Polymarket traders assign a 32% implied probability to Gold (GC) active month futures hitting $6,000 by end-December 2026, with probabilities declining sharply to 13% for $7,000 and below 10% above that, reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus for moderate upside from current Dec 2026 futures levels near $4,850. This positioning stems from persistent inflation—March 2026 CPI at 3.26% year-over-year—and anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts from the 3.50%–3.75% fed funds range, bolstered by record central bank gold purchases and European ETF inflows amid a DXY dollar index hovering around 118. Gold spot held firm at $4,731 on May 11 after a 4.27% weekly gain, vulnerable to hotter CPI prints or geopolitical de-escalation; watch June FOMC and monthly CPI releases for sentiment shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ゴールド（ GC ）は12月末までに何に当たりますか？
ゴールド（ GC ）は12月末までに何に当たりますか？
$281,764 Vol.
2026/12/31
↑ $15,000
4%
↑ $12,000
5%
↑ $10,000
6%
↑ $8,000
8%
↑ $7,000
13%
↑ 6,000ドル
32%
$281,764 Vol.
↑ $15,000
$23,783 Vol.
4%
↑ $12,000
$37,467 Vol.
5%
↑ $10,000
$21,953 Vol.
6%
↑ $8,000
$20,838 Vol.
8%
↑ $7,000
$42,725 Vol.
13%
↑ 6,000ドル
$134,997 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Polymarket traders assign a 32% implied probability to Gold (GC) active month futures hitting $6,000 by end-December 2026, with probabilities declining sharply to 13% for $7,000 and below 10% above that, reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus for moderate upside from current Dec 2026 futures levels near $4,850. This positioning stems from persistent inflation—March 2026 CPI at 3.26% year-over-year—and anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts from the 3.50%–3.75% fed funds range, bolstered by record central bank gold purchases and European ETF inflows amid a DXY dollar index hovering around 118. Gold spot held firm at $4,731 on May 11 after a 4.27% weekly gain, vulnerable to hotter CPI prints or geopolitical de-escalation; watch June FOMC and monthly CPI releases for sentiment shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
マーケット開始日： Jan 29, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
音量
$281,764終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 29, 2026, 3:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Polymarket traders assign a 32% implied probability to Gold (GC) active month futures hitting $6,000 by end-December 2026, with probabilities declining sharply to 13% for $7,000 and below 10% above that, reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus for moderate upside from current Dec 2026 futures levels near $4,850. This positioning stems from persistent inflation—March 2026 CPI at 3.26% year-over-year—and anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts from the 3.50%–3.75% fed funds range, bolstered by record central bank gold purchases and European ETF inflows amid a DXY dollar index hovering around 118. Gold spot held firm at $4,731 on May 11 after a 4.27% weekly gain, vulnerable to hotter CPI prints or geopolitical de-escalation; watch June FOMC and monthly CPI releases for sentiment shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
音量
$281,764終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 29, 2026, 3:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders assign a 32% implied probability to Gold (GC) active month futures hitting $6,000 by end-December 2026, with probabilities declining sharply to 13% for $7,000 and below 10% above that, reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus for moderate upside from current Dec 2026 futures levels near $4,850. This positioning stems from persistent inflation—March 2026 CPI at 3.26% year-over-year—and anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts from the 3.50%–3.75% fed funds range, bolstered by record central bank gold purchases and European ETF inflows amid a DXY dollar index hovering around 118. Gold spot held firm at $4,731 on May 11 after a 4.27% weekly gain, vulnerable to hotter CPI prints or geopolitical de-escalation; watch June FOMC and monthly CPI releases for sentiment shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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