Recent developments in the Middle East have driven sharp downside volatility in WTI crude futures, with front-month contracts trading near $75–80 per barrel as of mid-June 2026 after reports of an extended ceasefire eased supply disruption fears tied to the Strait of Hormuz. This follows earlier spikes above $100 amid production outages and inventory draws, as highlighted in the EIA’s June Short-Term Energy Outlook projecting elevated Brent averages near $105 through July before normalization. Trader sentiment now centers on whether diplomatic progress sustains or reverses, with OPEC+ supply decisions, global demand trends, and any last-minute geopolitical shifts likely to dictate whether prices hold above key strike levels into the June 30 settlement. Macro factors including U.S. monetary policy and inventory data releases add further near-term sensitivity.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日原油（ CL ）は6月末の___を上回っていますか？
原油（ CL ）は6月末の___を上回っていますか？
$144,979 Vol.
2026/06/30
90ドル
4%
$85
28%
80ドル
42%
75ドル
66%
70ドル
87%
$65
92%
$63
96%
60ドル
97%
$56
98%
$55
98%
$52
99%
50ドル
99%
$144,979 Vol.
90ドル
$29,016 Vol.
4%
$85
$8,719 Vol.
28%
80ドル
$6,856 Vol.
42%
75ドル
$17,999 Vol.
66%
70ドル
$20,744 Vol.
87%
$65
$1,045 Vol.
92%
$63
$9,491 Vol.
96%
60ドル
$26,432 Vol.
97%
$56
$5,222 Vol.
98%
$55
$3,806 Vol.
98%
$52
$6,556 Vol.
99%
50ドル
$9,124 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Recent developments in the Middle East have driven sharp downside volatility in WTI crude futures, with front-month contracts trading near $75–80 per barrel as of mid-June 2026 after reports of an extended ceasefire eased supply disruption fears tied to the Strait of Hormuz. This follows earlier spikes above $100 amid production outages and inventory draws, as highlighted in the EIA’s June Short-Term Energy Outlook projecting elevated Brent averages near $105 through July before normalization. Trader sentiment now centers on whether diplomatic progress sustains or reverses, with OPEC+ supply decisions, global demand trends, and any last-minute geopolitical shifts likely to dictate whether prices hold above key strike levels into the June 30 settlement. Macro factors including U.S. monetary policy and inventory data releases add further near-term sensitivity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
マーケット開始日： Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
音量
$144,979終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Recent developments in the Middle East have driven sharp downside volatility in WTI crude futures, with front-month contracts trading near $75–80 per barrel as of mid-June 2026 after reports of an extended ceasefire eased supply disruption fears tied to the Strait of Hormuz. This follows earlier spikes above $100 amid production outages and inventory draws, as highlighted in the EIA’s June Short-Term Energy Outlook projecting elevated Brent averages near $105 through July before normalization. Trader sentiment now centers on whether diplomatic progress sustains or reverses, with OPEC+ supply decisions, global demand trends, and any last-minute geopolitical shifts likely to dictate whether prices hold above key strike levels into the June 30 settlement. Macro factors including U.S. monetary policy and inventory data releases add further near-term sensitivity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
音量
$144,979終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETRecent developments in the Middle East have driven sharp downside volatility in WTI crude futures, with front-month contracts trading near $75–80 per barrel as of mid-June 2026 after reports of an extended ceasefire eased supply disruption fears tied to the Strait of Hormuz. This follows earlier spikes above $100 amid production outages and inventory draws, as highlighted in the EIA’s June Short-Term Energy Outlook projecting elevated Brent averages near $105 through July before normalization. Trader sentiment now centers on whether diplomatic progress sustains or reverses, with OPEC+ supply decisions, global demand trends, and any last-minute geopolitical shifts likely to dictate whether prices hold above key strike levels into the June 30 settlement. Macro factors including U.S. monetary policy and inventory data releases add further near-term sensitivity.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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