Gold futures for June settlement currently trade near $4,500 after retreating from January 2026 peaks above $5,500 amid profit-taking and shifting risk appetite. This positioning underpins the 43.5% market-implied probability for the $4,200-$4,600 band as the modal outcome, with the $4,600-$5,000 range at 26.0% reflecting residual upside potential from sustained central bank accumulation and geopolitical hedging. Recent consolidation around current levels, supported by elevated Treasury yields and a firmer dollar, has anchored trader sentiment near spot, while lower-probability tails capture risks of renewed monetary easing or escalation in global tensions that could reaccelerate safe-haven flows before month-end resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$4,200～$4,600 43.5%
4,600～5,000ドル 26%
$3,800～$4,200 18.6%
$5,000〜$5,400 3.4%
$975,286 Vol.
$975,286 Vol.
2026/06/30
3,800ドル未満
3%
$3,800～$4,200
19%
$4,200～$4,600
44%
4,600～5,000ドル
26%
$5,000〜$5,400
3%
$5,400〜$5,800
3%
5,800～6,200ドル
1%
6,200ドル超
2%
$4,200～$4,600 43.5%
4,600～5,000ドル 26%
$3,800～$4,200 18.6%
$5,000〜$5,400 3.4%
$975,286 Vol.
$975,286 Vol.
2026/06/30
3,800ドル未満
$229,714 Vol.
3%
$3,800～$4,200
$57,793 Vol.
19%
$4,200～$4,600
$57,594 Vol.
44%
4,600～5,000ドル
$51,405 Vol.
26%
$5,000〜$5,400
$67,572 Vol.
3%
$5,400〜$5,800
$60,610 Vol.
3%
5,800～6,200ドル
$248,769 Vol.
1%
6,200ドル超
$202,030 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures for June settlement currently trade near $4,500 after retreating from January 2026 peaks above $5,500 amid profit-taking and shifting risk appetite. This positioning underpins the 43.5% market-implied probability for the $4,200-$4,600 band as the modal outcome, with the $4,600-$5,000 range at 26.0% reflecting residual upside potential from sustained central bank accumulation and geopolitical hedging. Recent consolidation around current levels, supported by elevated Treasury yields and a firmer dollar, has anchored trader sentiment near spot, while lower-probability tails capture risks of renewed monetary easing or escalation in global tensions that could reaccelerate safe-haven flows before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
マーケット開始日： Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
音量
$975,286終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures for June settlement currently trade near $4,500 after retreating from January 2026 peaks above $5,500 amid profit-taking and shifting risk appetite. This positioning underpins the 43.5% market-implied probability for the $4,200-$4,600 band as the modal outcome, with the $4,600-$5,000 range at 26.0% reflecting residual upside potential from sustained central bank accumulation and geopolitical hedging. Recent consolidation around current levels, supported by elevated Treasury yields and a firmer dollar, has anchored trader sentiment near spot, while lower-probability tails capture risks of renewed monetary easing or escalation in global tensions that could reaccelerate safe-haven flows before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
音量
$975,286終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETGold futures for June settlement currently trade near $4,500 after retreating from January 2026 peaks above $5,500 amid profit-taking and shifting risk appetite. This positioning underpins the 43.5% market-implied probability for the $4,200-$4,600 band as the modal outcome, with the $4,600-$5,000 range at 26.0% reflecting residual upside potential from sustained central bank accumulation and geopolitical hedging. Recent consolidation around current levels, supported by elevated Treasury yields and a firmer dollar, has anchored trader sentiment near spot, while lower-probability tails capture risks of renewed monetary easing or escalation in global tensions that could reaccelerate safe-haven flows before month-end resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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