Ongoing Middle East tensions, particularly military actions involving Iran and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz since late February 2026, have sharply curtailed global supplies and propelled Brent crude to a $138 peak in April. Prices have since eased to the mid-$90s per barrel range amid partial inventory draws and faltering peace talks, though persistent disruptions continue to support elevated levels. Weaker demand from higher prices and economic pressures, alongside potential gradual resumption of Hormuz flows in June, weigh on further upside. OPEC+ production decisions and Atlantic Basin output increases provide additional supply relief. These geopolitical and inventory dynamics shape trader assessments of whether benchmarks surpass prior records by year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$799,446 Vol.
2026/06/30
June 30
3%
September 30
16%
December 31
24%
$799,446 Vol.
June 30
$105,463 Vol.
3%
September 30
$140,716 Vol.
16%
December 31
$108,267 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Ongoing Middle East tensions, particularly military actions involving Iran and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz since late February 2026, have sharply curtailed global supplies and propelled Brent crude to a $138 peak in April. Prices have since eased to the mid-$90s per barrel range amid partial inventory draws and faltering peace talks, though persistent disruptions continue to support elevated levels. Weaker demand from higher prices and economic pressures, alongside potential gradual resumption of Hormuz flows in June, weigh on further upside. OPEC+ production decisions and Atlantic Basin output increases provide additional supply relief. These geopolitical and inventory dynamics shape trader assessments of whether benchmarks surpass prior records by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
マーケット開始日： Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
音量
$799,446終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Ongoing Middle East tensions, particularly military actions involving Iran and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz since late February 2026, have sharply curtailed global supplies and propelled Brent crude to a $138 peak in April. Prices have since eased to the mid-$90s per barrel range amid partial inventory draws and faltering peace talks, though persistent disruptions continue to support elevated levels. Weaker demand from higher prices and economic pressures, alongside potential gradual resumption of Hormuz flows in June, weigh on further upside. OPEC+ production decisions and Atlantic Basin output increases provide additional supply relief. These geopolitical and inventory dynamics shape trader assessments of whether benchmarks surpass prior records by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
音量
$799,446終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing Middle East tensions, particularly military actions involving Iran and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz since late February 2026, have sharply curtailed global supplies and propelled Brent crude to a $138 peak in April. Prices have since eased to the mid-$90s per barrel range amid partial inventory draws and faltering peace talks, though persistent disruptions continue to support elevated levels. Weaker demand from higher prices and economic pressures, alongside potential gradual resumption of Hormuz flows in June, weigh on further upside. OPEC+ production decisions and Atlantic Basin output increases provide additional supply relief. These geopolitical and inventory dynamics shape trader assessments of whether benchmarks surpass prior records by year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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