure growth, despite Q2 FY2026 revenue of $81.3 billion (up 17%) fueled by 37-38% Azure acceleration. Consensus analyst price targets average $596-$600, implying 65% upside, but market-implied caution prevails ahead of pivotal Q3 earnings on April 28-29 (guidance: $80.65-$81.75 billion revenue), where cloud margins and AI monetization updates could swing April highs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$25,535 Vol.
2026/05/01
↑ 570ドル
5%
↑ 533ドル
7%
↑ $503
10%
↑ $473
20%
↑ 450ドル
14%
↑ $435
26%
↑ $420
23%
↓ $405
99%
↓ $390
95%
↓ $375
91%
↓ $353
91%
↓ $330
47%
↓ 300ドル
9%
↓ $263
9%
$25,535 Vol.
↑ 570ドル
$36 Vol.
5%
↑ 533ドル
$0 Vol.
7%
↑ $503
$95 Vol.
10%
↑ $473
$0 Vol.
20%
↑ 450ドル
$92 Vol.
14%
↑ $435
$0 Vol.
26%
↑ $420
$153 Vol.
23%
↓ $405
$0 Vol.
99%
↓ $390
$19,325 Vol.
95%
↓ $375
$1,715 Vol.
91%
↓ $353
$183 Vol.
91%
↓ $330
$3,581 Vol.
47%
↓ 300ドル
$355 Vol.
9%
↓ $263
$0 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Low" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.Microsoft (MSFT) shares closed at $358.96 on March 30, 2026, down 21% year-to-date in the tech sector's worst start since 2008, as traders reassess the returns on surging AI infrastructure capex amid forward P/E compression to around 23x. The slide accelerated in March from mid-$400 levels, driven by doubts over whether $140 billion in projected spending will deliver commensurate Azure growth, despite Q2 FY2026 revenue of $81.3 billion (up 17%) fueled by 37-38% Azure acceleration. Consensus analyst price targets average $596-$600, implying 65% upside, but market-implied caution prevails ahead of pivotal Q3 earnings on April 28-29 (guidance: $80.65-$81.75 billion revenue), where cloud margins and AI monetization updates could swing April highs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
マーケット開始日： Mar 9, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
音量
$25,535終了日
2026/05/01マーケット開始日
Mar 9, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Low" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.Microsoft (MSFT) shares closed at $358.96 on March 30, 2026, down 21% year-to-date in the tech sector's worst start since 2008, as traders reassess the returns on surging AI infrastructure capex amid forward P/E compression to around 23x. The slide accelerated in March from mid-$400 levels, driven by doubts over whether $140 billion in projected spending will deliver commensurate Azure growth, despite Q2 FY2026 revenue of $81.3 billion (up 17%) fueled by 37-38% Azure acceleration. Consensus analyst price targets average $596-$600, implying 65% upside, but market-implied caution prevails ahead of pivotal Q3 earnings on April 28-29 (guidance: $80.65-$81.75 billion revenue), where cloud margins and AI monetization updates could swing April highs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
音量
$25,535終了日
2026/05/01マーケット開始日
Mar 9, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Microsoft (MSFT) shares closed at $358.96 on March 30, 2026, down 21% year-to-date in the tech sector's worst start since 2008, as traders reassess the returns on surging AI infrastructure capex amid forward P/E compression to around 23x. The slide accelerated in March from mid-$400 levels, driven by doubts over whether $140 billion in projected spending will deliver commensurate Azure growth, despite Q2 FY2026 revenue of $81.3 billion (up 17%) fueled by 37-38% Azure acceleration. Consensus analyst price targets average $596-$600, implying 65% upside, but market-implied caution prevails ahead of pivotal Q3 earnings on April 28-29 (guidance: $80.65-$81.75 billion revenue), where cloud margins and AI monetization updates could swing April highs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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