Gold futures (GC) have pulled back to around $2,320/oz from April's record highs above $2,430, reflecting the Federal Reserve's June 12 FOMC decision to maintain the fed funds rate at 5.25–5.50% while trimming 2024 rate-cut expectations to one from prior projections, bolstering the U.S. dollar index near 105. Cooling inflation via May CPI (headline +0.0% month-over-month) and softer nonfarm payrolls provide counterbalance, sustaining trader interest in non-yielding assets amid persistent central bank purchases—China added 4 tonnes in May. Rising 10-year Treasury yields to 4.25% cap upside, but upcoming PCE inflation data on June 28 could reignite rate-cut bets, influencing whether GC tests $2,400+ by June 30 resolution. Polymarket traders price probabilities reflecting this tug-of-war between monetary policy signals and safe-haven demand.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日ゴールド（ GC ）は6月末までに何に当たりますか？
ゴールド（ GC ）は6月末までに何に当たりますか？
$2,459,654 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
↑ 10,000ドル
3%
↑ 8,500ドル
3%
↑ $9,000
3%
↑ 8,000ドル
4%
↑ $7,000
4%
↑ $6,500
7%
↑ $6,200
10%
↑ 6,000ドル
11%
↑ $5,700
20%
↑ $5,500
29%
↓ 4,200ドル
72%
↓ 3,800ドル
22%
↓ $3,400
11%
$2,459,654 Vol.
↑ 10,000ドル
$109,540 Vol.
3%
↑ 8,500ドル
$217,359 Vol.
3%
↑ $9,000
$92,256 Vol.
3%
↑ 8,000ドル
$226,997 Vol.
4%
↑ $7,000
$227,490 Vol.
4%
↑ $6,500
$187,102 Vol.
7%
↑ $6,200
$68,246 Vol.
10%
↑ 6,000ドル
$201,617 Vol.
11%
↑ $5,700
$47,348 Vol.
20%
↑ $5,500
$775,488 Vol.
29%
↓ 4,200ドル
$176,097 Vol.
72%
↓ 3,800ドル
$43,423 Vol.
22%
↓ $3,400
$33,798 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) have pulled back to around $2,320/oz from April's record highs above $2,430, reflecting the Federal Reserve's June 12 FOMC decision to maintain the fed funds rate at 5.25–5.50% while trimming 2024 rate-cut expectations to one from prior projections, bolstering the U.S. dollar index near 105. Cooling inflation via May CPI (headline +0.0% month-over-month) and softer nonfarm payrolls provide counterbalance, sustaining trader interest in non-yielding assets amid persistent central bank purchases—China added 4 tonnes in May. Rising 10-year Treasury yields to 4.25% cap upside, but upcoming PCE inflation data on June 28 could reignite rate-cut bets, influencing whether GC tests $2,400+ by June 30 resolution. Polymarket traders price probabilities reflecting this tug-of-war between monetary policy signals and safe-haven demand.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
マーケット開始日： Jan 29, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
音量
$2,459,654終了日
Jun 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 29, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) have pulled back to around $2,320/oz from April's record highs above $2,430, reflecting the Federal Reserve's June 12 FOMC decision to maintain the fed funds rate at 5.25–5.50% while trimming 2024 rate-cut expectations to one from prior projections, bolstering the U.S. dollar index near 105. Cooling inflation via May CPI (headline +0.0% month-over-month) and softer nonfarm payrolls provide counterbalance, sustaining trader interest in non-yielding assets amid persistent central bank purchases—China added 4 tonnes in May. Rising 10-year Treasury yields to 4.25% cap upside, but upcoming PCE inflation data on June 28 could reignite rate-cut bets, influencing whether GC tests $2,400+ by June 30 resolution. Polymarket traders price probabilities reflecting this tug-of-war between monetary policy signals and safe-haven demand.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
音量
$2,459,654終了日
Jun 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 29, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Gold futures (GC) have pulled back to around $2,320/oz from April's record highs above $2,430, reflecting the Federal Reserve's June 12 FOMC decision to maintain the fed funds rate at 5.25–5.50% while trimming 2024 rate-cut expectations to one from prior projections, bolstering the U.S. dollar index near 105. Cooling inflation via May CPI (headline +0.0% month-over-month) and softer nonfarm payrolls provide counterbalance, sustaining trader interest in non-yielding assets amid persistent central bank purchases—China added 4 tonnes in May. Rising 10-year Treasury yields to 4.25% cap upside, but upcoming PCE inflation data on June 28 could reignite rate-cut bets, influencing whether GC tests $2,400+ by June 30 resolution. Polymarket traders price probabilities reflecting this tug-of-war between monetary policy signals and safe-haven demand.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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