Gold futures (GC) have rallied sharply to a May 7 settlement near $4,736 per ounce, up over 4% in the past week on U.S. dollar weakness and robust central bank purchases from emerging markets shifting reserves away from the dollar. With spot prices at $4,739/oz, trader consensus on Polymarket prices an elevated implied probability above $4,600 by end-June, buoyed by the Federal Reserve's steady 3.50%-3.75% fed funds rate amid cooling inflation trends but cautious Chair Powell signaling no near-term cuts. Key catalysts include May CPI data on June 10 and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, where persistent labor strength or renewed price pressures could bolster real yields and cap upside, while softer data might spur rate cut bets favoring gold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$69,464 Vol.
8,000ドル
3%
7,000ドル
3%
$6,500
3%
6,200ドル
3%
6,000ドル
5%
$5,800
8%
$5,600
11%
$5,400
10%
5,200ドル
16%
5,000ドル
32%
4,800ドル
49%
$4,600
68%
$69,464 Vol.
8,000ドル
3%
7,000ドル
3%
$6,500
3%
6,200ドル
3%
6,000ドル
5%
$5,800
8%
$5,600
11%
$5,400
10%
5,200ドル
16%
5,000ドル
32%
4,800ドル
49%
$4,600
68%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
マーケット開始日: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Gold futures (GC) have rallied sharply to a May 7 settlement near $4,736 per ounce, up over 4% in the past week on U.S. dollar weakness and robust central bank purchases from emerging markets shifting reserves away from the dollar. With spot prices at $4,739/oz, trader consensus on Polymarket prices an elevated implied probability above $4,600 by end-June, buoyed by the Federal Reserve's steady 3.50%-3.75% fed funds rate amid cooling inflation trends but cautious Chair Powell signaling no near-term cuts. Key catalysts include May CPI data on June 10 and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, where persistent labor strength or renewed price pressures could bolster real yields and cap upside, while softer data might spur rate cut bets favoring gold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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