Market icon
財務·COMEXゴールド先物

ゴールド（ GC ）は3月末までに__を達成しますか？

Market icon
財務·COMEXゴールド先物

ゴールド（ GC ）は3月末までに__を達成しますか？

Mar 31

Jun 30

Dec 31

Mar 31

Jun 30

Dec 31

$3,031,738 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$3,031,738 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ $10,000

$322,547 Vol.

<1%

↑ $7,000

$361,178 Vol.

<1%

↑ $6,600

$106,212 Vol.

<1%

↑ $6,400

$80,488 Vol.

<1%

↑ $6,200

$99,291 Vol.

<1%

↑ 6,000ドル

$42,651 Vol.

<1%

↑ $5,800

$77,025 Vol.

<1%

↑ $5,600

$71,247 Vol.

<1%

↑ $5,500

$64,986 Vol.

<1%

↑ $5,400

$181,002 Vol.

<1%

↓ $4,300

$197,467 Vol.

4%

↓ $4,000

$230,094 Vol.

2%

↓ $3,600

$221,379 Vol.

<1%

↓ 3,000ドル

$338,845 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) have retreated from mid-March peaks above $5,000 amid a firmer U.S. dollar—DXY near 100.2—and climbing 10-year Treasury yields at 4.44%, diminishing the metal's appeal as a non-yielding safe-haven asset. Polymarket trader consensus reflects this sentiment, pricing just 1% odds for GC hitting $5,400 while implying 9% probability of breaching $4,300 downward by March 31 resolution based on CME settlement prices. Fading expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026, driven by persistent inflation signals, have eroded bullish momentum despite geopolitical tensions. Traders eye today's core PCE data release and quarter-end rebalancing flows as pivotal catalysts through Friday's close.

Gold futures (GC) have retreated from mid-March peaks above $5,000 amid a firmer U.S. dollar—DXY near 100.2—and climbing 10-year Treasury yields at 4.44%, diminishing the metal's appeal as a non-yielding safe-haven asset. Polymarket trader consensus reflects this sentiment, pricing just 1% odds for GC hitting $5,400 while implying 9% probability of breaching $4,300 downward by March 31 resolution based on CME settlement prices. Fading expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026, driven by persistent inflation signals, have eroded bullish momentum despite geopolitical tensions. Traders eye today's core PCE data release and quarter-end rebalancing flows as pivotal catalysts through Friday's close.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) have retreated from mid-March peaks above $5,000 amid a firmer U.S. dollar—DXY near 100.2—and climbing 10-year Treasury yields at 4.44%, diminishing the metal's appeal as a non-yielding safe-haven asset. Polymarket trader consensus reflects this sentiment, pricing just 1% odds for GC hitting $5,400 while implying 9% probability of breaching $4,300 downward by March 31 resolution based on CME settlement prices. Fading expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026, driven by persistent inflation signals, have eroded bullish momentum despite geopolitical tensions. Traders eye today's core PCE data release and quarter-end rebalancing flows as pivotal catalysts through Friday's close.

Gold futures (GC) have retreated from mid-March peaks above $5,000 amid a firmer U.S. dollar—DXY near 100.2—and climbing 10-year Treasury yields at 4.44%, diminishing the metal's appeal as a non-yielding safe-haven asset. Polymarket trader consensus reflects this sentiment, pricing just 1% odds for GC hitting $5,400 while implying 9% probability of breaching $4,300 downward by March 31 resolution based on CME settlement prices. Fading expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026, driven by persistent inflation signals, have eroded bullish momentum despite geopolitical tensions. Traders eye today's core PCE data release and quarter-end rebalancing flows as pivotal catalysts through Friday's close.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「ゴールド（ GC ）は3月末までに__を達成しますか？」はPolymarket上の20個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「↓ $5,200」で100%、次いで「↓ $5,100」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ゴールド（ GC ）は3月末までに__を達成しますか？」は$3 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 2, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ゴールド（ GC ）は3月末までに__を達成しますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている20個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ゴールド（ GC ）は3月末までに__を達成しますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「↓ $5,200」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「↓ $5,100」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ゴールド（ GC ）は3月末までに__を達成しますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。