Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 64.5% implied probability for WTI crude oil (CL) settling above $84 in June, reflecting persistent geopolitical premiums from Strait of Hormuz disruptions despite a sharp 7% spot price drop to around $95 per barrel on May 6 amid signals of U.S. aid easing shipping bottlenecks. June 2026 futures traded near $94-100, underscoring expectations of elevated levels sustained by OPEC+'s modest May production hike of 206,000 barrels per day, China's ongoing crude stockpiling amid tepid but steady demand, and tight U.S. inventories per the latest EIA data for the week ending April 24. Upcoming EIA weekly report on May 6 and summer driving season could reinforce or pressure this positioning, with lower bins like $77-$84 at 18% capturing pullback risks from de-escalation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日原油（ CL ）は6月に何に落ち着きますか？
原油（ CL ）は6月に何に落ち着きますか？
84ドル超 65%
$77〜$84 18%
$70〜$77 4.9%
$63〜$70 3.4%
$155,319 Vol.
$155,319 Vol.
2026/06/30
$42未満
2%
$42～$49
1%
$49-$56
2%
$56～$63
2%
$63〜$70
3%
$70〜$77
5%
$77〜$84
18%
84ドル超
65%
84ドル超 65%
$77〜$84 18%
$70〜$77 4.9%
$63〜$70 3.4%
$155,319 Vol.
$155,319 Vol.
2026/06/30
$42未満
$17,066 Vol.
2%
$42～$49
$5,793 Vol.
1%
$49-$56
$6,937 Vol.
2%
$56～$63
$6,364 Vol.
2%
$63〜$70
$19,987 Vol.
3%
$70〜$77
$11,658 Vol.
5%
$77〜$84
$12,769 Vol.
18%
84ドル超
$74,744 Vol.
65%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 64.5% implied probability for WTI crude oil (CL) settling above $84 in June, reflecting persistent geopolitical premiums from Strait of Hormuz disruptions despite a sharp 7% spot price drop to around $95 per barrel on May 6 amid signals of U.S. aid easing shipping bottlenecks. June 2026 futures traded near $94-100, underscoring expectations of elevated levels sustained by OPEC+'s modest May production hike of 206,000 barrels per day, China's ongoing crude stockpiling amid tepid but steady demand, and tight U.S. inventories per the latest EIA data for the week ending April 24. Upcoming EIA weekly report on May 6 and summer driving season could reinforce or pressure this positioning, with lower bins like $77-$84 at 18% capturing pullback risks from de-escalation.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
マーケット開始日： Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
音量
$155,319終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 64.5% implied probability for WTI crude oil (CL) settling above $84 in June, reflecting persistent geopolitical premiums from Strait of Hormuz disruptions despite a sharp 7% spot price drop to around $95 per barrel on May 6 amid signals of U.S. aid easing shipping bottlenecks. June 2026 futures traded near $94-100, underscoring expectations of elevated levels sustained by OPEC+'s modest May production hike of 206,000 barrels per day, China's ongoing crude stockpiling amid tepid but steady demand, and tight U.S. inventories per the latest EIA data for the week ending April 24. Upcoming EIA weekly report on May 6 and summer driving season could reinforce or pressure this positioning, with lower bins like $77-$84 at 18% capturing pullback risks from de-escalation.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
音量
$155,319終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 64.5% implied probability for WTI crude oil (CL) settling above $84 in June, reflecting persistent geopolitical premiums from Strait of Hormuz disruptions despite a sharp 7% spot price drop to around $95 per barrel on May 6 amid signals of U.S. aid easing shipping bottlenecks. June 2026 futures traded near $94-100, underscoring expectations of elevated levels sustained by OPEC+'s modest May production hike of 206,000 barrels per day, China's ongoing crude stockpiling amid tepid but steady demand, and tight U.S. inventories per the latest EIA data for the week ending April 24. Upcoming EIA weekly report on May 6 and summer driving season could reinforce or pressure this positioning, with lower bins like $77-$84 at 18% capturing pullback risks from de-escalation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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