Gold futures (GC) pricing reflects trader consensus on safe-haven demand amid persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine, compounded by a weakening U.S. dollar and declining real Treasury yields following softer-than-expected February CPI data released March 12. Central bank purchases, led by China and India, added over 290 tonnes in Q1 2024 per World Gold Council figures, supporting the uptrend from $2,000/oz at year-start to near-record highs above $2,220/oz. The March 19-20 FOMC meeting held rates steady but projected three 2024 cuts via dot plot, fueling rate-cut bets that depress opportunity costs for non-yielding gold. Key watch for end-March resolution: April 1 nonfarm payrolls preview and ongoing Israel-Iran developments, with GC's 14-day RSI at 65 signaling momentum intact absent USD rebound.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$101,286 Vol.
7,000ドル
<1%
6,500ドル
<1%
6,000ドル
2%
5,800ドル
1%
5,600ドル
1%
5,400ドル
1%
5,200ドル
2%
5,000ドル
1%
4,800ドル
15%
4,600ドル
42%
$4,400
70%
4,000ドル
96%
$101,286 Vol.
7,000ドル
<1%
6,500ドル
<1%
6,000ドル
2%
5,800ドル
1%
5,600ドル
1%
5,400ドル
1%
5,200ドル
2%
5,000ドル
1%
4,800ドル
15%
4,600ドル
42%
$4,400
70%
4,000ドル
96%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
マーケット開始日: Mar 3, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Gold futures (GC) pricing reflects trader consensus on safe-haven demand amid persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine, compounded by a weakening U.S. dollar and declining real Treasury yields following softer-than-expected February CPI data released March 12. Central bank purchases, led by China and India, added over 290 tonnes in Q1 2024 per World Gold Council figures, supporting the uptrend from $2,000/oz at year-start to near-record highs above $2,220/oz. The March 19-20 FOMC meeting held rates steady but projected three 2024 cuts via dot plot, fueling rate-cut bets that depress opportunity costs for non-yielding gold. Key watch for end-March resolution: April 1 nonfarm payrolls preview and ongoing Israel-Iran developments, with GC's 14-day RSI at 65 signaling momentum intact absent USD rebound.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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