Gold futures (GC) have pulled back from all-time highs above $2,750/oz hit in late October, now trading near $2,650/oz amid a post-election U.S. dollar rally and climbing 10-year Treasury yields that elevate real interest rates—the primary headwind for non-yielding assets like gold. Year-to-date gains exceeding 28% reflect sustained central bank buying (led by China at record paces), geopolitical risks in Ukraine and the Middle East, and Fed rate cuts totaling 100 basis points since September. Trader consensus on Polymarket weighs Fed policy trajectory, with the December 18 FOMC meeting and January CPI/nonfarm payrolls as pivotal catalysts that could drive volatility toward March 31 resolution, potentially testing $2,800+ if real yields soften further.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日ゴールド（ GC ）は3月末までに__を達成しますか？
ゴールド（ GC ）は3月末までに__を達成しますか？
$2,871,896 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
↑ $10,000
<1%
↑ $7,000
<1%
↑ $6,600
<1%
↑ $6,400
<1%
↑ $6,200
<1%
↑ 6,000ドル
<1%
↑ $5,800
<1%
↑ $5,600
<1%
↑ $5,500
<1%
↑ $5,400
1%
↓ $4,300
25%
↓ $4,000
5%
↓ $3,600
1%
↓ 3,000ドル
<1%
$2,871,896 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$321,444 Vol.
<1%
↑ $7,000
$360,647 Vol.
<1%
↑ $6,600
$104,477 Vol.
<1%
↑ $6,400
$75,322 Vol.
<1%
↑ $6,200
$85,992 Vol.
<1%
↑ 6,000ドル
$42,343 Vol.
<1%
↑ $5,800
$74,114 Vol.
<1%
↑ $5,600
$68,069 Vol.
<1%
↑ $5,500
$62,808 Vol.
<1%
↑ $5,400
$169,433 Vol.
1%
↓ $4,300
$176,396 Vol.
25%
↓ $4,000
$218,571 Vol.
5%
↓ $3,600
$201,177 Vol.
1%
↓ 3,000ドル
$271,661 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) have pulled back from all-time highs above $2,750/oz hit in late October, now trading near $2,650/oz amid a post-election U.S. dollar rally and climbing 10-year Treasury yields that elevate real interest rates—the primary headwind for non-yielding assets like gold. Year-to-date gains exceeding 28% reflect sustained central bank buying (led by China at record paces), geopolitical risks in Ukraine and the Middle East, and Fed rate cuts totaling 100 basis points since September. Trader consensus on Polymarket weighs Fed policy trajectory, with the December 18 FOMC meeting and January CPI/nonfarm payrolls as pivotal catalysts that could drive volatility toward March 31 resolution, potentially testing $2,800+ if real yields soften further.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
マーケット開始日： Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
音量
$2,871,896終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) have pulled back from all-time highs above $2,750/oz hit in late October, now trading near $2,650/oz amid a post-election U.S. dollar rally and climbing 10-year Treasury yields that elevate real interest rates—the primary headwind for non-yielding assets like gold. Year-to-date gains exceeding 28% reflect sustained central bank buying (led by China at record paces), geopolitical risks in Ukraine and the Middle East, and Fed rate cuts totaling 100 basis points since September. Trader consensus on Polymarket weighs Fed policy trajectory, with the December 18 FOMC meeting and January CPI/nonfarm payrolls as pivotal catalysts that could drive volatility toward March 31 resolution, potentially testing $2,800+ if real yields soften further.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
音量
$2,871,896終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Gold futures (GC) have pulled back from all-time highs above $2,750/oz hit in late October, now trading near $2,650/oz amid a post-election U.S. dollar rally and climbing 10-year Treasury yields that elevate real interest rates—the primary headwind for non-yielding assets like gold. Year-to-date gains exceeding 28% reflect sustained central bank buying (led by China at record paces), geopolitical risks in Ukraine and the Middle East, and Fed rate cuts totaling 100 basis points since September. Trader consensus on Polymarket weighs Fed policy trajectory, with the December 18 FOMC meeting and January CPI/nonfarm payrolls as pivotal catalysts that could drive volatility toward March 31 resolution, potentially testing $2,800+ if real yields soften further.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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