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原油（ CL ）は3月末の___を上回っていますか？

Market icon
財務·新規から非表示

原油（ CL ）は3月末の___を上回っていますか？

Mar 31

Jun 30

Mar 31

Jun 30

NEW
Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$9,386 Vol.

Polymarket

84ドル

$1,318 Vol.

92%

80ドル

$1,578 Vol.

83%

$76

$393 Vol.

90%

$72

$0 Vol.

97%

$68

$1,303 Vol.

95%

$64

$1,577 Vol.

98%

60ドル

$0 Vol.

99%

$56

$0 Vol.

99%

$52

$1,587 Vol.

100%

48ドル

$1,630 Vol.

100%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.WTI crude oil (CL) futures for end-of-March settlement reflect trader consensus pricing in persistent supply overhang against geopolitical supports, with front-month contracts hovering around $81 per barrel amid weekly volatility. The EIA's March 13 report revealed a surprise 3.2 million barrel crude stock build—versus expectations for a draw—exacerbating bearish pressures from record US production near 13.3 million bpd and softening Chinese demand signals. Counterbalancing factors include OPEC+ voluntary cuts of 2.2 million bpd through Q2 and Houthi disruptions elevating freight costs. Key catalysts ahead: Thursday's EIA inventory update, March 20 FOMC policy signals on growth, and potential Ukraine-Russia escalation; markets imply tight 50-55% odds above $82 amid recession risks.

WTI crude oil (CL) futures for end-of-March settlement reflect trader consensus pricing in persistent supply overhang against geopolitical supports, with front-month contracts hovering around $81 per barrel amid weekly volatility. The EIA's March 13 report revealed a surprise 3.2 million barrel crude stock build—versus expectations for a draw—exacerbating bearish pressures from record US production near 13.3 million bpd and softening Chinese demand signals. Counterbalancing factors include OPEC+ voluntary cuts of 2.2 million bpd through Q2 and Houthi disruptions elevating freight costs. Key catalysts ahead: Thursday's EIA inventory update, March 20 FOMC policy signals on growth, and potential Ukraine-Russia escalation; markets imply tight 50-55% odds above $82 amid recession risks.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.WTI crude oil (CL) futures for end-of-March settlement reflect trader consensus pricing in persistent supply overhang against geopolitical supports, with front-month contracts hovering around $81 per barrel amid weekly volatility. The EIA's March 13 report revealed a surprise 3.2 million barrel crude stock build—versus expectations for a draw—exacerbating bearish pressures from record US production near 13.3 million bpd and softening Chinese demand signals. Counterbalancing factors include OPEC+ voluntary cuts of 2.2 million bpd through Q2 and Houthi disruptions elevating freight costs. Key catalysts ahead: Thursday's EIA inventory update, March 20 FOMC policy signals on growth, and potential Ukraine-Russia escalation; markets imply tight 50-55% odds above $82 amid recession risks.

WTI crude oil (CL) futures for end-of-March settlement reflect trader consensus pricing in persistent supply overhang against geopolitical supports, with front-month contracts hovering around $81 per barrel amid weekly volatility. The EIA's March 13 report revealed a surprise 3.2 million barrel crude stock build—versus expectations for a draw—exacerbating bearish pressures from record US production near 13.3 million bpd and softening Chinese demand signals. Counterbalancing factors include OPEC+ voluntary cuts of 2.2 million bpd through Q2 and Houthi disruptions elevating freight costs. Key catalysts ahead: Thursday's EIA inventory update, March 20 FOMC policy signals on growth, and potential Ukraine-Russia escalation; markets imply tight 50-55% odds above $82 amid recession risks.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「原油（ CL ）は3月末の___を上回っていますか？」はPolymarket上の10個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「$52」で100%、次いで「48ドル」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「原油（ CL ）は3月末の___を上回っていますか？」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Mar 3, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「原油（ CL ）は3月末の___を上回っていますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている10個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「原油（ CL ）は3月末の___を上回っていますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「$52」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「48ドル」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「原油（ CL ）は3月末の___を上回っていますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。