Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the June 2026 COMEX gold (GC) settlement in the $4,600-$5,000 range at a 31% implied probability, narrowly leading the $4,200-$4,600 bucket at 28.5%, highlighting a closely contested market amid dueling safe-haven and monetary policy forces. Gold's recent rebound above $4,700/oz from one-month lows reflects renewed Middle East tensions bolstering demand, alongside a softer U.S. dollar and dipping Treasury yields that eased opportunity costs; however, hawkish Federal Reserve guidance on sticky inflation and "higher-for-longer" rates has capped gains, fostering consolidation after January's record highs near $5,600. Key swing factors include upcoming nonfarm payrolls and the May FOMC meeting, which could recalibrate rate cut expectations and break the current pricing deadlock before month-end resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4,600～5,000ドル 31%
$4,200～$4,600 28.7%
$5,000〜$5,400 15.8%
$3,800～$4,200 12.0%
$926,924 Vol.
$926,924 Vol.
2026/06/30
3,800ドル未満
2%
$3,800～$4,200
12%
$4,200～$4,600
29%
4,600～5,000ドル
31%
$5,000〜$5,400
16%
$5,400〜$5,800
6%
5,800～6,200ドル
3%
6,200ドル超
2%
4,600～5,000ドル 31%
$4,200～$4,600 28.7%
$5,000〜$5,400 15.8%
$3,800～$4,200 12.0%
$926,924 Vol.
$926,924 Vol.
2026/06/30
3,800ドル未満
$223,225 Vol.
2%
$3,800～$4,200
$49,571 Vol.
12%
$4,200～$4,600
$54,545 Vol.
29%
4,600～5,000ドル
$48,682 Vol.
31%
$5,000〜$5,400
$58,246 Vol.
16%
$5,400〜$5,800
$52,323 Vol.
6%
5,800～6,200ドル
$244,463 Vol.
3%
6,200ドル超
$195,870 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the June 2026 COMEX gold (GC) settlement in the $4,600-$5,000 range at a 31% implied probability, narrowly leading the $4,200-$4,600 bucket at 28.5%, highlighting a closely contested market amid dueling safe-haven and monetary policy forces. Gold's recent rebound above $4,700/oz from one-month lows reflects renewed Middle East tensions bolstering demand, alongside a softer U.S. dollar and dipping Treasury yields that eased opportunity costs; however, hawkish Federal Reserve guidance on sticky inflation and "higher-for-longer" rates has capped gains, fostering consolidation after January's record highs near $5,600. Key swing factors include upcoming nonfarm payrolls and the May FOMC meeting, which could recalibrate rate cut expectations and break the current pricing deadlock before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
マーケット開始日： Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
音量
$926,924終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the June 2026 COMEX gold (GC) settlement in the $4,600-$5,000 range at a 31% implied probability, narrowly leading the $4,200-$4,600 bucket at 28.5%, highlighting a closely contested market amid dueling safe-haven and monetary policy forces. Gold's recent rebound above $4,700/oz from one-month lows reflects renewed Middle East tensions bolstering demand, alongside a softer U.S. dollar and dipping Treasury yields that eased opportunity costs; however, hawkish Federal Reserve guidance on sticky inflation and "higher-for-longer" rates has capped gains, fostering consolidation after January's record highs near $5,600. Key swing factors include upcoming nonfarm payrolls and the May FOMC meeting, which could recalibrate rate cut expectations and break the current pricing deadlock before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
音量
$926,924終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices the June 2026 COMEX gold (GC) settlement in the $4,600-$5,000 range at a 31% implied probability, narrowly leading the $4,200-$4,600 bucket at 28.5%, highlighting a closely contested market amid dueling safe-haven and monetary policy forces. Gold's recent rebound above $4,700/oz from one-month lows reflects renewed Middle East tensions bolstering demand, alongside a softer U.S. dollar and dipping Treasury yields that eased opportunity costs; however, hawkish Federal Reserve guidance on sticky inflation and "higher-for-longer" rates has capped gains, fostering consolidation after January's record highs near $5,600. Key swing factors include upcoming nonfarm payrolls and the May FOMC meeting, which could recalibrate rate cut expectations and break the current pricing deadlock before month-end resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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