Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight contest between $4,600-$5,000 (28.5% implied probability) and $4,200-$4,600 (28.1%) for June 2026 COMEX gold (GC) settlement, mirroring June futures trading near $4,650/oz after a 1.9% rally on May 5 amid Middle East ceasefire hopes easing oil-driven inflation fears. Hawkish FOMC signals holding fed funds at 3.50%-3.75% with scant 2026 cuts priced in, alongside March CPI at 3.3%, pressure yields higher and cap upside, fostering profit-taking from recent $4,600-$4,700 peaks. Persistent central bank buying, China demand, and lingering Hormuz risks provide downside support, with upcoming nonfarm payrolls and FOMC minutes as key swing factors through late June resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4,600～5,000ドル 29%
$4,200～$4,600 28.0%
$5,000〜$5,400 15.3%
$3,800～$4,200 15.0%
$922,809 Vol.
$922,809 Vol.
2026/06/30
3,800ドル未満
3%
$3,800～$4,200
15%
$4,200～$4,600
28%
4,600～5,000ドル
29%
$5,000〜$5,400
15%
$5,400〜$5,800
7%
5,800～6,200ドル
3%
6,200ドル超
2%
4,600～5,000ドル 29%
$4,200～$4,600 28.0%
$5,000〜$5,400 15.3%
$3,800～$4,200 15.0%
$922,809 Vol.
$922,809 Vol.
2026/06/30
3,800ドル未満
$223,133 Vol.
3%
$3,800～$4,200
$49,172 Vol.
15%
$4,200～$4,600
$52,319 Vol.
28%
4,600～5,000ドル
$48,576 Vol.
29%
$5,000〜$5,400
$57,667 Vol.
15%
$5,400〜$5,800
$51,951 Vol.
7%
5,800～6,200ドル
$244,407 Vol.
3%
6,200ドル超
$195,585 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight contest between $4,600-$5,000 (28.5% implied probability) and $4,200-$4,600 (28.1%) for June 2026 COMEX gold (GC) settlement, mirroring June futures trading near $4,650/oz after a 1.9% rally on May 5 amid Middle East ceasefire hopes easing oil-driven inflation fears. Hawkish FOMC signals holding fed funds at 3.50%-3.75% with scant 2026 cuts priced in, alongside March CPI at 3.3%, pressure yields higher and cap upside, fostering profit-taking from recent $4,600-$4,700 peaks. Persistent central bank buying, China demand, and lingering Hormuz risks provide downside support, with upcoming nonfarm payrolls and FOMC minutes as key swing factors through late June resolution.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
マーケット開始日： Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
音量
$922,809終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight contest between $4,600-$5,000 (28.5% implied probability) and $4,200-$4,600 (28.1%) for June 2026 COMEX gold (GC) settlement, mirroring June futures trading near $4,650/oz after a 1.9% rally on May 5 amid Middle East ceasefire hopes easing oil-driven inflation fears. Hawkish FOMC signals holding fed funds at 3.50%-3.75% with scant 2026 cuts priced in, alongside March CPI at 3.3%, pressure yields higher and cap upside, fostering profit-taking from recent $4,600-$4,700 peaks. Persistent central bank buying, China demand, and lingering Hormuz risks provide downside support, with upcoming nonfarm payrolls and FOMC minutes as key swing factors through late June resolution.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
音量
$922,809終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight contest between $4,600-$5,000 (28.5% implied probability) and $4,200-$4,600 (28.1%) for June 2026 COMEX gold (GC) settlement, mirroring June futures trading near $4,650/oz after a 1.9% rally on May 5 amid Middle East ceasefire hopes easing oil-driven inflation fears. Hawkish FOMC signals holding fed funds at 3.50%-3.75% with scant 2026 cuts priced in, alongside March CPI at 3.3%, pressure yields higher and cap upside, fostering profit-taking from recent $4,600-$4,700 peaks. Persistent central bank buying, China demand, and lingering Hormuz risks provide downside support, with upcoming nonfarm payrolls and FOMC minutes as key swing factors through late June resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問